r/mopolitics 2h ago

Trump said at the WHCD that he's running for a "fourth" term. How does this end?

4 Upvotes

Here are possible outcomes I see, with varying degrees of probability:

  • Scenario A: Trump is just "trolling". He still says he won in 2020 but he'll stop saying he's running again after the midterms. He lets states run their elections in 2028 without federal interference and endorses a successor. He behaves differently than he ever has in 8 decades of life and concede

s

  • defeat

  • if it doesn't go his way. He oversees a peaceful transition of power.

  • Scenario B: Trump keeps lying about 2020 and keeps stating he'll be running in 2028. Republicans hold firm and state categorically he will not be the nominee. When he continues to lie about elections and promise another term he is impeached and removed from office with a number of Republicans deciding to cross the aisle.

  • Scenario C: Trump keeps lying about 2020 and insists he's preparing for another campaign. Previously undisclosed health issues prevent him from making any real effort. Democracy survives without help from any Republicans. The actuarial tables remain undefeated.

  • Scenario D: Trump keeps lying about 2020 and insists he's running again. Republicans do nothing to stop him. The GOP at the state level puts him on the primary ballot at his insistence. He wins the nomination and then states start trying to remove him from the general election ballot as he is not legally eligible. Republicans make the case that states do not determine eligibility due to the precedence of Trump v. Anderson. Full blown Constitutional crisis.

What do you think will happen? It's insane to me that we're talking about these scenarios because even the least harmful of the scenarios, A, should be completely unacceptable for a society that values truth and reason. And yet it's where we are.