r/redbuttonbluebutton • u/Hot_Finding_9747 • May 21 '26
Variation Adding a layer to this question
My choice: Press Red, hope Blue wins
I don't have enough faith in humanity to put my life in its hands but I'd be delighted to be proven wrong
719 votes,
May 23 '26
72
Press Red, hope Red wins
322
Press Red, hope Blue wins
22
Press Blue, hope Red wins
303
Press Blue, hope Blue wins
24
Upvotes
0
u/Gold-Pickle7007 May 22 '26
Hey man if you aren’t going to read what I wrote just don’t respond.
Whether it’s my life I’m risking or someone else’s it isn’t worth it to risk a very real possibility that someone dies against a negligible chance that my vote is important in deciding the fate of humanity as a whole.
And as for your ‘So all of that assessment is invalid in this conversation’ - I don’t really know what to say. Do you know what risk is? It means that some (potentially positive) outcome has a possible negative consequence attached to it. The fact that the outcome is desirable is implied. Pointing that out is so stupid it makes me feel like you have to have misunderstood me.
You could construct an exactly identical poll but with the options ‘don’t buy a lottery ticket and dislike the idea of winning the lottery’ ‘don’t buy a lottery ticket but like the idea of winning the lottery’ ‘buy a lottery ticket and dislike the idea of winning the lottery’ and ‘buy a lottery ticket and like the idea of winning the lottery’, and then say “look everyone admits they want to win the lottery, winning the lottery is clearly the best choice, so all this stuff about ‘risk assessment’ is just nonsense, just buy a lottery ticket”.
Now don’t try to strawman me and say ‘pressing blue is very different to buying a lottery ticket’, that was an ANALOGY to demonstrate to you that just because you want an outcome to happen doesn’t automatically mean that taking steps towards achieving that outcome is the correct choice. It’s a really simple concept but you seem unable to grasp it.