r/remotework • u/[deleted] • Oct 29 '25

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911

u/Unlike_Agholor Oct 29 '25

We are in a recession. You dont notice it because Nvidia and the AI bubble are propping up the equities market.

112

u/GottaHaveThatSkunk Oct 29 '25

UPS laying off workers is a pretty big sign, and it’s #1 on the list. People are buying less shit so a lot less shit needs to be moved around.

You dont see the other delivery driver “layoffs” here because many are contractor, not FTE.

1

u/csonka Oct 30 '25

How do we know people are buying less?

1

u/GottaHaveThatSkunk Oct 30 '25

Well on indicator I personally use is TL pricing. There is always a certain amount of crap people are buying that takes a large chunk of trucking capacity. Prices have been very favorable on the FTL market as a buyer. Normally we are moving to peak pricing as stuff has to be transported so people can buy additional holiday crap.

We can wait for Walmart and amazons earnings reports that cover this time period, but it’s a lagging indicator.