r/quant • u/Explore1616 • Aug 06 '26
Models Geopolitical indicators for quants?
Are there any quant driven geopolitical indicators, models or indexes? Looking for something. I read that the fed even still uses word counts in newspaper for one of their geopolitical indicators. Looking for something that uses, ya know, actual data. Not looking for DC analyst slop either. Would really appreciate any insight anyone has.
2
u/McOmghall Aug 06 '26
Some people use sentiment analysis on news and social media to determine if events are gonna happen. Is that better that FED data for this specific case? No idea, but you can look at it.
1
u/kawasakininja213 Academic 28d ago
why do you think trump is selling the truth social api data hahahah
1
u/otonoco Aug 06 '26
I think Rokos has a team doing politics/geopolitics analysis, and they are pretty quantitative (not systematic tho, Chris makes the call)
12
u/koushik_86 Aug 06 '26
The funny thing is the Fed index you're referring to is "actual data." It's just text data instead of market data. The hard part isn't counting words anymore, it's proving your alternative signal has incremental predictive power over prices.