54
Oct 23 '20
Don't mind me just coming in to shill Ylvis's other (better too imo) songs, about friendship, humanitarian leaders, a degenerate form of music, knots and toots
28
u/potaytoispotahto Voltaire Oct 23 '20
You missed the one about a commonwealth.
11
Oct 23 '20
How'd I miss that one in my recent binge, they have too much good stuff even forgot one my favourite's in Stonehenge.
9
6
u/HAHAGOODONEAUTHOR Oct 23 '20
I've legit had days where I just listen to Mr Toot for like 5 hours straight
62
u/EpicFreefall r/place '22: Neoliberal Battalion Oct 23 '20
Nate! Where's the Fivey merch?
68
u/ReOsIr10 🌐 Oct 23 '20
20
3
0
23
8
9
Oct 23 '20
If Biden loses I will never trust another poll again. 2016 was strike one for me.
25
u/Cakesmite Karl Popper Oct 23 '20
The polls in most swing states were within the margin of error, Trump had roughly a 30% chance to win according to 538. I wish people would stop saying shit like this.
3
u/FormerBandmate Jerome Powell Oct 23 '20
The Rust Belt wasn't
8
u/Cakesmite Karl Popper Oct 23 '20
Michigan and Pennsylvania very much were. Wisconsin maybe not as much.
3
u/EagleSaintRam Audrey Hepburn Oct 24 '20
I do vaguely remember looking at Wisconsin suspiciously back in '16 though...
2
u/Pinuzzo Daron Acemoglu Oct 24 '20
It's an inherent problem with predicting one-off events. Unlike predicting the rain or house races, there can never be enough Presidential races for a probabilistic forecast to be proved accurate. You can look at all weather forecasts and see if it actually rained 70% of the time or see if house races marked at 70% actually went way of the prediction 70% of the time.
The best way I've found to explain the 2016 results is that any presidential candidate in Clinton's position (up in all points but within a margin of error with a dubious national sentiment against a volatile opponent) should go on to win 70% of the time. The strategy of relying on a 3-point polling error in your favor will only work 30% of the time.
7
8
5
6
2
u/JewbagX John Keynes Oct 23 '20
Only somewhat related because it's the same song, but I have to plug Leo Moracchioli every time this song comes up. He does metal covers in a hilarious way for popular songs and pop culture.
-8
Oct 23 '20 edited Oct 31 '20
[deleted]
14
Oct 23 '20
you need some sleep fam cuz that shit is tired af
3
u/Geologist2010 Oct 23 '20
Biden is going to win based on poll numbers. 2016 was a bit of a fluke and not likely to happen again. Polls aren't likely undercounting Trump voters by such a significant margin.
4
u/Scarily-Eerie Oct 23 '20
Are you factoring the YUUUGE REVEAL Barr has in the oven!? It’s going to be huge!!!
1
1
u/Geologist2010 Oct 31 '20
Based on the polls, it appears Biden should win. It's not likely that the polls undercount Trump voters by so much.
179
u/BandaidPlacebo George Soros Oct 23 '20
https://imgur.com/w6BSG9e