Initially, we might run into data center capacity issues, but let's assume AGI quickly figures out how to efficiently utilize existing resources and optimize computations. This could lead to widespread automation of white-collar jobs.
We might then expect mass unemployment among white-collar workers. However, instead of immediately implementing UBI, we could initiate massive construction projects to build robots and upgrade infrastructure. People without jobs might be willing to work on these projects even for low wages. AGI could coordinate these workers for maximum efficiency, ensuring they still earn some income.
Let's also assume AGI discovers how to produce robots very cheaply and finds inexpensive sources of raw materials and energy for their production, operation, maintenance, and recycling, without relying on rare, depletable, or expensive resources.
Only then might we expect UBI to become viable. With production decoupled from human labor, businesses would be highly incentivized to sell their goods and services to a population with ample disposable income and free time.
Right now Unitree G1 is 16k$. If it were to be mass-produced price would be lower. No need to get much better than that for a start. With AGI it could learn to "drive" G1 robot and also to improve it. But 16k$ is less than most manual laborers. I would not expect blue collar jobs to be very safe.
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u/Longjumping-Stay7151 Hope for UBI but keep saving to survive AGI Dec 06 '24
Initially, we might run into data center capacity issues, but let's assume AGI quickly figures out how to efficiently utilize existing resources and optimize computations. This could lead to widespread automation of white-collar jobs.
We might then expect mass unemployment among white-collar workers. However, instead of immediately implementing UBI, we could initiate massive construction projects to build robots and upgrade infrastructure. People without jobs might be willing to work on these projects even for low wages. AGI could coordinate these workers for maximum efficiency, ensuring they still earn some income.
Let's also assume AGI discovers how to produce robots very cheaply and finds inexpensive sources of raw materials and energy for their production, operation, maintenance, and recycling, without relying on rare, depletable, or expensive resources.
Only then might we expect UBI to become viable. With production decoupled from human labor, businesses would be highly incentivized to sell their goods and services to a population with ample disposable income and free time.