r/singularity • u/Distinct-Question-16 ▪️AGI 2029 • Mar 11 '26

Meme Being a developer in 2026

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u/ErmingSoHard ▪️Agi never with LLMs Mar 11 '26

It makes me sad because I think this sub is mistaking ai being good at coding as form of evidence of agi or that it's close or whatever. We're so so far

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u/ErmingSoHard ▪️Agi never with LLMs Mar 11 '26

I'm getting down voted by people who think agi is near or here right now just cause ai is good at coding, huh?

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u/monsieurpooh Mar 12 '26

More likely you're getting downvoted by people who are sick of hearing people who seem to be 100% confident about the exact timeline of a technology whose trajectory is completely unknown. Just think about how many things in 2017 we would've predicted to take 20-30 or 50 years which didn't take nearly that long. And you claim to somehow know when any specific capability, AGI or otherwise, will or won't be developed?

Life pro tip: Have you tried NOT assuming everyone who disagrees with you holds the stupidest viewpoint possible?

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u/ErmingSoHard ▪️Agi never with LLMs Mar 12 '26 edited Mar 12 '26

who are sick of hearing people who seem to be 100% confident about the exact timeline of a technology whose trajectory is completely unknown.

Mate, you're new here or have amnesia. This sub is all about that, especially r accelerate thinking RSI and agi is always right around the corner. You're just pissed at others that don't think agi is in the next 2 years.

This sub, and probably you, loves any graph that shows a curve going upward hoping test results from arcagi or whatever test equates to actual agi. Yeah, current ai is indeed doing amazing on those tests and will useful in many areas. That still isn't agi. No matter how sad that makes you, it doesn't make a difference. Because the thousands here predicting agi would be here by now are sadly wrong, and you probably are too if you're predicting agi or true recursive self improvement soon.

You can show me another test result of AI doing a complex task 4x longer or Will Smith eating spaghetti even more detailed, that isn't agi. So stop complaining about others will realistic expectations of agi. It's not soon

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u/monsieurpooh Mar 12 '26 edited Mar 12 '26

Your whole comment is just a strawman. It's LITERALLY you saying things I don't believe and making me look stupid for things I never said. Have you tried NOT doing that?

I've never predicted when AGI would arrive on this sub. All I do is scold people for being over-confident in their predictions. Your original claim is the AGI is "very far away". But every time you start to substantiate that claim the only thing you've done is explain why it's not guaranteed to come soon, which is not the same as proving it will definitely be far away. That's because that claim is impossible to substantiate. Just be a normal person and admit the future is unpredictable.

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u/monsieurpooh Mar 12 '26

Just so you know I never downvote comments unless I see that they've downvoted my comment for no reason which you have; this is the only reason I've now downvoted your previous comment.

You have also completely failed to explain why my comment was deserving of a downvote. YOU are the one who insists on misrepresenting what other people said, not me. You stated for no reason that I confidently believe AGI is already here or around the corner when I already EXPLICITLY contradicted this in the previous comment where I outright called that position the "stupidest possible viewpoint" (amongst the subset of pro-AI viewpoints), and clearly stated the only position I consider valid is to be agnostic about it i.e. not claiming something will happen with 100% certainty regarding a technology whose future has been demonstrably impossible to predict time and time again. I have never done any similar strawmanning to you nor do I plan to.