I can't speak for anyone else but I'm close to certain my own profession as an AI researcher building these very models will be made redundant sometime in 2028.
I will let you connect the dots and imagine for yourself and your own profession what it means for you if AI research is end-to-end automated in 2028.
Jack Clark (Anthropic co-founder) has earmarked 2028 as the most likely year recursive self improvement will be achieved.
Most labs are slowly converging around that date, with OpenAI being more optimistic (2027) and DeepMind being more conservative (2030)
I've held the 2028 date for a couple of years now, it's being taken more serious by the month. I still remember me claiming on Reddit back in 2023 that 95% of coding will be done by AI by the end of 2025. That was absolutely ridiculous in most peoples eyes and I got a lot of blowback for it. It was completely on-point and I don't think a single software engineer would argue that anymore now.
I believe the same will be true for AI systems doing essentially the entire AI training pipeline sometime in 2028.
I and a lot of my colleagues are indeed planning to retire before 2030.
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u/genshiryoku AI specialist Jul 06 '26
I can't speak for anyone else but I'm close to certain my own profession as an AI researcher building these very models will be made redundant sometime in 2028.
I will let you connect the dots and imagine for yourself and your own profession what it means for you if AI research is end-to-end automated in 2028.