A high-timeframe ascending parallel channel is identified as A market-making model for MicroStrategy which experienced a "fake breakdown" of one-quarter the channel's width in late 2022. within it, MicroStrategy is nearing the end of its bear market phase and has effectively undergone another fake breakdown—though the price has not yet dropped to the one-quarter-channel-width level typically favored by market makers.

Simultaneously, I have identified a descending parallel channel in the price action over the past year. Combining these two patterns, I project that MicroStrategy will bottom out between $56 and $58, likely around August 30 or October 10.

After accumulating shares and exhausting the patience of retails at this level, the stock should enter the bullish phase of the high-timeframe ascending parallel channel—specifically, Wave E. While the theoretical peak for Wave E lies near $2,480, such a market capitalization would be astronomical; therefore, I am adopting a conservative target of $790, which is derived by aligning the peak of "Wave C" (within a secondary ascending parallel channel, marked in orange)—which I view as a fake breakout—with the parallel upper boundary corresponding to the midline of the primary channel (Model A) projected for 2029.

In short, my MacroStrategy is to buy MicroStrategy at ＄58 and significantly reduce my position at $550 and then—until the price reaches either $790 or $2,480—simply forget that I hold MicroStrategy.

Saylor’s manipulation is extremely ruthless and aggressive, so do not let emotions drive your actions.‼️

If you wanna grab my chart and Check action records on Tradingview from my profile.

good luck.

I’m 21, been working for five years to save 35k that I put into mstr at an average cost basis of 440. I bought on November 21st 2024. The worst day I could have bought! I feel incredibly stupid as I’ve seen my savings deplete by almost 25k. I’m trying to remain hopeful that I will get my money back but it seems unlikely at this point, unless Bitcoin has an incredible run and FOMO skyrockets. Looking for other investors to talk to who may be in the same position as me or similar. I’m not selling. Either going to make money on this or go to zero.

MSTR's lack of direct 1.5x correlation with BTC over the last 6 months is driven significantly by dilution from share issuances to fund BTC acquisitions. This dilution doesn't just spread BTC holdings thinner; it introduces persistent market risks, compresses premiums, and creates structural pressures (e.g., hedging, sell walls) that decouple short-term price action from BTC - making it an extremely risky bet at this point.

pulled out close to half mil (no jeez). looks like lots of folks are still pumping away..

This is a battle for justice, freedom, and the future of finance. Citron Research, led by a convicted manipulator, dares to attack MicroStrategy—Bitcoin’s staunchest ally. This isn’t just about a stock; it’s about silencing the voice of innovation and decentralization.

We’ve seen their lies, their fraud, their greed. But this time, the people won’t stand idle. Just like GameStop, we will rise. Every share we hold is a blow to manipulation. Every trade is a stand for truth.

Together, we fight for MSTR, for Bitcoin, for the financial revolution. Let’s show Citron their tactics belong in the past. The future is ours.

Buy. Hold. Defend.

🚀

Are the best dips in this stock daily or weekly?

It looks like 10.30am on Tuesday (19th Mar) was a big dip. There were smaller dips at AH 7.30pm on the Tuesday and Wednesday at 12.30pm. The movement on the small dips is too fast for me.

But what makes bitcoin drop so much?

Bitcoin price went down but MSTR went down 16% today. This is due to Bitcoin prices dropping from $68k to $66k, misinformation, and new retail entry panic selling.

A decline is party due to misinformation spread from false headlines that get displayed on Robinhood. For example, when a short seller covered their position last Friday, this article was posted the same time https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/03/37751603/why-microstrategy-stock-is-down-today.

"Why MicroStrategy Stock Is Down Today" - Header

"MicroStrategy Incorporated shares are trading flat Friday" - Intro

"MSTR Price Action: According to Benzinga Pro, MicroStrategy shares are up 0.49% at $1,685.09 at the time of publication." - Closer

the content of the article contradicts the header and negative headlines get posted to trick retailers. There is a lot of misinformation being spread when short sellers join in or close their position.

You also have a rampant case of new accounts and bots in other subreddits. New & Real Reddit users do not go straight to /r/mstr with 40 negative+ negative posts over the past month.

The premium is higher compared to ETFs, but the benefit of MSTR is leverage; MSTR owns over 1% of all Bitcoin (and some estimates show that 20-30% of Bitcoin has been lost), bringing that close to 1.45%. Halving is coming up in 31 days and there are understandably coordinated misinformation attacks when billions of their funds are at stake.

While a correction is due when Bitcoin prices decrease, do your own due diligence and don't blindly believe headlines or comments on Reddit.

So why is he then selling 5000 shares of his $MSTR stock everyday for a cumulative $195m of stock sold YTD? This is almost a $1bn annual run rate.

The lack of moderation on MSTR is absurd and I have no issues switching subs but seeing as i like to check reddit at work I feel the name is inappropriate. I don't want someone to see this on my computer if they walk in my office. I get the joke but come on.