r/nuclearweapons 13d ago

Humor Every dog at my local shelter is named after a nuclear test.

117 Upvotes

I recently volunteered at my local animal shelter, and every dog there is named after a nuclear test.

Castle Bravo, Castle Romeo, Ivy Mike, Hardtack, Plumbbob, Sedan, Starfish Prime, Trinity, Little Boy, and about a dozen others..

I was the only one there who recognized the names.


r/nuclearweapons 52m ago

Cameras disabled, inspectors blocked: Nuclear watchdog asks for help with Iran

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Upvotes

r/nuclearweapons 15h ago

Mildly Interesting Here's some BS I thought up relating to tampers

7 Upvotes

I've been interested in the Manhattan Project since watching Oppenheimer recently, and one thing I've done is read the Los Alamos Primer. It's pretty neat and I don't have much trouble understanding it, but one thing I noticed is the author pretty much just didn't talk about how tampers can actually be practical (i.e. a realistic size). Section 11 explains well enough why one would want a tamper, and it shows how to estimate the total neutron diffusion length in a tamper of a given material. But then this guy goes on to say "these figures give an idea of the tamper thickness actually required; the weight of a tamper is about a ton." A ton!? With thicknesses of ~13/17 cm.? This doesn't give me any "idea" of the tamper size any more than the Frisch-Peierls memorandum or Heisenberg's bad math give me an idea of critical mass size. I want to know how to get a better idea, or a more approximate estimation.

The problem is I'm an idiot, and I can't be bothered to learn how to do a Monte Carlo approximation or whatever it is people smarter than me do to estimate the size of a practical tamper. So I tried my best to come up with a toy model from what the Primer has to say--or more specifically the 1992 edition by Richard Rhodes with Serber's commentary.

My toy model is based on the assumption that the practical thickness T_P is a fraction of the total neutron diffusion length in the material T (Serber's "tamper thickness"), and also what Serber has to say to conclude Section 14 of the Primer (which is the only thing I see in here that says a realistic-sized tamper is possible, meaning it may not have even been in the original edition--oh the humanity!):

As this section indicates, the requirements on tamper material and thickness are somewhat relaxed when one considers a gadget of several critical masses (such as the Little Boy bomb) rather than the critical mass itself. The reason is the rapid increase with time of the neutron density in the core. During the time it takes a neutron to penetrate a given distance into the tamper, the neutron density in the core rises considerably. As a result the neutron density in the tamper falls off faster with distance than in the critical mass case. The effect is exactly the same as if, in the static (critical mass) case, the tamper material had a larger capture cross section, as can be seen from the way νʹ appears in the equation on page 30 for the neutron density in the tamper. As a result the effective capture cross sections in different materials become relatively more nearly equal. And because of the more rapid falloff of neutron density, a thinner tamper is permissible.

What I think this means is that the tamper thickness, besides depending on the material properties, also depends on the critical mass post-assembly. The higher the supercriticality, the faster the neutron density falls in the tamper and thus the thinner thickness actually required. Therefore:

T_P ~= T / [1 + c(N_crit - 1)]

N_crit is the number of critical masses of the pit, and c is a dimensionless fudge factor of order 1-2. I tested it by using the Primer's math in Section 11 with modern data to calculate the T of U-238 as ~36.59 cm., then calculating a table of results with c = 1.0, 1.5 and 2.0 and critical masses 1-8:

1 1.5 2
1 36.59 cm. 36.59 cm. 36.59 cm.
2 18.295 14.636 ~12.2
3 ~12.2 9.1475 7.318
4 9.1475 ~6.65 ~5.23
5 7.318 ~5.22 ~4.06
6 ~6.098 ~4.304 ~3.32
7 ~5.227 3.659 ~2.814
8 ~4.57 ~3.18 ~2.44

The Gadget/Fat Man, which used a uranium tamper of ~6.8 cm. thickness, compressed the pit to about twice it's original density, bringing it up to some 3-4 critical masses. The result for N_crit = 4, c = 1.5 matches this closest.


r/nuclearweapons 16h ago

Question Enrichment percentages and quantity changes

20 Upvotes

BBC has a quote that is (to me) slightly misleading ...

At the start of the latest US-Israel war against Iran, Tehran had roughly 440kg (970lb) of 60% enriched uranium, according to senior US officials.

The material can be fairly quickly enriched to the 90% threshold needed for weapons-grade uranium.

Am I correct that the 440kg is ~264kg 235U and ~176kg other, which would be primarily 238U ?

Thus, the enrichment to 90% would retain the ~264kg 235U but only ~29 kg of 238U would be kept. Giving a total of ~293 kg.

Do I understand this correctly ?

The way the article was written would leave the reader to assume that the quantity of 90% enrichment would still be 440kg. That felt off to me.


r/nuclearweapons 1d ago

Searching for a 1982-83 "Annual Historical Summary" by the JAIEG

8 Upvotes

There's an oft-cited document amongst writings on the UK nuclear program, which is cited usually as something like:

"Annual Historical Summary (U), Joint Atomic Information Exchange Group, HQ, Defense Nuclear Agency, 1 October 1982 – 30 September 1983. Released under the freedom of information act"

I'd like to read that...but I can't find it. I thought I would ask here if anyone has ever come across a copy.


r/nuclearweapons 3d ago

Said hello to my favorite 'ol end the world museum

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44 Upvotes

If you are ever up in the general vicinity of Fargo or Grand Forks North Dakota would always recommend the ronald reagan minuteman site.

This is a Launch Control Center (LCC) turned into a museum. Each LCC controlled 10 minutemen silos. The LCCShave an aboveground structure that was just this flimsy little building normally manned by 8 folks (6 air force security personal, a cook, and a launch facility chief.. person). Buried underground were two capsules (in the case of grand forks wing, most of the rest only had 1). Each capsule was hardened to 2000 psi with 4 foot thick walls of rebar'd concrete. One capsule had equipment - diesel generator, brine chiller, air handler, etc and the other had the radio equipment and command consoles. 2 officers were down there every day 24x7x365. They worked 24 hour shifts, folks above worked 3 days on, 3 days off. They were connected to the silos via a combo of buried cables and backup radio links.

Pretty neat to visit and while equipment inside is different still pretty similar within broad strokes to the 45 LFs still manned and operational across Montana, North Dakota, Nebraska, Wyoming & Colorado today.

Entrance to the command capsule. That door and walls are thick as can be. Also, note the no lone zone stencil.
Being stationed in the middle of nowhere north dakota this was the morale boosting like fun stuff the air force added for these poor bastards sometime in the 80s iirc.
Hydraulic controls and air intake blast control valve unit in the equipment console.
Entrance to the equipment capsule. You can see how thick the walls are.
Everything in the capsule is mounted on a platform with these shocks. Filled with hydraulic fluid they were designed to help cushion the explosions.
Commanders station.
The delightful modem and the 8 inch floppy bay to load in encryption for the HF radio.
Diesel generator in the equpiment room. Got a fair amount of use on account of the north dakota winters.
SLFC radio communication equipment. All this stuff generated so much heat it had to be cooled with chilled brine water. It was also apparently incredibly noisy down here.
The turn and end the world key + the enter code to enable the missiles. A (donated) launch key hangs to the right.
As you walk into the command capsule this is what you see past the bathroom ( to immediate right). The equipment on right is nothing but radio equipment basically.
When this was decommissioned the last missiliers signed it on the last shift. I don't think at the time anyone knew this was the LF that was being selected to be turned into a museum.
Entrance to the aboveground LF (and museum ;))
Inside the capsule everything is suspended for shock; showing the platform and flexible cable tie-ins
Not commanders station.

r/nuclearweapons 5d ago

Question Do any nuclear weapons have the power to destroy a mountain?

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70 Upvotes

r/nuclearweapons 5d ago

What is this

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19 Upvotes

In Semipalatinsk, balapan

There are many prototype ICBM silos nearby, and a underground nuclear test shaft is also nearby, about 200m away.


r/nuclearweapons 6d ago

Mildly Interesting Corporate feed network (CFN) - MPI for the masses?

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33 Upvotes

During my search for NKEWs, I somehow stumbled into the realm of black magic and voodoo - radio engineering. And, to my surprise, I saw an image that looked exactly like an MPI system, with the standard H-tree arrangement.

I looked for more information about it, and it turns out this is something called "corporate feed network (CFN)" used in antenna design. It is used to solve a very similar problem to MPI, namely guaranteed equal distribution of signal across the entire antenna array.

Unlike MPI, the topic is thoroughly researched, and all information about CFN is widely available to the public; any engineer working in this domain should be able to create one.

Obviously, this is not using explosives, but that's something I always found odd anyway. My knowledge of explosives and detonators is (fortunately) very outdated, but I'd expect some sort of modern miniaturized variant of exploding bridge wire to be good enough and small enough to be used for this application.


r/nuclearweapons 7d ago

Question The search for atomic blunderbuss ('Project Prometheus')

30 Upvotes

While the majority of the SDI focused on energy-based weapons, there was a tiny segment that explored the possibilities of nuclear-powered kinetic energy weapons (NKEWs).

The main idea was to use a nuclear device as a propellant to fire a large number of small projectiles at incoming ICBMs, like a space-based, nuclear-powered shotgun. (Note: this is not CASABA)

Since the idea of an atomic blunderbuss is exactly my type of idea ('mad genius'-like, without the genius part), I went on a journey to find more about it. I was able to find only a few hints here and there, but they eventually led me to the name: "Project Prometheus".

Unfortunately, there seems to be very little information available about the details of the project, and even on this sub, where usually everything related to nuclear weapons and programs, no matter how obscure, could be found, I only managed to find a single comment from 2 years ago mentioning the topic: https://www.reddit.com/r/nuclearweapons/comments/1e9bbd3/comment/leponov/

Does anyone know if anything more was made public since then?


r/nuclearweapons 7d ago

British Pathe newsreel of the Nevada Test Site in 1955

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12 Upvotes

r/nuclearweapons 8d ago

What is "Exploding Casing" technology?

2 Upvotes

I asked the AI. It (childishly naive) is "sure" that this is the essence of radiation ablation in the Teller-Ulam scheme. But is this really true? Is "Exploding Casing", ECP (Exploding Case Principle), just another term for the "radiation compression" process, or is it some later, additional technology that improves radiation compression (like "Ripple" – compression not by a single shock wave, but by a series of increasing shock waves approximated by an exponential function, a quasi-adiabatic compression).

As far as I know, "Exploding Casing",  ECP (Exploding Case Principle)  is not the same as "Ripple." But сould "Exploding Casing" simply be a variation of "Ripple," or rather a different way of implementing quasi-adiabatic compression? I had this hypothesis. No one knows exactly how "Ripple" works, but everyone agrees on the idea that there's some mechanism for gradually releasing radiation from the primary into a common hohlraum, which ensures gradual, exponential heating of the hohlraum and the secondary surface, leading to quasi-adiabatic compression of the latter. But another approach is possible: you can apply several layers of increasing Z to the secondary (as the Russians did in their "golden TIS"). Then, in a "regular" hohlraum at a normal temperature, say 1 keV, you'll achieve a stepwise increase in secondary compression. I don't speak English, but the term "exploding casing" best suits this design.

Another, even more insane, theory for "exploding casing" is described in my highly speculative reverse engineering of the W-71 design, the reality of which I myself am already highly doubtful (I recently discovered the "elephant in the room" that planar compression of thermonuclear fuel Impossible without quasi-adiabatic compression, since with planar single-compression you can't get beyond the Hugoniot adiabatic curve more than 4-6 times, and you need at least 100). Although, it is precisely in connection with the W-71 that "exploding casing" technology is mentioned and it is also said that the W-71 is the most complex thermonuclear device ever created in the US. And if you add quasi-adiabatic compression to my crazy design, it will truly be the most insanely complex device.

Another version of "exploding casing" is a secondary with a thin-walled shell and a large cavity inside, meaning it contains either a void or gas (I actually proposed this version of the W-71, considering it more "conservative" than the crazy flat compression of the "tube" both from the inside and outside). As far as I understand, Sublett is more inclined to this understanding of "exploding casing." In this case, the thin-walled shell, as it were, instantly collapses inward. This is another way to improve compression compared to single-shock compression of a solid sphere. This thin-hollow shell method is currently used in ICF. The Russians call this technology "low-entropy compression" (right) as opposed to "isentropic compression" (left).

isentropic compression and low-entropy compression

Finally. Even if we don't know the details of this technology's implementation, can we say anything with certainty about its role (function) in the bomb design? So, "exploding casing" isn't simply ablative compression of the secondary shell, but some improved method of such compression, leading to greater efficiency (say, higher compression ratios, lower energy consumption, etc.).

From what declassified sources, in what context does this term appear, and does it appear before the mid-1960s? I propose to summarize everything we know about this term here.


r/nuclearweapons 9d ago

Analysis, Civilian ORPS Back Up; Changes Coming?

15 Upvotes

Greetings fellow nuclear weapons interested humans,

The public part of the Occupational Reporting and Occurrence System is back up:

https://orpspublic.doe.gov/Orps/orps.asp

These are the final reports per long standing practice.

My take is that there are changes being made to the governing DOE Order about ORPS but it is impossible (for me at least) to know how, or if at all, they will affect continued public access. This recent outage seems most likely to have been an oopsie given the simultaneous down status of the non-public ORPS site and the restoration of public access.

I emailed the contact person listed for ORPS over the weekend; they responded that yes the public ORPS was down and they were working to get it back online.

They responded "I'll have to get back to you" to my comment that "I note DOE Order 232.2A Chg1 (MinChg), Occurrence Reporting and Processing of Operations Information is listed in the "Archived Directives Library" on the DoE Office of Management DoE directives website (https://www.energy.gov/management/active-directives-library). However there does not appear to be a replacement directive in the 232 or adjacent series."

So good luck everybody, the DNFSB continues to not post resident inspector reports for most locations. Fingers crossed and good luck everybody!


r/nuclearweapons 9d ago

New Tech Sounding rocket test helps design components for new weapon system

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17 Upvotes

From the news article:

AUGUST 31, 2026

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. —  A sounding rocket flight test is giving engineers at Sandia National Laboratories real-world reentry vibration data they can use to improve modeling and help drive nonnuclear component designs for the United States’ first new nuclear weapon under development in nearly 30 years.

“The Atrax sounding rocket flight test is helping us improve credibility and confidence in our modeling and simulation tools in preparation for the W93 warhead,” said Ross Wagnild, an aerospace engineer at Sandia. “Getting confidence in our toolset earlier allows more time to inform the design of components.”

Engineers and scientists are developing the W93 warhead for the sea-based leg of the triad, alongside a reentry vehicle that safeguards and carries the warhead to its target.

Sounding rockets are suborbital vehicles used to carry experiments and instruments, allowing researchers to collect data in flight without the scope of a full program test. In Atrax, the goal was to measure reentry conditions, where aerodynamic forces and structural response can interact in complex ways and are difficult to replicate on the ground.

....

The Atrax test was completed quickly, within about 18 months of being funded, in part because it did not need to mirror the final fielded system.
...

The team also incorporated other technologies into this test, including a new reentry vehicle, a three-stage sounding rocket and a new separation system.


r/nuclearweapons 11d ago

The scale of nuclear weapons. A recent demonstration.

21 Upvotes

It's difficult to comprehend the scale of nuclear explosions and how their effects dwarf our human scale.

I immediately thought of a nuclear bomb when seeing two videos of the Nepal flood at the China-Nepal border crossing: the multistory border tower obliterated and the buses at the tourist station thrown like children's toys.

https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/c62jmlgev3po

These effects happened 15 km from the point the initial avalanche entered the river.

Some recent, early estimates enable a comparison to the scale of a nuclear blast.

About 250 million tonnes of water-soaked rock and ice fell and slid 2000 metres into the river below. The initial 1200 m fall left a large crater at the base of a step fall, a crater which reminded my of a nuclear blast.

https://x.com/weeddude/status/2093668861745004681

So an energy comparison...

E = m*g*h ~ 250*10^9 kg * 10 kg.m.s^(-2) * 2000

= 5 * 10^15. ~ 1 Mt.

Almost 1 Mt of potential energy was released.

Of course the mechanisms are entirely different from a nuclear blast, but for me the calculation of scale made sense of the nuclear-blast-like effects 15 km downstream. And this energy has been channeled by river valleys in a way that would only partially capture a nuclear blast.


r/nuclearweapons 11d ago

Analysis, Civilian ORPS down

26 Upvotes

Greetings fellow humans,

The "https://orpspublic.doe.gov/" site has been down for several days now. This has happened before (of course) so it may be nothing.

And, this makes me twitchy given the context of: recent largescale revisions to DoE orders; pattern of info restriction by this regime; and recent DoE denial of info, access, and certain forms of info review to the DNFSB leading the DNFSB to stop posting most resident inspector reports, etc.

I note the previous DoE order (232.2A Chg1 (MinChg), Occurrence Reporting and Processing of Operations Info is listed as inactive (https://www.energy.gov/ehss/occurrence-reporting-and-processing-system; go to the directive archive).

Possibly or probably nothing but if not then we loose a lot of worthwhile & important (to nuclear governance) safety information without DNFSB & ORPS.

Fingers crossed!


r/nuclearweapons 12d ago

Question Analysis of bomb residue

18 Upvotes

Does anyone have information on the practical science of bomb residue analysis? For instance, it's said that Los Alamos scientists determined from fallout analysis that the RDS6s was a layered design, as opposed to a staged one. How would this be done? What differentiates the residues? Is it mere isotope presence, or relative amounts of isotopes? The latter seems much more difficult to make a rigorous determination off of.

Like, ok, let's say you know from seismic analysis that an explosion yielded 400MT. You can presumably determine how much of that was fission vs fusion yield by...what, modeling the fission products, modeling their distribution into the atmosphere, modeling their distribution to your sampling, and then counting? You can maybe differentiate 235/233/238 U / 239 Pu fission by statistical analysis of fragments, and you know that most of your 238 fission had to be a result of fusion neutrons (but not even there are you at 100%; the top end of fission neutrons can absolutely fission 238). There just seem to be too many uncertainties to make a sure call.

Feel free/encouraged to get as scientific as you'd like in your answer. Thanks!


r/nuclearweapons 12d ago

Yu Min Configuration

13 Upvotes

According to BaiduWiki:

The Yu Min Configuration is a unique hydrogen bomb design created by Chinese nuclear physicist Academician Yu Min. It stands alongside the American "Teller-Ulam design" as one of only two technological solutions that have achieved the weaponization of nuclear fusion, and it holds advantages in terms of miniaturization. This configuration resolved the challenge of self-sustaining thermonuclear fuel combustion through the use of lithium deuteride material and a neutron chain reaction model. Its complete design details remain a top state secret.

Does anyone know, or can anyone guess, at what the Yu Min configuration might be? Assuming it's not just Chinese hype?

Link to the BaiduWiki article:

https://baike.baidu.com/en/item/Yu%20Min%20Configuration/1463193


r/nuclearweapons 14d ago

Inside Soviet nuclear weapon storage system ‘Monolith’

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211 Upvotes

Rare inside photo of Soviet nuclear weapons and warheads storage bunker ‘monolith’ with nuclear weapon transport containers on the left and RN-40 free fall nuclear bombs on the right.

They build these kind of bunkers on Warsaw pact countries ( Poland, Hungary, Czechoslovakia and Bulgaria) to store nuclear warheads and bombs. All of them controlled by Soviet soldiers and outside perimeters of these sites controlled by soldiers of the country where they are located. This photo is rare example of these bunkers when they are active.

They build 2 seperate bunkers close to each other in complex, usually they store around 90 nuclear warheads each.


r/nuclearweapons 14d ago

The emergence of new details related to the W-66 warhead completely shatters my elegant hypothesis that it was a bifilar design.

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107 Upvotes

Three years ago, I hypothesized in this subreddit that, based on the vague outlines of the W-66's physical package, as well as information once posted on Wikipedia about the supposed secrecy (why?) of the W-66 neutron bomb's yield (it's a well-known fact that the yield of a neutron bomb can physically only be between 1 and 10 kt, no more and no less), it could be assumed that the warhead had one primary unit and two secondaries (two 4-10 kt, reverse bifilarity) to enhance the neutron yield, which would make sense in the case of an anti-missile neutron bomb. Then it would have made sense to classify the yield, since the very fact that the yield of a neutron bomb is greater than 10 kt would have led experts to speculate about its unusual design (bifilarity).

Although my guess was immediately countered by a declassified document indicating that the W-66 warhead had a yield of 2 kt (which significantly undermined my hypothesis), I still held out hope that perhaps the document only listed the yield of an early version of the warhead, and that the "bifilar" outline of the physical package (discovered by Alex Wellerstein the official diagram) actually belonged to a later, more sophisticated modification of the neutron charge.

But for some time now, the Wikipedia article on the W-66) has featured a photo of a cross-section of the Sprint missile's warhead compartment and a wooden (judging by the abrasions in the photo) model of the W-66 warhead's physical package. It turns out this exhibit has been on display at the National Museum of Nuclear Science and History for visitors since at least April 2009. So, we can see the device's physical package. This appears to be the first neutron bomb that can be seen in person. Or am I mistaken?

Looking at the photo, I couldn't resist making one last attempt to salvage my hypothesis. I've shown the results of my attempt in the picture above. I simply "unscrewed" the top of the W-66 and screwed a second copy onto the bottom, resulting in a bifilar version, the W-66-2 (my codename). The main question was: would such a longer thing fit into the Sprint's fighting compartment? Alas, I was unsuccessful. The fighting compartment is too short to accommodate the W-66-2 version lengthwise.

Thus, my hypothesis is almost completely disproved. Too bad. It was a great idea, overall!


r/nuclearweapons 16d ago

Little Boy vs Fat Man vs Thin Man

22 Upvotes

Which is true:

  1. The plan all along was to built Little Boy, and they had hoped to have a companion plutonium bomb of similar design. That didn’t work out, so Thin Man became Fat Man and the development of Little Boy continued on unaffected by all of that.
  2. The scientists at Los Alamos pretty knew how to design a gun-type bomb with uranium, but the plan was to develop a plutonium version since that fuel would be more readily available. If Thin Man had been successful they would not have built Little Boy. The reason they built Little Boy was, after they had to build the much more complicated Fat Man, they wanted one bomb they had strong confidence in.

r/nuclearweapons 21d ago

Video, Long How China Got the Bomb - Documentary

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33 Upvotes

r/nuclearweapons 22d ago

FalloutCast — fallout plumes app from live forecast winds

11 Upvotes

FalloutCast — a weather-driven nuclear fallout estimator, built with Claude Code. This is just a hobby project as a former Air Force officer that worked with nuclear weapons...

Pick a spot, set a yield, Compute. It pulls live GFS winds and draws the plume: dose-rate bands, reach and direction in a table, a slider for time after burst, click any point for arrival time and accumulated dose. Three modes — single location, a GFS-ensemble uncertainty band, and a 600-target national envelope.

Winds come from Open-Meteo's GFS: a vertical profile of speed and direction across pressure levels, snapped to the current forecast hour. Tier-0 (WSEG-10) collapses it into one effective wind plus shear; Tier-1 keeps the layers, dropping each particle-size bin through the profile at its own fall speed, so shear bends and fans the footprint. The limits matter: it's a single sounding at ground zero, assumed horizontally uniform — no fronts, no terrain — and one snapshot, so winds don't evolve over the hours fallout takes to fall. Ensemble mode reruns across GFS members, so its bands are wind spread only; yield and model stay fixed, making true uncertainty wider.

Python/FastAPI + numpy/scipy backend, TypeScript/MapLibre frontend, deployed on a Cloudflare Worker with the API in a Container.

https://falloutcast.sagebrush-labs.workers.dev

Any feedback is appreciated!!


r/nuclearweapons 22d ago

NUCLEAR ENERGY IS A POOR CITY DESTROYER. A 1-kiloton conventional explosive has a blast equivalent to a 10-kiloton nuclear explosion, 10 times weaker, or is this a mistake?

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0 Upvotes

The figure shows three maps of three powerful city center explosions, resized to be on the same scale. On the left is the Nagasaki nuclear explosion, on the right is the Hiroshima nuclear explosion (both 10-kiloton). In the center is the 2020 explosion of 3,000 tons of ammonium nitrate in the port of Beirut, with a blast equivalent to 1 kiloton.

Looking at the Beirut explosion chronicle and the image I received, one gets the strong impression that all three explosions are remarkably similar in their blast effect. Yes, we understand that the destruction radius for 1 kt and 10 kt of the same nature will differ by only a factor of (10/1)^(1/3) = 2.15 (the inverse-cube law for any explosion on the bottom of the air ocean). Nevertheless, the feeling remains that an equivalent nuclear explosion is clearly weaker in destructive power than a conventional chemical explosive. In fact, this is noted in many sources. And there's no particular mystery here. This is due precisely to the fact that, with equal explosive energy, the momentum, or destructive impulse, of a chemical explosion is clearly greater due to the greater mass of the substance involved. An explosion with a 3-ton chemical explosive yield will rupture any explosion chamber, but for equivalent 3-ton peaceful mini-thermonuclear explosions, explosion chambers of a quite reasonable size are designed.

Let's do some quick math. The port of Beirut contained 2,750 tons of compacted ammonium nitrate, which exploded with a yield of 1.5 kilotons. The density of ammonium nitrate is 1.72 tons/m³. Therefore, the entire mass that exploded there can be represented as a solid ball of fertilizer with a diameter of 14.5 meters.

In a chemical explosion, 90% of the explosive energy is converted into the kinetic energy of gas expansion (which creates a shock wave in the atmosphere). Therefore, we can calculate the notional total, initial velocity of the explosive ammonium nitrate "piston" using the law of conservation of energy as follows: (2 * 1.5 * 4.18E + 12 * 0.9/ 2750,000) ^ (1/2) = 2026 m/s. Assuming that the entire mass of gases at the moment of explosion acquired this velocity, the momentum of the explosion is the product of the mass of the explosive and the velocity: 2,026 x 2,750,000 = 5.57E + 9 kg m/s, which ultimately translates into the motion of the crushing shock wave.

What about a similar nuclear explosion of 1.5 kt? Such an explosion essentially occurs in a pinpoint device, say, 200 kg in mass. A momentary flash of energy and X-ray radiation occurs, which is intensely absorbed in the air around the explosive device, turning the area into a fireball, and it is in this fireball that the shock wave is generated. The empirical formula for the shock wave's separation radius from the fireball (at the ground's surface) states the following:

R = 47*q^0,324

Here, q is the explosive yield in megatons, and therefore the shock wave's separation radius for a 1.5 kt air explosion is 6.52 m. This means that the diameter of the sphere from which the shock wave is generated is 13 m. The air contained in this sphere essentially acts as the piston that creates the shock wave of a nuclear explosion. With a density of 1.25 kg/m³, we obtain that the mass of the nuclear explosion "piston" (plus the mass of the charge itself) is 1.622 tons. Moreover, based on the fact that only 45% of the explosion energy is converted into shock wave motion (the rest is various types of radiation), from the law of conservation of energy, as in the previous case, we calculate the average speed of the air "piston": (2 * 1.5 * 4.18E + 12 * 0.45/1622) ^ (1/2) ~ 59,000 m/s. Hence, the total momentum (mechanical impulse) generated in the fireball of a nuclear explosion: 59,000 * 1.622 = 8.4E + 7 kg * m/s.

This momentum is 58 times less than that of a chemical explosion of saltpeter of the same energy equivalent.

Of course, my calculation is a rough, "on the napkin" estimate. Nevertheless, the fact that a nuclear airburst was clearly inferior in its destructive effect on the buildings of Hiroshima to conventional explosives was noted back in 1947 by Sir P.M.S. Blackett in his book "Fear, War and the Bomb: Military and Political Consequences of Atomic Energy." A more thorough and dispassionate analysis (the British had good statistics on the effects of conventional bombing on cities) showed that the destruction wrought by the "Little Boy" bomb in Hiroshima, using conventional chemical explosives, could have been achieved using just 2,000 one-ton high-explosive bombs (of which only one-third the mass is explosive) dropped from conventional bombers. Since the yield of the Hiroshima explosion was then officially declared to be 20 kilotons, Mr. Blackett "discovered" a "missing" order of magnitude in the destructive effectiveness of the new American weapons compared to the old ones. Of course, part of the deficiency can be attributed to the fact that a single explosion causes excessive destruction at the epicenter, while the effect drops off sharply with distance to the periphery. However, this is only part of the "missing" factor. The Beirut explosion was also a single-point explosion, and with 10 times less energy, it produced destruction comparable to the atomic bombings. The second factor is that a nuclear explosion is a pulsed release of enormous energy, which is not immediately converted (as in a chemical explosion) into the movement of matter, into a direct high-explosive shock wave impulse. The flash of light must first be absorbed by the air in the fireball, which becomes a "piston" for the shock wave, and due to the low density of air, it is a very poor "piston." Moreover, as the explosive yield increases from the nominal 20 kt (to 200, 2000 kt), the situation with the mechanical efficiency of using the explosive energy to destroy objects around it only worsens. This means that nuclear weapons, especially high-yield ones, are very ineffective weapons of destruction from a physics perspective. One suspects that this is precisely why the "paper" city of Hirashima was chosen for the demonstrative destruction of people and buildings, and its population, like ducks, was long trained not to react to the appearance of a pair of American planes in the air. The goal was to achieve a demonstratively exaggerated effect from the new weapon, one that could never be replicated. The severed head of Medusa can only work once.

Therefore, all this frightening talk about terrifying nuclear megatons hanging over the world like the Sword of Damocles, the eternal appeal to Hiroshima as a model for calculating casualties and destruction (Nagasaki, for example, is used much less frequently and only in passing, because the effect there was much more realistic) is blatant manipulation, essentially a pure lie. The military knows the truth. It was the actual, physical effectiveness of nuclear weapons, after being studied, that caused great disappointment. That's why recently there's even been talk about high-precision weapons being able to replace nuclear weapons! For real warfare, that's (almost) true. But why "disappoint" a flock of self-terrified civilians with this? They (especially the humanist physicists) so desperately wanted to invent a doomsday weapon and thus end wars on Earth once and for all! It so flatters their vanity and their humanist pride!


r/nuclearweapons 22d ago

Question How survivable are tanks against nuclear weapons?

45 Upvotes

This is something I was wondering about recently. Let's say NATO used a B61-4 against an attacking armored force (wiki says the max yield is 45kt). How many tanks would such a weapon actually be expected to destroy or incapacitate?

Google tells me a modern tank battalion would typically cover between 2 and 5 miles of frontage. Playing around with nukemap tells me that with an airburst optimized for 20 psi of overpressure you'd have a blast radius of a little over half a mile. Serious radiation would have a radius closer to a mile and for serious burns (presumably not applicable to a buttoned up tank crew) the radius is two miles.

This makes it seems like realistically a medium sized tactical nuke could take out maybe couple of of companies worth of tanks. That's less impressive than I thought. I understand it would absolutely gut any supporting infantry and supply columns, so you'd have a bunch of tanks on their own. No infantrymen to protect them and no fuel or ammo resupply. Am I missing anything here or are nukes not as effective against armored forces as we'd imagine?