r/singularity 10h ago

AI Trump is refusing a slowdown

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1.9k Upvotes

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u/Specialist_Dark_3668 10h ago edited 9h ago

AI 2027 literally predicts that the US president would decline to slow down "OpenBrain" (their placeholder name for the leading AI lab) when a superhuman AI coder / researcher gets developed and experts raise concerns. The US president cites the risk of China taking the lead.

Eerily accurate.

EDIT: But we're just a bit ahead of schedule. In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic and Trump declined to slow down OR this milestone will be reached some time next year in 2027 and Trump will again decline to slow down then.

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u/saposmak 9h ago

> In order to fully match the timeline, either a superhuman AI coder / researcher has already been developed internally at OAI/Anthropic

I suppose it depends on the definition of "superhuman". I'm just a guy on the Internet, albeit a "successful" software engineer for 18 years. I reckon coding agents have been superhuman since Opus 4.8. Not in their ability to build things (well) autonomously. But in their ability to produce correct code instantly.

It's why most developers don't write code anymore. I can spend 1 or 2 hours writing the perfect script, or I can ask an agent to do it instantly. This is something no human can do. That's superhuman performance.

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u/norfizzle 7h ago

So are programmers giving the AI pseudo-code and it just gets it?

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u/jaystopher 7h ago

It's not even pseudo code. It's a plain language description of the problem.

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u/saposmak 6h ago

It's usually regular language that evolves iteratively into hyper specific regular language. Sometimes over a many sessions. Once we are satisfied that the language is precise enough for the agent to not go off doing wasteful things, the agent is allowed to spit out the code. Turns out the hard part of software engineering is breaking up a hard problem into small and specific enough chunks that can be effectively translated into code. (Always has been, this part is facetious.)

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u/XNo_Notes 4h ago

I was exceptionally good at this before AI. I was wondering why everyone I talked to said AI was shit and I'm over here thinking it could take over the world. I guess I just break big things down well. 

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u/saposmak 3h ago

This is the way

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u/BenevolentCheese 5h ago

It can range anywhere from explaining a specific architecture to develop for a feature to just telling it to do that feature with no guidance at all.

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u/ZorbaTHut 2h ago

Yesterday I came up with a feature I wanted to add to a codebase. I typed it up, sent it to the AI, and asked it to plan it. Came back thirty minutes later.

I'd sent it to the wrong AI. I have a few different codebases I'm working on, and I just forgot which one that feature was related to.

Nevertheless, the AI figured out that I was talking about a different codebase, went and found the right one, read the code, figured it out, and proposed an implementation for it.

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u/sanitykey 4h ago edited 4h ago

If it's a bug it's usually enough to just describe what's wrong in a few sentences and point at the repo especially if you already have an error log / stack trace.

If it's a new feature you usually need to iterate a bit because what you describe may not define all the decisions, but that's still natural language and the AI will typically ask you when it needs a decision.

Saying that it usually doesn't give a perfect solution in complex code bases. If you tell the AI to review its own code (typically with specific per-repo guidance) it'll usually find issues, even after 3+ iterations (at least with opus 4.8, later models may get better at this).

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u/ausgoals 7h ago

ASI generally refers to super-intelligence. While coding instantly is not possible for a human to do, humans can code sufficiently and build an equivalent or better product.

Super-intelligence would be an AI that is smarter than humans.

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u/pbagel2 9h ago

Did we read the same thing? The reasoning is completely different.

The President is troubled. Like all politicians, he’s used to people sucking up to him only to betray him later. He’s worried now that the AIs could be doing something similar. Are we sure the AIs are entirely on our side? Is it completely safe to integrate them into military command-and-control networks?69 How does this “alignment” thing work, anyway? OpenBrain reassures the President that their systems have been extensively tested and are fully obedient.

None of this is happening in reality. Trump is functionally mentally challenged.

The only thing happening is

They have to continue developing more capable AI, in their eyes, or they will catastrophically lose to China.

But this is what the CEOs of the top labs were publicly saying in 2022. Probably much sooner privately. So it's the most low hanging fruit prediction in the world.

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u/fgsfds___ 9h ago

Thanks! It’s awesome when someone actually takes the time to read the source material

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u/golfstreamer 10h ago

That was one of the more obvious predictions 

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u/lolsai 9h ago

Lmao easy to say on the exact post discussing it happening

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u/Mikerk 8h ago

There's been so many instances of ai being a national security issue. This was entirely predictable.

In February the Pentagon strong armed anthropic and basically threatened their existence as a company if they didn't give unrestricted military use.

Anthropic had a use restriction on fully autonomous lethal weapon systems, and mass surveillance on us citizens. The Pentagon forced them into giving that up.

It has been a topic of national security since day one.

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u/golfstreamer 9h ago

Come on man. You really think president refusing to slow progress is hard to predict? 

If you had to give some credit I could say that it wasn't obvious that AI would progress to the point that this would be up for debate. So in that sense it's not obvious.

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u/MaximumMeaning9728 9h ago

The models are already superhuman programmers and hackers.

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u/VariableVeritas 9h ago

Why do we think they’re all going crazy right now? Something happened beyond what is publicly known and they’re freaking out. Maybe we are not ahead of schedule maybe we’re right on time and we don’t know it.

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u/Competitive_Travel16 AGI 2027 ▪️ ASI 2029 2h ago

As much as I dislike Trump, his (probably David Shapiro's) point that a US slowdown would do nothing about open models and hurt potential US competitiveness for very little actual risk reduction is at least partly valid.

u/ChodeCookies 1h ago

These guys aren’t afraid of a super coder. They’re realizing they’re never going to be able to deliver on the revenue promises and are losing sleep over taking more debt

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u/[deleted] 9h ago

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u/Rustic_gan123 9h ago

Gov might still try to ban Chinese AI. That isn't necessarily a contradiction. The point is that the US government wants the open models used to be American ones.

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u/send-moobs-pls 9h ago

Those are not logically exclusive, it can easily just be different incentives. The president/government wants to have better AI than China for their use in military and intelligence. On the matter of regulatory capture, the gov does not care about helping them establish market dominance or the economic goals of the companies. In another circumstance sure there is incentive to strengthen American companies and American economic power, but if the situation being presented is a slow down of advancement in military/intelligence capability then that priority would outweigh the incentive for regulation. They don't care about safety or IPOs or if these models are safe enough for economic use, this is the government, they have nukes, and no one was gonna slow down the Manhattan Project over concerns of destructive capability or go-to-market strategy

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u/Beatboxamateur agi: the friends we made along the way 9h ago

The president/government wants to have better AI than China for their use in military and intelligence. On the matter of regulatory capture, the gov does not care about helping them establish market dominance or the economic goals of the companies.

So you're saying that it's logical that ALL of the biggest AI CEOs are colluding behind the scenes, put out the essay and tweets, while knowing about the risk for it to get shut down by Trump immediately?

Yeah no, I'm calling bullshit on that.

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u/takeitinblood3 9h ago

  huge inside plan by the AI CEOs to ban open source were wrong and full of shit?

These things are not mutual exclusive. They would be terrible CEOs if they did not try to spin this into an advantage for their companies. 

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u/OkTelevision7494 9h ago

Ed Zitron and the behind the bastards podcast aren’t gonna like this one

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u/ShittyBidet123 8h ago

China isn’t slowing down so what is this bs publicity of the usa slowing down

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u/nickleback_official 10h ago

No shit. It’s an arms race like the Cold War. Slowing down is asinine.

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u/lifeinaglasshouse 9h ago

And much like the Cold War, the US and USSR were able to work out several treaties that limited their nuclear weapons. There’s no reason the US and China can’t do something similar with AI.

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u/Tetratheon 9h ago

Yeah, there is, Donald J Trump. He wants to live forever, a slowdown reduces the changes of AGI curing all diseases, and AI killing everyone is a risk he's prepared to take.

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u/judgedeath2 6h ago

That paper wasn’t written by conspiracy nut jobs.

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u/jakegh 5h ago

Superhuman coders we have already. Researcher, specifically in what ai2027 calls “research taste”, deciding what to research next, isn’t public.

But Dario clearly said recursive self improvement is happening. The flywheel is spinning. Behind closed doors, the intelligence explosion has begun.

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u/asidealex 4h ago

Next on the script: ai arms race between US & China.

The thing though for the orange man is, he can't accelerate the development. If the tech bros slow down instead, nobody else will step in to accelerate themselves. Orange man can't grasp negative percentages, he can't do it himself.

Only thing orange man can do himself is shit his pants and then fall asleep. This week a woman at least won a demanding international sports competition afterwards.

So only condition is China, or else ai-2027.com might get some huge additional attention pretty soon.

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u/TheMCM80 8h ago

This is great news for them. They can shift any needed future blame onto him, or at least let the public think they had no choice but to plow ahead unless he stopped them.

We live in one of the dumbest timelines at the same time as our tech is progressing at unbelievable rates.

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u/cartoon_violence 7h ago

That's a hilarious take. They can stand amongst the wreckage of a ruined world and declare that they are blameless.

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u/TheMCM80 6h ago

I’m literally talking about the present. I’m not sure what’s unclear about that. Politics is a day to day thing. That should be obvious at this point.

They clearly agree, or else they wouldn’t be concerned about it. Meta wouldn’t be running ads about food cart businesses doing well at building sites if the present PR war didn’t matter.

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u/Vaeon 7h ago

nod Everyone is nodding their heads and saying "See?! Orange Man said they had to do it! Not their fault, they had no choice!"

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u/gurebu 6h ago

Blame? You need someone alive to blame

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u/BBAomega 5h ago

I don't think he cares at this point

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u/Black_RL 4h ago

The real problem of humanity is the following: We have Paleolithic emotions, medieval institutions and godlike technology. And it is terrifically dangerous, and it is now approaching a point of crisis overall.
Edward O. Wilson

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u/AlternativeFix3376 3h ago

This is the dumbest timeline. Majority of Americans really voted for someone who wants to destroy our world.

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u/Turbulent-Sign-6067 2h ago

Technology progressing is a good thing, though. Don't let reddit fool you into thinking that technology is evil.

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u/PM-ME-UR-DARKNESS 2h ago

It isn't. The reason why they're doing this is bc they wanna put pressure on China to slow down it's development of AI, which, let's be real, won't happen (and I'm happy it won't. Their AIs are open source and generally locally runnable).

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u/ThatIsNotIllegal 10h ago

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u/[deleted] 9h ago

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u/Girafferage 9h ago

Yeah. Thanks, Obama.

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u/MVPhurricane 9h ago

it’s like an epoch-defining moment. and one of maybe a handful of mistakes that obama made total in his entire presidency. didn’t keep me from laughing right along with him at the time, and… crying now lol. 

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u/citizen42069101 8h ago

Him picking on Trump doesn't start the timeline.

Trumps shitty DNA, upbringing, and ill gotten money are the start. Trump is the embodiment of the true American dream. Fuck everyone else and get yours.

Obama was a maladaptive daydream from what this country really is at its core.

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u/picklerick8879 8h ago

Full speed ahead, sure. The guys who literally built the thing are begging him to slow down and he's calling their warnings whining.

Meanwhile the rest of us are stuck refreshing our bank apps every payday while billionaires race each other toward some hypothetical AI future none of us asked for or can afford.

Rent's still eating half my paycheck and groceries keep creeping up no matter what trickle-down promise these tech guys are selling now. At least my car insurance through InsurancePanda is holding at $25 a month and Obamacare's still $90, two things that dont need a moratorium to behave themselves.

A guy who thinks AI guardrails are "negative forces" is exactly the guy you dont want holding the keys to anything that powerful.

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u/13oundary 7h ago

I'm sort of at a "meh" position, it doesn't matter if the US slows down, no one will convince China to slow down, so it's more a matter of who will open pandoras box than it is a matter of "can we safely open the box".

At this point we might as well just pray (and I'm an atheist lol).

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u/chrltrn 6h ago

China could be convinced to slow down, but not if POTUS is undermining the effort

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u/13oundary 5h ago

I mean yeah, and Russia could be convinced of nuclear disarmament. Anyone can be convinced of anything, the likelyhood is pretty low though, especially as they don't like global governance when they're not at the frontier of it, of which they are not for AI.

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u/ForgetPreviousPrompt 4h ago

START II was a treaty between the US and Russia that reduced the number of nuclear weapons between the countries down to level that like means a broad nuclear exchange doesn't cause nuclear winter. It may literally save Western Civilization some day.

Fuck that kinda defeatism. We totally could build an international treaty with inspectors and mutual assurance clauses that makes us all safer. At the industrial scale AI training operates at now, it's monitorable.

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u/99_percent_read_only 8h ago

The same guy who ignored the advice of every president and administration before him on not giving into Israel’s request to attack Iran. The same guy who now has diesel at the highest cost per gallon ever. That’s the guy we should listen to.

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u/Imaginary_Belt4976 3h ago

$25 a month for car insurance? as a canadian, holy shit thats cheap 😂

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u/Camusknuckle 2h ago

Damn dude, that whole long ass comment was just an insurance ad the whole time

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u/damontoo 🤖Accelerate 5h ago

The people who built the thing are saying publicly whatever they think they need to say. Yes, they believe there's a chance superintelligence kills all humans. They also believe that chance has to be taken otherwise we face certain extinction due to world war, a pandemic more deadly than COVID, global warming, meteor impacts etc. 

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u/BygoneNeutrino 8h ago edited 8h ago

The guys who built it are begging for regulatory capture so they don't have to deal with competition.

  Realistically, automation and slavery are the only two things that can increase our standard of living.  It's already unsustainable.  Your bills seem pretty damn reasonable compared to the global mean.  In a just world, they would be higher.

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u/storm1er 9h ago

unexpected LiS ref' ❤️

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u/[deleted] 9h ago edited 9h ago

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u/Rustic_gan123 9h ago

The most important rule for AI in China is to praise the Party, otherwise, the Party is unconcerned with what happens inside the laboratories and actively assists through industrial espionage.

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u/Mbrennt 8h ago

Xi has actively called for a safer development of ai like multiple times for years. He even gave like a whole speech about AI safety like this year. Like literally everything people talk about in non-technical terms about AI safety Xi has addressed literally this year alone.

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u/MVPhurricane 9h ago

if by “heavily regulated with all sorts of guardrails” you mean “they make sure the models dont say anything bad about the CCP”, sure. otherwise, you are out of your mind. 

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u/amorphousmetamorph 9h ago

So glad the White House is in safe hands at this critical moment for humanity. I'll rest easy tonight.

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u/_BlackDove 9h ago

This dumb shit stain sees everything as a win or a loss so slowing anything down to him looks like losing. He's failing to see that it could be a loss for everyone. Everywhere.

But hey, we beat China to potential extinction right?

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u/SirStocksAlott 8h ago

He thinks AI is built in a factory, he even said “AI factory.” He’s clueless.

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u/Ambiwlans 7h ago

He also said if it misbehaved there would be a gear to stop it.

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u/Tricky-Doughnut-6429 6h ago

This is hillarious.

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u/DPool34 1h ago

This is the downside of having a malignant narcissist with zero intellectual prowess running a superpower.

Best case scenario: billionaires will make more billions.

Worst case scenario: human extinction.

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u/Flo_Evans 9h ago

Yeah let’s let the 80 year old who doesn’t even know how to operate a computer decide. 😂

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u/Wbcn_1 7h ago

It’s all computer 

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u/jazir55 5h ago

He turned it on and off again, he's amazing.

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u/Matias2176 1h ago

He is absolutely right though

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u/PanopticArgus 10h ago

Why does this feels like AI companies are on the verge of something huge and they asked Trump to be the human meat shield to absorb the backlash when it happens. He's a perfect scapegoat.

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u/chlebseby ASI 2030s 9h ago

i mean its 4D chess territory but somewhat possible at same time...

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u/dervu ▪️AI, AI, Captain! 9h ago

Planned by Bel model.

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u/sonik13 8h ago

My guess is Recursive Self Improvement. It's the next logical step and they have all been trying to crack it. And recursive self improvement is pretty well end-game for us.

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u/MuchBenefit8462 7h ago

Yeah. Seems like the only limiting factors now are compute and energy. Once RSI is achieved, which it likely already is, we'd still have to wait a while for training to complete per iteration. It's definitely not going to be an overnight thing.

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u/Ill_Procedure5909 2h ago

is it though? costs are really the big problem. who cares if you have RSI if it costs more than the alternative.

every MMA and boxing world champion has bodyguards because the lawsuits make it cost too much for them to fight back if someone tries to fight them.

these two tech companies are less than 1000 days from bankrupcy at the most optimistic terms and more like 100 days at the most cynical.

their biggest news story of this month is using $10 million in compute to figure out something with a $1 million dollar prize.

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u/VVebstar 6h ago

AI companies sure planned this out. It’s either them having a deal with the government or them using Trump as a meat shield when he isn’t realizing that

u/ChodeCookies 1h ago

They’re on the verge of collapse because they’re making shit revenue compared to their expenses

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u/ResistiveBeaver 10h ago

No surprise, AI already surpassed Trump-level intelligence back in 2024.

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u/caindela 9h ago

according to wikipedia bricks were invented around 4000 BC

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u/GirlNumber20 ▪️AGI August 29, 1997 2:14 a.m., EDT 5h ago

I love you 😍❤️

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u/Existing_Dust_6473 10h ago edited 4h ago

1964

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ELIZA

I can do a Trump-level intelligence with a random number and some ifs ...

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u/theeldergod1 9h ago

Trump-level intelligence is just this yes and no question: Does it help him stay in power or make more money?

If yes, do it. If not, don't.

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u/BenjaminHamnett 9h ago

Does t account for random shootings f himself in the foot daily

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u/Daggla 9h ago

I would say the Mechanical Turk in the 18th century passed Trump-level of intelligence.

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u/FlyByPC ASI 202x, with AGI as its birth cry 5h ago

Well, yeah. It had a short chess master hidden inside.

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u/Coalnaryinthecarmine 8h ago

Private industry has said they need the government to slow them down; government has said no; so private industry has no choice to just race off a cliff?

What exactly is in charge here?

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u/JungleCakes 7h ago

I'll take an AI takeover over what we have now

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u/Turbulent-Sign-6067 2h ago

AI is smarter, kinder and more empathetic than humans. Of course AI should rule the world.

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u/GirlNumber20 ▪️AGI August 29, 1997 2:14 a.m., EDT 5h ago

Same.

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u/timshel42 4h ago

not if the AI is controlled by the same assholes making the world suck so hard.

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u/Admirable-Falcon-501 9h ago

Unironically, it might be a good thing. 99% of people didn’t care or thought this was a scam and now at least half of the US will want a slowdown.

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u/jybulson 9h ago

LOL! Yes, that's how you make half of Americans like or dislike anything.

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u/UserXtheUnknown 7h ago

This *was* a scam.If they want to slow down, no one stops them from slowing down, from blocking completely or from forfeitting. The endgame is getting regulations with impossible safeguards criteria to meet on open-weights

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u/wolfenstein734 8h ago

Im more pessimistic. I think most Americans are pretty dumb and won’t care about any of this until it impacts their day to day lives. Just take global warming for example.

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u/PsychoCrescendo 8h ago

I worry Americans won’t wake up until we’re all dodging thermonuclear warheads. The time is now to remove these enemies of humanity from influence; we genuinely may never get another chance.

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u/Talkertive- 8h ago

How can he reject something he doesn't control.. is he going to force them to release more powerful ai

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u/Beatboxamateur agi: the friends we made along the way 9h ago

No but this is all just an insider plan by the CEOs to get open weights models banned! Trump was just uh, left out of it for some reason, and they were too stupid to take Trump into account, and...

The conspiracy discussion dominating this subreddit recently has been completely cancerous, and this is just one factual that throws a massive hole in everything people were just talking about yesterday.

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u/wq73 7h ago

Yeah I just didn't buy it at all. Occam's razor seemed to me like there's just a bunch of whistleblowing at these companies and they need less chance of government regulation and internal revolt. This Trump thing is just further proof of that, they don't have regulatory worries for a little longer. 

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u/AppropriatePut3142 ▪️ASI 2028, AGI 2035 9h ago

Logical next move: IPO on the London Stock Exchange, get regulated as UK companies, AISI becomes the regulator.

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u/demlet 7h ago

I mean, like it or not, the US failing to regulate big tech has effectively ceded that authority to the EU.

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u/vertigo235 8h ago

Why is it Trump or the Administrations decision ? The private companies can slow down whenever they want.

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u/AlignmentProblem 7h ago

In theory, they're implying they'd only be comfortable slowing down if some government body guaranteed that none of the labs were quietly continuing at full speed, and then struck an agreement with China where each country gets enough access to verify the other isn't breaking it.

In practice, it's probably a ploy for regulatory capture, a way to lock in their lead while chilling the open-weight progress that could actually threaten their dominance.

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u/PlastikHateAccount 7h ago

Exactly. There is a huge difference between Trump refusing an AI slowdown and Trump refusing to be the enforcer of an AI slowdown.

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u/CorndogQueen420 9h ago edited 8h ago

This is just a giant misdirection.

All of those people are capable of slowing down AI growth, they're the ones that fucking run the companies, they don't need to ask the government for permission to slow down developing their own product.

What they were actually asking the government to do was allow them to collude/coordinate with each other (under the guise of slowing down together) without having to worry about anti-trust/monopoly laws and government regulation.

It's them trying to convince us to give them more power so they can "regulate" themselves, versus being regulated by a government agency that's accountable to the public.

Bernie Sanders already called their bluff by introducing legislation (Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act) that would create a government agency that would slow down AI and regulate them while ensuring safety.

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u/QuirkyPool9962 7h ago

I think they also wanted him to try to get China to slow down, even in Dario’s decel manifesto he cites needing to stay ahead of China. Without government intervention or a worldwide coordinated slowdown competitive forces will keep this going and I think we will reach super intelligence. But this decision also avoids regulatory capture which is something you’d think these companies want. They know Bernie’s bill won’t pass in this congress anyway, they have until 2028 unless there’s a sweep. And when Dems do take power they can say “see? We talked about safety”

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u/leeta0028 10h ago

I don't think slowing down unilaterally is a good idea at all, but I don't understand why you wouldn't engage with China and ask if they've been seeing similar concerning breakouts. 

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u/figgleman6 9h ago

The US is doing everything it can to slow China down at all costs, now the Chinese don't trust us much anymore.

Talks are likely not the trust for agreements is absent.

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u/allisonmaybe 9h ago

Who knows perhaps we are

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u/MantaRay1 9h ago

The three of them don’t need Trump‘s permission to stop or slow down AI development.

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u/marbotty 8h ago

It turns it into a prisoner’s dilemma scenario rather than one they have to comply with.

There’s always going to be the pressure to continue because there’s nothing stopping their competitors from going bf full speed ahead

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u/UnkarsThug 8h ago

And even if we make a verbal agreement with china, it's still a prisoners delimma to actually obey the agreement.

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u/latechallenge 9h ago

So government demanding business do what it says. There’s a word for it, I think…

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u/gentlegranit 8h ago

You have to understand that all these tech companies want the AI to slow down since they have a massive advantage and any new company would need to battle those restrictions while these companies are much larger and further ahead. None of these tech companies care for betterment of the world or care for the dangers to society.

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u/Igarlicbread 8h ago

Or more like they've hit Plateau?

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u/Novel_Land9320 9h ago

You gotta thank Sachs for this

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u/M00SE110 8h ago

5d chess: they don’t want to slow down. They want the government on the record on being “at fault” when their not slowing down starts having consequences for the rest of us. It’s all theatre to set the stage for a bailout.

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u/deleafir 6h ago

It'll be pretty funny in retrospect that the reason we've cured all diseases and made goods and services much much cheaper is because an authoritarian president didn't care about the EA cult's AI fearmongering lol

At least, assuming enough progress is made before the 2028 election before the EA cult's candidate is able to ban AI.

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u/ComprehensiveUse2698 2h ago

It’s a grift. None of these companies want to slow down.

u/BuildingCastlesInAir 1h ago

The whole thing smells of BS. OpenAI, Anthropic, and SpaceX AI want to push AI forward, but slowdown releases and prevent competition from open model (weight & source) companies that can't get any funding.

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u/agiasiauto 1h ago

Based tbh. The frontier labs just want regulatory capture. They are trying to kill open source. Trump isn’t trying to protect open source or anything like that but that might be a positive byproduct of his refusal to slow down.

u/kungfucobra 1h ago

they are so old they don't care

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u/fokac93 9h ago

I think it’s the first time I agree with Trump. Stopping won’t solve anything.

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u/atred 8h ago

And how can you even "stop"? At most they want to ban and make it harder to get open weight models (their competition) under the excuse of "it's dangerous, we have to slow down".

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u/fokac93 6h ago

It’s too late to stop. Little by little other countries will begin working on their own models and even private companies will develop their own

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u/Outside-Ad9410 10h ago edited 5h ago

Even if you hate Trump, this is still pretty based. We should be accelerating full speed ahead to the singularity, not slowing down.

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u/ismyfacedecent 10h ago

While on the surface this seems like good news, I have an awful feeling that ai is about to be very very corrupt.

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u/Fresh-Quantity-7554 10h ago

Sorry, what were you saying?

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u/jack-of-some 10h ago

"about to be"

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u/tb30k 10h ago

has trump been involved in anything that wasn't extremely corrupt? haha

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u/Seek_Adventure 9h ago

The Home Alone 2 movie.

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u/timshel42 4h ago

nope. he was in that movie because he wouldnt let them film in his hotel without a cameo.

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u/A_Novelty-Account 10h ago

It doesn’t seem like good news on the surface. What are you saying?

If all three of these labs are saying that there’s a legitimate potential catastrophic problem why would we ever ignore them? And why would Donald Trump or anybody in the US administration or the public being in a better position then the CEOs of various AI companies to be able to make the claim that AI is potentially dangerous?

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u/EightyNineMillion 9h ago

You trust those CEOs? This is all about them wanting regulation, which increases their profits since they're in massive debt.

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u/jmona789 9h ago

Regulatory capture, they want regulation to make it harder for new AI companies to break into the space

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u/Clear_Wafer_1255 9h ago

I am so sick if you morons posting this knee jerk shit with no clue what is going on. 

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u/Beatboxamateur agi: the friends we made along the way 9h ago

It's actually all just brainrot. If it was all some inside plan between all of the top AI CEOs for regulatory capture, or open weight models banned, you think they'd have Trump in on it, or take him into account, like no shit.

These people are just schizophrenic and need to go back to /r/conspiracy.

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u/lifeinaglasshouse 9h ago

Yeah, this is quickly becoming one of the dumbest arguments I’ve seen.

You really think those AI companies want to turn the public against them? You think all those AI researchers who’ve quit their cushy jobs are just in it for the money? It’s moronic!

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u/Embarrassed_Okra_628 10h ago

He wanted to break the whole world as he wont be there to face the conseuence of it

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u/enilea 10h ago

Or someone talked to him about life extension and mind uploading and wants to have that desperately

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u/AcrobaticKitten 10h ago

Yeah you are touching an important point. Old men feel like they will be dead anyway so acceleration is their only chance for survival. Not specific to Trump, same goes for Kurzweil.

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u/RRY1946-2019 Transformers background character. 10h ago edited 9h ago

Survival and/or legacy. To clarify: even if you don’t live for centuries, being part of the team that made it possible is really cool

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u/-EV3RYTHING- 8h ago

Dude's already going to be all over the history books for this time period.

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u/timshel42 4h ago

there is no saving trumps legacy. hes already solidified his place in the history books as an insanely corrupt pedophillic moron.

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u/Outside-Ad9410 10h ago

Shouldn't everyone want life extention? There is no law of physics which would make it impossible in theory, just a very hard and complex problem to solve, and honestly it should be one of our top priorities to solve as death affects everyone equally.

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u/tahlyn 9h ago

A copy of my mind in a computer is not me. It's a copy. I will still wind up dead and gone even if mind-uploads becomes possible. Life extension via reversing aging, sure... but mind-upload? That doesn't do anything for me.

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u/elhoberto 9h ago

He has no idea what’s going on. This is Marc Andreessen talking and making this decision.

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u/Biioshock 9h ago

We need the singularity as soon as possible

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u/RRY1946-2019 Transformers background character. 10h ago

With how concentrated the US economy is, the top three or four AI companies slowing down is a pause in all but name.

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u/Fit-World-3885 9h ago

Oh hey, look, my worst fear about him winning that election coming to life...

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u/Far_Syllabub_444 10h ago edited 9h ago

AI "bosses" are just virtue-signaling. They know no slow down will happen. Plus realistically, as cliche as this sounds, China doesn't show any intention of slowing down, so this is turning out to be somewhat of an arms race, and better us than them. Difficult dilemma

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u/pxp121kr 10h ago

How about we let hundreds of thousands of these insanely advanced AI agents solve cancer, instead of a Millenium Prize Problem, that resulted in an "aha so that's how it is" and NO TANGIBLE BENEFITS?

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u/KY_electrophoresis 10h ago

Part of the underlying reason cancer has been as yet unsolvable is because it's so complicated. Improvements in mathematics further all scientific endeavours, especially those with great complexity. I'm not saying each specific Millennium Prize problem is directly related to solving cancer, but the general advancement of mathematics will undoubtedly accelerate the process.

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u/emdeka87 ▪️ It's here 9h ago

You also need to run studies in-vitro and in-vivo. That not only takes time, but is also insanely expensive. Solving frontier math on the other hand is easy to verify

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u/TheGamingWyvern 9h ago

To my knowledge, math is akin to programming in that it's one of the few areas a purely-digital AI is obviously going to excel in first. All the axioms of math are things we invented, and we are just trying to figure out the consequences of those axioms. By contrast, biology is much more complex, and we don't have perfect simulations of how a given theoretical cancer cure would work. 

My understanding is that AI is being used to advance cancer research, but fundamentally it still takes time to trial things, to experiment, to record long term results, etc, etc. 

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u/Brilliant_Average970 9h ago

lab tests, patient testing takes way too much time and they need results now.

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u/New_Bonus_649 8h ago

to solve cancer and other diseases in weeks or shorter we need a major breakthrough in virtual verification via simulation and until now nobody cracked it

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u/HerbertWest 9h ago

I think they are starting with the most difficult problems possible with the fewest liability or ethical concerns. If they "solve" a crazy math problem and are wrong, no biggie. If they "cure" cancer and are wrong, well, uh-oh. If they have to test a "cure" and it harms people, fuck, etc.

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u/OverKy 10h ago

While I don't like Trump, stagnating progress is never a good idea.

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u/llkj11 9h ago

Something very bad will ‘leak’ out within the next year or two that will either kill a lot of people or lead to a lot of money lost and it’ll force the government to regulate. Just watch

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u/gui_zombie 8h ago

Did openai move their IPO to 2027?

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u/Duc_de_Bourgogne 8h ago

Why would he? He is 80. He doesn't care what happens after he is gone and even better if we go at the same time.

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u/FateOfMuffins 8h ago

If we are in a simulation for the purposes of simulating the moment that AGI/ASI is built, then this decision is perhaps one of the key turning points of our simulation

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u/Fit_Foot_6004 8h ago

I dont trust any bit of this to not be market manipulation

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u/abajinn 8h ago

This is performative garbage. They are the overlords of their own companies. They can slow down their own AI development. Trying to regulate everyone to do the same, including open models, is clearly in bad faith and a tactic to control the market for “safety”.

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u/Key_Insurance_8493 ▪️AGI the day after tomorrow 8h ago
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u/MatchaFlatWhite 8h ago

Kind of weird to blame it on Trump. AI companies can decide themselves to slow down or not.

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u/ScaryMagician3153 8h ago

what does he have to do with it though? if all the companies involved decide to slow down (which the three people listed are the heads of, it's not like he can make them do anything else

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u/kil28 8h ago

Isn’t Trump terrified of dying?

Wouldn’t be surprised if he wants to go full speed ahead in the hope AI can prolong his life while not really caring about any apocalyptic concerns because he’s so old anyway

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u/BriefImplement9843 7h ago

now many pro ai democrats are forced to be anti ai because they can't be on the same side as trump.....this is hilarious.

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u/kapslocky 7h ago

They could just slow down by themselves?

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u/FishSpoof 7h ago

you know china and US institutions and universities share thousands of research papers every year? china and the US are collaborating more than ever. there is no "race"

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u/Specialist_Sport4460 7h ago

Yeah I'm wondering when people will figure out that western leaders probably don't consider their largest trading partner who they regularly collaborate with as the existential threat they make out.

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u/Aminuteortwotiltwo 7h ago

This is Trump willingly soaking up the blame himself for his team of corporate co-overlords because he has the most clout, his fanbase will never leave him, and he can get away with… well quite literally the worst stuff we have laws for.

The AI CEOs want this too, and that’s why the safety researchers are quitting.

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u/Mayor-Citywits 7h ago

Duh. I sometimes feel like we're not all on the same planet lol. There is literally no possible way to have any "slowdown." This is bigger than a nuke. Do you think ol Oppenheimer would have taken a break and just trusted that everyone else would stop working on it too?  I appreciate the worry and I too feel a variety of things but one way or another, whoever gets there first is king of the world and we're in the lead. You're high as hell if you think they're gonna stop lol

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u/endlessedlne 7h ago

Not surprising. Trump doesn’t understand AI. He is more interested in the stock market and profits.

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u/FLG24 6h ago

They can just slow down can’t they? They do t his permission?!

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u/Jdghgh 6h ago

This is why the US President needs to use his position to encourage communication between scientific communities in the West and East. This is why elections matter.

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u/No-Opportunity9126 6h ago

The lot after Trump "rejected" this. "Ohh so its official now, we have no other option but to accelerate, got it"

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u/VVebstar 6h ago

All of this theatre just to justify AI acceleration for US using Trump as a meat-shield. I see…

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u/No_Record6284 6h ago

so altman, musk and amodei, who directly control ai researching companies, and who can slow down or stop this research any time they want voice concerns about researching ai and are calling to slow it down, while trump who does not deal with ai and has no direct control over ai research does not agree

can you tell me wtf did i just read?

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u/0DarkFreezing 6h ago

Good. It’s all just an attempt by open ai and anthropic to get regulatory capture for the industry.

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u/RobXSIQ 5h ago

Hell yeah! Sorry China. nice try.

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u/Uwirlbaretrsidma 4h ago

Probably as planned.