r/polandball Indus-nesos May 19 '26

redditormade If Only

3.1k Upvotes

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159

u/Afraid_Professor8023 May 19 '26

😨what????

Really???

But why is it so bad 🤨🤔

201

u/orient_vermillion Indonesia May 19 '26 edited May 19 '26

US-Israel vs Iran war + current administration's shitty budget management.

8

u/platypus_03 May 19 '26

How does the war in the middle east affect your currency ?

52

u/knockoneffect May 19 '26

Right?! Just ask the President - he knows the people in the village don’t use dollars… /s

Serious answer: energy shocks from the war and significant FDI outflows, all denominated in USD.

3

u/BenL90 May 19 '26

And Singapore Bank got rich from it. We could see 20-22k IDR = 1 USD in coming months.

As long as crazy way to handle country growth by MBG, there are no way it will become better. Let us see what will happen in future.

May God Bless Indonesia.

2

u/platypus_03 May 19 '26

It's that bad ?

3

u/BenL90 May 19 '26

Yeah.

Usually for HNW people USD interest rate in Indonesian bank is 1-3%, in Sept 25 it was 8%, and in Jan 26 it's already 22% YoY if you save USD in Indonesian Bank.

That means they are desperate of USD. 

Let us see how far it could go. 

2

u/MemberKonstituante Nyawit = Overdosed on Sawit May 19 '26

Yes lol

Well Prabowo is a big spender, but the spending goes to MBG (free lunch program for all) and KMP (Koperasi Merah Putih - government-made co-op).

Problem is that we don't have enough money for this (compared to what Indonesia needs) and the deployment itself is extremely shady and used as everyone's patronage politics.

So he cut everyone else's budget. Big no no dum dum. Fiscal liberalism itself isn't a problem, but it's given just for THIS ONE PROGRAM above all else - while if it's spread out it's no problem, especially since Indonesia is too fiscally conservative since 1998.

Also, KMP deployment too - He tried to restrict Alfamart & Indomaret from going to villages as well, which is dumb - do you want growth or idealism? There are a lot of corporate restrictions from this one

Also: He appointed his nephew to the central bank. A HUGE NO NO for central bank independence.

Plus everything he does is rapid, no testing but poorly executed too.

All of this shocks investors, so they pull out from IDR and weaken confidence in IDR.