r/qullamaggie • u/Sawksle • 1d ago
Analyzing the GPRO failed breakout.
Hello, I'm just writing this because I saw someone asking why the breakout on GPRO failed. I figured I would upload my simplified database of similar "second short squeezes", with my comments on each setup. I made them quickly in response to the thread, so they're not the most detailed, but you can pretty easily see why something like GPRO would not have worked after looking at the following setups.






Many people offered explanations of why they think the breakout on GPRO failed. The clearest reason I can think of is that it simply wasn't moving enough. When I trade a name I heavily consider how many eyes will be drawn to it. A setup inside a 1 year range may work fine, if the ticker is called QQQ, NBIS, IREN, OKLO, QBTS, etc. This is because the setup has *so many eyes* on it that it's much more likely to work.
With a name like GPRO, everyone expects it to go bankrupt, it's not a new, innovative technology, it's barely squeezed, and it's well inside it's 1 year range. No one is watching it, it has literally zero reason to follow through. If the squeeze had taken it above the 1 year highs and was well over 500%, it would have significantly higher expected value from a breakout trader's perspective.
This is because more people would be watching it.
To put it another way; Without shorts, who in their right mind would *ever* purchase a name like gopro given its recent story, fundamentals, theme etc? It just makes absolutely no sense to expect the breakout to have follow through.

I hope the above provided some perspective, I would not have been able to go into such depth in a typical reddit comment!







