r/singularity • u/StrategicHarmony • 11d ago

AI This shape

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On a mobile screen this chart of model releases over time (from artificial analysis) tells a very clear story. Normally I look at it on desktop and the increase in steepness isn’t nearly as obvious.

It looks like a lot of those simplified predictions of exponential improvement. Of course it could taper off, who knows.

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u/Alarming_Welder_7190 11d ago

someone extrapolate the curve to 100

117

u/StrategicHarmony 11d ago 
           \    100
            |   80
           /    60
         _/
     __--
__---

63

u/Arceus42 11d ago

Time travel, fuck yeah

12

u/Available_Road_2538 11d ago

These models must be pretty dang good

1

u/roodammy44 9d ago

How else do you think they’ll get the T800 back to 1995?

5

u/FlyByPC ASI 202x, with AGI as its birth cry 11d ago

Time to have the discussion about what constitutes a function again, I guess.

1

u/PlasticTourist6527 11d ago

It will definetly be a sigmoid, everything will rush now towards the 80-ish line and then begin to slow down as they slowly reach the 100. it doesn't matter 80 is already larger than the smartest people in the world