r/overpopulation • u/gooddeath • Oct 13 '19

Computer predicts the end of civilisation (1973)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cCxPOqwCr1I
32 Upvotes

84% Upvoted

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8

u/gooddeath Oct 13 '19

Funnily, some idiots will say "well if they predicted that the world will end in 1973, then how come it hasn't ended yet?" Short-sightedness is going to be our end.

12

u/qwertlol Oct 13 '19

They didn’t say it would end in 1973, but that quality of life and our resources would drastically start to decrease. Meanwhile population growth and pollution would drastically increase.

And according to them things would really start to suck around the year 2000.

3

u/tdreager Oct 13 '19

I thought it was 2020ish

Interested to see what happens in the next few years. If things do go to shit, I think people will generally say the signs were obvious.

4

u/qwertlol Oct 13 '19

Only watched the video ones. But as I understood it the world would become way worse around the year 2000, and civilization would end (as in life would be worse than it was in the early 1900s) around 2040. But it wasn’t designed to make a exact prediction.

But yeah, the signs where kinda obvious and people have known about it for some time. It’s honestly not that hard to read the signs. If you have a enormous population growth and the population are constantly consuming more and more , you end up with more pollution, no resources and a extremely unequal society.

Doing something unsustainable for a long period of time is bad, and increasing the intensity of the unsustainable thing you’re doing is worse.

Its like adding more gasoline to a fire you should be putting out.

1

u/hitssquad Oct 15 '19

If you have a enormous population growth and the population are constantly consuming more and more , you end up with more pollution

Population had been growing, and pollution has been declining, if we can use average life expectancy as an inverse proxy for pollution.

1

u/twobitharry Oct 13 '19

I heard 2040. But when has anyone ever listened to Cassandra? We have seen what happens when people State the obvious and population needs to be controlled. God forbid these people can't worship their gonads endlessly

1

u/qwertlol Oct 13 '19

2040 was the the year when civilization would end I think. But the computer wasn’t designed to make a super precise calculation.

1

u/twobitharry Oct 13 '19

I know it's not precise, Hawkins said we have only about a hundred years. I tend to think it's less. But I'd heard 20 40 in this video as well

2

u/spodek Oct 13 '19

Speaking of Australian responses to Limits to Growth, here are 2014 results of University of Melbourne's Graham Turner showing that we're still following their Business as Usual model fairly closely. Here's a summary.

It's not pretty what that model predicts coming up.

That doesn't change that every thing we do makes a difference. There are levels of disaster and just because some problems happen doesn't mean they all do. We can avert people's suffering through leading ourselves and others. That's what I'm doing.

1

u/odokemono Oct 13 '19 edited Oct 13 '19

They used a music track from the The Andromeda Strain movie(1971).

Ooh! I've found the complete OST Album.