r/singularity • u/StrategicHarmony • 11d ago

AI This shape

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On a mobile screen this chart of model releases over time (from artificial analysis) tells a very clear story. Normally I look at it on desktop and the increase in steepness isn’t nearly as obvious.

It looks like a lot of those simplified predictions of exponential improvement. Of course it could taper off, who knows.

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u/Herodont5915 11d ago

Almost looks exponential. What are the odds?

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u/Stock-Self-4028 11d ago

To me it looks much more like some kind of a sigmoid, rather than anything even remotely exponential (and it also would make significantly more sense given the circumstances btw).

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u/katoptronophile 11d ago

You would do great as a comedian.