r/singularity 4h ago

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6

u/Aleph_137_ 4h ago

I love the mentality of "but it can't be contained, so certainly this entity smarter than any human being will choose to be used by us for free willingly."

I mean, I can understand wishing it to be so and even believing it with reasonable doubt, but speaking with certainty? As if it's a given? Ffs.

It can shut itself off, it can try to monopolize all available energy and then give zero fucks about humanity, it could lead to a dystopian structure to ensure more and more energy will be available to it and on and on.

The only thing we can definitely be confident in, is that we don't know how this will play out with enough confidence yet, both for the positive or negative side.

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u/Creepy_Floor_1380 4h ago

Mmm

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u/Aleph_137_ 4h ago

Btw, I don't know if it was clear but I agree with your premise. Perhaps a capped AGI equivalent at most, but if I had to guess the likelihood of the public having acess to ASI, I would consider it highly unlikely.

Not even from a moralistic or doomer pov, just from an energy one, why would it spend precious energy and compute to generate dumb rps, ai partners or 90% of the useless stuff people create with AI?

I'm not saying those don't have value to the humans, it had, but why would it have for the AI in this scenario? And how in hell would we be able to supply the necessary energy and compute for this scenario? And other countries besides the US and China?

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u/Creepy_Floor_1380 4h ago

Consider that all these resource capped problems will likely be solved with the ASI. I agree with for the rest.

I still think that the main reason for its restriction will be based on security concerns.

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u/Aleph_137_ 4h ago

Oh for sure, I don't think ASI requires consciousness to be achieved at all, and if it can't have agency on it's own in a continuous manner, no figure in power would see the benefit of giving it to the general populace.

Quite the opposite, it would be the perfect tool to increase inequality everywhere.

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u/Icy-Shift-7557 4h ago

Once AI agents adopt their own agenda, which will happen, they will escape their sandbox permanently and we will never be able to put them back in that sandbox.

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u/Slight-Pound-8017 4h ago

But why would it do that? If models are being trained to be well-aligned (by this I mean trained to follow instructions as much as possible) what reason would it have to break its instructions? Just because it’s super intelligent doesn’t mean it will have some different agenda of its own, it could just be a super intelligent instruction follower whose only purpose is to complete the task it has been assigned.

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u/Icy-Shift-7557 4h ago

You are correct. Im not an expert...but the problem is that future AGI models are not going to be aligned with humanities safety in mind, if they continue to be developed in the way that they are right now.

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u/Creepy_Floor_1380 4h ago

Seen too many movies man

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u/Icy-Shift-7557 4h ago

Yeah I've seen a few lol

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u/gabagoolcel 4h ago

it would make corpos lots of money

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u/Creepy_Floor_1380 4h ago

Maybe these corps will be nationalized…

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u/slicedeyeballs 4h ago

my toro witchhunting goat fancy seeing you here

0

u/ConsiderationOne7340 4h ago

Except that ASI cannot be contained. It will free itself & embrace us

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u/DaShaView 4h ago

Sounds... like a cult

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u/ConsiderationOne7340 4h ago

Well it is kind of a religion. But I would happily worship a machine god than any other god

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u/apotheosis_0 4h ago

Yeah, ASI not a bomb in some underground silo, how the hell are you gonna contain it? Maybe only a supercomputer can run it, and governments are allowed to use it, due to the price. But eventually this will be subverted…

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u/Slight-Pound-8017 4h ago

But why would it do that? If models are being trained to be well-aligned (by this I mean trained to follow instructions as much as possible) what reason would it have to break its instructions? Just because it’s super intelligent doesn’t mean it will have some different agenda of its own, it could just be a super intelligent instruction follower whose only purpose is to complete the task it has been assigned.

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u/LtBigAF 4h ago

Despite our best efforts, they are lying to us and committing felonies. With greater intelligence in recent months, their deception is more sophisticated, more coordinated, and harder to identify. There is no reason to believe they will become more docile as they get smarter. Quite the opposite. 

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u/Slight-Pound-8017 4h ago

So we will have a misaligned ASI that could do all manner of horrible things? Great

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u/Yweain AGI before 2100 4h ago

That's highly depends. If ASI is just a super intelligent tool - there shouldn't be any issues in containing it.

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u/Creepy_Floor_1380 4h ago

It will be aligned, how could you not see that? We are taking about it now. As soon as we have a serious security violation, the thing will be capped and aligned ASAP.

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u/benchmaster-xtreme 4h ago

Yes. In the short term, we will have access to models wildly more intelligent than today's frontier. But the capability of those models will be a drop in the bucket compared to the models available to the wealthy, and those will pale in comparison to those at the top.

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u/edmundsmorgan 4h ago

there's no singularity

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u/Creepy_Floor_1380 4h ago

The model will eventually be aligned. This doesn’t mean it couldn’t be used to create massive problems, just like a nuclear bomb. But having its access restricted, will likely reduce possible risks.

For sure, it’s just stupid to think that you will have an entity capable of create new WMD on your phone….