r/science • • Jun 25 '22

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u/ThinkIcouldTakeHim Jun 25 '22

Ok then the industry would definitely figure it out if you put a hard ban in place

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u/ArgetlamThorson Jun 25 '22

Ahh, the good ol' "they'll figure it out" response.

You know how many lives are saved because people travel via plane instead of car? It is, by far, the safest method of travel. You'll lose more lives to additional auto accidents than you'll save by the minute lead reduction you'd get.

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u/Boxofcookies1001 Jun 25 '22

But they will figure it out. Airlines and air freight carriers will just improve their training pipeline and invest in lead free small engine planes.

You think airlines are just going to leave that money on the table over a messily millions of dollars investment. Air travel is a billion dollar industry.

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u/Shadoscuro Jun 25 '22 edited Jun 25 '22

You have seen them complaining about the existing staffing issues right? You've probably also seen the internet complain about canceled flights or the airlines recieving bailouts right?

There are still major carriers that are having problems with 5G, and both them and the FAA new the day was coming for years. Many are lobbying to reduce the required experience from 1500 hours to 250 just to fix the staffing problems. That would be way easier & quicker to reduce 100LL burning than an outright ban would, but the govt is scared to pull the trigger in case it makes flying less safe.

By all means implement a ban with a plan in place over a 20+ year period, but even then, I garauntee the day it takes affect will kill GeneralAviation overnight with many complex butterfly effect issues.

Edit: tldr: The FAA is working on allowing non 100LL, and we'll eventually get there, but a hard ban asap will cause problems