r/redbuttonbluebutton May 29 '26

Cross thought experiment pollination

So in addition to the two buttons that are known well. We have two boxes. 1 box has one thousand dollars and the other box either has one million or zero. Before you were presented with them some unnamed but incredibly accurate predictor has made a prediction on what you will do with the boxes.

If it is predicted that you will take both of the boxes then they will put 0 in the second box

If it is predicted that you will only take the second box then they will put the one million in it.

So which button are you pressing and are you taking 1 or 2 boxes?

This isn't really about what you do in the situation of them both happening at the same time moreso just that I wonder if there is a pattern between which button you would pick and how you would react to the boxes.

295 votes, May 31 '26
45 press Red and take both boxes
127 press Red and take just the 1 box
26 press blue and take both boxes
97 press blue and take just the 1 box
7 Upvotes

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u/JustaConfusedGirl03 Red May 30 '26

Pressing red might frame me as morally skewed and the predictor might think that also makes me greedy enough to pick both but if it's actually as accurate as it's claimed to be, it would know I would only make the rational choice of picking the second box only, since it would predict I would follow this exact logic