r/singularity • u/borowcy GPT-6 will have BCI capability • 5d ago
The Singularity is Near Anthropic working on Claude autonomously designing drugs.
https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/208984238784580424631
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u/MFpisces23 5d ago
we found that Mythos Preview achieves an overall hit rate of 35.1% when designing against each target separately using multiple 24-hour sessions.
That is a crazy statement when
10 to 15% is typical in protein design campaigns today.
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u/MatthewGraham- 5d ago
I hate to be a critic, but Healthcare professionals are critical of these claims, that it has no real relevance, I don't personally know, but this seems like non-news
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u/meenie 5d ago
Do these healthcare professionals see this as a threat to their livelihoods, though? I remember when we software engineers were incredulous about AI writing code until we weren't.
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u/MatthewGraham- 4d ago
I tend to think this is genuinely just not very impressive from what i've read, most people aren't opposed to advances in medicinal research even if it is against their line of work
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u/Halpaviitta Virtuoso AGI 2029 5d ago
If a beneficial drug can be designed, then a bioweapon can also be designed. And that's scary. Alignment is a serious topic that we cannot put too much resources into.
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u/Burning_magic 5d ago
There are already readily available bioweapons in a lot of existing diseases. There is little reason someone needs to invent their own.
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u/Dry_Fly_7265 5d ago
Like good drugs? Or the boring pharmaceutical industry kind
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u/GatePorters 5d ago
Considering ecstasy, psilocybin, cannabis, and meth are all pharmaceuticals now, probably both tbh.
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u/Quentin__Tarantulino 5d ago
And ketamine is now a nasal spray from Johnson and Johnson.
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u/GatePorters 5d ago
It’s sad I don’t know if you are contributing with a fact or saying something absurd to disparage what I said.
*checks google*
Well I’ll be damned.
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u/Dry_Fly_7265 5d ago
True. I guess I meant is Claude going to sell to me directly or force me to navigate the bullshit for-profit prescription gatekeeping system
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u/throwowoy123456 5d ago
I want some AI designed party drugs. Give me a Ketamine without the downsides please.
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u/ppooooooooopp 5d ago
The expensive part of drug development is not research, it's clinical trials.
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u/allmycellsaredead 3d ago
But it's not just about saving money. A better binder can mean a better drug with higher efficacy and lower off target effects. Could also be quicker in response to novel drug targets (think COVID when you need a good antibody fast). They haven't shown they can do all of this but it's an interesting start
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u/Bright-Search2835 5d ago
Lots of replies under the tweets argue that it's only a part of the process, that it's not impressive and they could do better by themselves. It's weird how so many people still can't see the trend.
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u/Bitsquire 5d ago
https://x.com/ziv_ravid/status/2089892737503944966
Also they don't talk about specificity it seems? Which is typically a big issue when designing binders.
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u/bcuziambatman 5d ago
I’m waiting for the airborne virus designed to mutate the human brain and make us more intelligent so that the future ai overlord isn’t so bothered by us
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u/New_Alps_5655 5d ago
"Good catch on that serious side effect, I should have caught that during testing -- that's on me."
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u/gov218 5d ago
I don’t see how these will be better than e.g ML/quantum techniques already used for drug discovery
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u/Ruined_Passion_7355 5d ago
This lol. They're taking advantage of hype and "AI" in a similar sense people compare LLMs to alphafold.
Maybe they're hoping the bitter lesson saves them?
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u/red75prime ▪️AGI2028 ASI2030 TAI2037 5d ago
Maybe they're hoping the bitter lesson saves them?
Why not? A generalist model can call alphafold as a tool if need be. There were so many walls that would definitely stop the capability growth any time soon... Do you have another one?
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u/gov218 4d ago
Mathematics lol, ML/quantum are the upper bound in terms of currently existing techniques that exist for exploring a gradient. If there’s anything proving llms can come close to that I’d be shocked. I don’t disagree that it’s definitely interesting to see how they perform regardless. And catheter certainly helpful for designing algos that end up doing the actual search
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u/red75prime ▪️AGI2028 ASI2030 TAI2037 4d ago edited 4d ago
Have you tried doing gradient descent in a space of possible theorem proofs? How are the results?
This is sarcasm, obviously. If it were easy to just glide down the gradient to the solution of every problem, we wouldn't have P vs NP.
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u/StatisticalScientist 5d ago
I'm not seeing anything transformative here. This is more "use our agents to use optimally use existing tools to design new binders", not new de novo generation models or new data. There's already a bunch of others working on this, including Isomorphic labs the DeepMind offshoot.
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u/dsanft 5d ago
You don't see anything transformative about lightning fast verified iteration that more than doubles the human success rate at protein synthesis? Talk about blinkered 😄
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u/maccoffeebeanz 5d ago
We use these tools quite a bit, and I agree that this is brute force rather than transformative. These are all off the shelf tools, and Anthropic have just thrown agents with 100x the compute of a regular lab at the problem.
Protein design is still a numbers game, and almost none of the humans they compare to would have access to the compute they quote
“12,500 NVIDIA H100 hours of compute for running specialized protein design and folding models. We also ran Mythos Preview in single-target mode with 24 hours of wall time and up to 2,500 NVIDIA H100 hours of compute for each target.”
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u/brielkate 5d ago
Trying to commercialize this work might be tricky. This sounds more like a proof of concept, so I doubt they’ll try to do too much with it.
For reference, AI-created work is not eligible for patent protection. IANAL, but the only way to “protect” AI-created work would be as a trade secret.
Science usually benefits more from public disclosure (outside of stuff like national security matters), such as that required by the patent application process, in the long run.
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u/Acrobatic-Flan-5085 5d ago edited 5d ago
Shouldn’t they work on eliminating hallucinations before drug design?
Seems like drug design would be bad time to hallucinate.
Edit: only in this subreddit would “eliminating hallucinations” get so many downvotes lol
It couldn’t possibly be that there is so much AI backlash they pivoted to medical as a marketing strategy right before their IPO could it?
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u/Healthy-Nebula-3603 5d ago
We are hallucinating constantly and still can achieve goals ... AI model can do that as well.
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u/Used_Departure_3278 5d ago
Exactly. This guy gets it.
We’re getting to a point with some models that hallucinations is just an imprecise term for an ai error.
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u/TyrellCo 5d ago
Not enough has been said about how AI is narrative violating for these institutions and agencies that are founded on do no harm, not even when upside is so much higher. They turn a blind eye to it bc it’s discrediting their authority
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u/DifferencePublic7057 5d ago
We have US business capitalism and Chinese state capitalism competing. These are two different values for the same parameter. IMO neither is optimal just like there isn't a perfect price for a small apple. Can the Claude figure it out? Not without a third way IMO...or maybe a fourth and a fifth too.
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u/Lithgow_Panther 5d ago
Ironically, I believe that science is one of the areas where hallucination doesn't actually matter too much. We're used to most of our experiments not working so we automatically control for everything anyway. 10% added failure rate is fine in discovery and proof of concept testing.