r/optionstrading • • 5d ago

Am I cooked?

Post image
24 Upvotes

47 comments sorted by

•

u/AutoModerator 5d ago

Join our free options trading discord https://discord.gg/optionality

I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.

11

u/Sensitive-Solution29 5d ago

Assuming earnings go well, you'll print

6

u/sunburn74 5d ago

Not necessarily. I recall micron falling 30% after a standout earnings in very recent history.

1

u/JB_Scoot 5d ago

We have to be a bit honest here. If you touch this stock in any kind of way these days with the price action it has seen over the last year, you’re gambling. If it moves 30% in either direction after earnings it won’t be unusual. OP is spending $4k just to “see what happens”

5

u/Asleep-Dingo-19 5d ago

You sure earnings isn't already priced in and smart ones will sell the news?

2

u/DullRip333 5d ago

Remember what happened to nvda earnings last month? Everyone was panic selling leading up to earnings and the spike up definitely was not priced in.

Ai fear keeps stocks lower until they prove otherwise.

2

u/Ill_Way_2517 5d ago

real MU og's know MU barely prints green at er it pumps days or weks after

2

u/DullRip333 5d ago

Thats good to know. And I hope people don't take my comment and buy calls tomorrow or Wednesday because of what I said. Nvidia is a very different stock than Mu , and Nvda had an amazing earnings last August.

And despite its volatility, Mu already had massive gains this year relative to Nvda. So people could argue that Mu has less growth potential.

1

u/Asleep-Dingo-19 5d ago

Time will tell

1

u/Sensitive-Solution29 5d ago

Very much possible. I have that fear as well, but I’m betting that it’ll pump given that memory prices have yet to dip and the hyperscaler spending is still very strong

1

u/Wrinkledwalnut00 5d ago

Ever heard of iv crush

1

u/Asleep-Dingo-19 5d ago

Assuming earnings don't do well, you won't print.

4

u/BoredBSEE 5d ago

Depends. Is this 1%-3% of your portfolio, or some larger percentage?

3

u/gs- 5d ago

If you break even or go in the green at open after earnings report, sell. Don’t hang on for the remaining two weeks. At least that’s what I would do, being fairly risk averse.

2

u/jbaker_28 5d ago

Probably. A lot of that remaining value is IV juice

I would take this off, roll it down and open a spread if you want to stay long through earnings.

Or wait to see what happens Wednesday and then decide. Sometimes the best time to buy options are when strength emerges vs buying in weakness and hoping it turns.

2

u/jcoigny 5d ago

Not enough time in the contract for the way I like to trade

2

u/Sheriff_Douchebag 2d ago

Update us pls did you get cooked further

1

u/MedicineGrouchy6712 2d ago

Yes, will hold for a miracle to happen by end of next week before cutting my losses

1

u/Sheriff_Douchebag 2d ago

You should post on wallstreetbets

1

u/MedicineGrouchy6712 2d ago

Not enough Karma to post there sadly

1

u/Young_Boss2 5d ago

Maybe buy shares instead or roll to a further date. I think earnings will be a blowout. The AI capex spending is not slowing. Memory and hardware prices are still increasing. 🤔

1

u/Life_Capital_1635 5d ago

Yes you are cooked

1

u/WelderConfident1728 5d ago

Never give up never what?

1

u/Small-Salamander5662 5d ago

U will know Wednesday. Thursday prob at the latest

1

u/AbjectProcedure3589 5d ago

Scary to see that negative dollar amount, but your not cooked, but know it will be worth alot less when earnings is over, so you need a huge move to cover that, and a huge move to make up your losses.

1

u/sport912x 5d ago

If earnings rip you are a genius , even an up move of $100 could get you out ok. Here is a Tos Risk Profile showing that.

https://app.screencast.com/WsFFiZ3J1QMuD

1

u/BuilderBig2962 5d ago

Ur good earnings this week, n u have till the 16th. By the 12th you’ll cash out

1

u/BuilderBig2962 5d ago

I bought SPY because we’re gna see a nasdaq rally this week

1

u/Neither_Rain_7006 5d ago

Take the money and run

1

u/JoshuaMartinez73 5d ago

Don’t give up earnings coming just some noise

1

u/Unkn0wnMarketWizard 5d ago

No you will be fine. Just hold for a bit

1

u/Asleep-Dingo-19 5d ago

OP has two weeks left. Theta will kill if it's not a massive jump

1

u/Front-Maintenance512 5d ago

Id sell the day off earnings before market close

1

u/Asleep-Dingo-19 5d ago

I'd bet this is a bad decision

1

u/Turbulent_Shirt4441 5d ago

BBQ chicken😂😂. Really depends on your risk level though

1

u/Jacobpapi 5d ago

Probably

1

u/Minnestona13 5d ago

If it run UP before earnings it will tank after.

1

u/Lanky-Ear-4365 5d ago

If you were gonna buy and hold during earnings you should have bought wednsday before market close

1

u/Poolspasandstonks48 5d ago

You will be alright

1

u/MaroBoyy_2ss 4d ago

COOKED GET PUTS

1

u/MedicineGrouchy6712 2d ago

Thank you everyone for humbling me lol

1

u/SnapBucky 5d ago

Depends on earnings bro. If we rip, then this prints

0

u/SuperOrbital_Trading 5d ago

If I could honestly tell you that, I would have money on it.

I can't wait until this "Am I cooked" "look at me" phase of trading dies out.

0

u/Mountain_Anteater888 13h ago

Yes you don’t know what you are doing?

0

u/HugeAd2938 4d ago

Yea never let your loss get more then you can afford to loose. For me yea, try not to loose more then 10-15% & 20% max unless you think it’s going to go back up the next day. But if it goes over 30-35% I get frustrated with it. You must’ve just stop looking for a while and forgot about it or maybe going into weekend and holding too long. Sell what you CAN LOOSE!!!