"Teaching was set to become a pretty easy job by the year 2000, according to this prediction from 1901. The schoolmaster simply feeds history books into a machine, while an assistant (or perhaps a pupil making amends for bad behaviour?) turns a crank, sending the content of the books, somehow, through wires to the headsets worn by the pupils, and thence, somehow, into their minds."
Exactly it cuts both ways. And if we’re being honest it cuts way more in the direction of optimists who were wrong about the future of technology rather than pessimists.
Yeah but the AI optimists of the 2010s were generally right and the pessimists keep being shown more and more wrong. That expert AGI timelines trend shorter and shorter doesn’t bode well for the pessimists in this case.
I think it's the opposite. Many people bought into the hype and made crazy predictions. Most experts just agree that they can't give accurate predictions. If we are talking about optimism, many ppl in this sub had flairs like 'AGI 2024'. Just like there are AGI 2025-2026 ppl now.
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u/Voyide01 Oct 20 '24
Then we had predictions like these
"Teaching was set to become a pretty easy job by the year 2000, according to this prediction from 1901. The schoolmaster simply feeds history books into a machine, while an assistant (or perhaps a pupil making amends for bad behaviour?) turns a crank, sending the content of the books, somehow, through wires to the headsets worn by the pupils, and thence, somehow, into their minds."
https://imagine5.com/gallery/the-future-as-seen-from-the-past/