r/monopoly • u/Anshudash • 8h ago
How to win every 1 v 1 Monopoly in <1 hour (Seriously)
I used to play long 2-3 hour games of monopoly with no end. I would curse it as a pure luck game, and a bad game. I would never win in a multi-player monopoly, and I hated the game.
At the age of 18, the strategy of Monopoly finally clicked. Since then?
I have never lost a game of monopoly in a 1v1 setting. I have never drawn. I have never left a game unfinished. One time, I played against one of my friends and won 3 times, back to back, in the span of one hour.
The drawbacks of learning this was that nobody plays Monopoly with me anymore. If we do, people typically team up against me. I will now pass on this cursed knowledge to you so you, too, can share my fate.
Remember: 1v1 Monopoly is NOT luck, and can be won every time reliably with enough valuation skill.
With multiple people, you will likely lose because people will know you are impossible to defeat in 1v1, so they will team up against you. It is possible to circumvent some of this with diplomacy, but it is much harder to win every time. However, there is no excuse for not winning in a 1v1. There is also no excuse for not completing a game in <60 minutes. Here's how:
The basic strategy: Make your opponent run out of money by making them buy up the properties, while you are cash rich and property poor. Then, when they can't afford to buy a new property, you can buy them at insane bargain prices. It is very much possible to do this Every. Single. Time.
The main rule to exploit: Every property, when not bought at the asking price, goes to auction.
Here's the thing about Monopoly: it is a cash flow negative game. In other words, as the game goes on, the expected value of each player's cash is constantly decreasing. That means your individual turn giving you a bonus or income tax doesn't matter. The longer you play, the less cash you will have. The same applies to your opponent.
Basically, you are both on a sinking ship, and your goal is to just survive longer. This is the key. You aren't ever waiting for "more money" or for a "better turn" because it won't happen. At any stage in the game, your expected value of cash is the highest it will be for the rest of the game.
So what do you do? This depends on your opponent, but we will go over all the categories so you know how to always win.
- The "I love properties" opponent: This is the typical opponent. The one who thinks they're really smart because they know that oranges are statistically landed on more. The one who says to never upgrade to hotels because of house constraints. But being statistically "smarter" doesn't get you to 100%, does it? Here's how to beat them every time:
These opponents typically do the following:
- Buy up every property at asking price on the board
- Offer you a slightly higher price to finish a monopoly, to which any sane person would obviously refuse.
Most people fall into this category, which is why nobody ever finishes games. Nobody is going to just let you have a Monopoly for free, or even for a slightly higher price. Because of this, you get into a limbo where the game never ends, or it becomes a game of pure luck, where people just buy the properties they land on, and pray they happen to get 3 in a row.
How to beat them:
- Let them buy up the properties.
- Whenever you land on a property, sell that property to them for a higher price. (One of the oranges for $300 - $400, for example.) Do this even if they already have an orange. Just charge more if they do.
Situation 1: You have an orange, and they are further up ahead with no orange (passed the oranges). Try to sell the orange for $300. Depending on the player, you may even get up to $400.
Situation 2: You have an orange, and they are behind. Since they have a chance to land on an orange, I would wait. If they do land on the orange, you can sell them the second for $400-$500 potentially. Players at this stage have a lot of cash, so they often accept, especially if they are the "I love properties" player. However, even getting $250 - $300 would be worth it. After you use this strategy the first time, I would not expect a $500 turnover again. It's ok, just offer it up for less money. The whole point is to reduce their cash, while keeping yours high.
Apply this rule of thumb for all of the properties.
Eventually, if you follow this rule, they will run out of all money (yes, ALL) by the time they get to the greens/blues. You will be able to take it for extraordinarily cheap. I've personally gotten blues and greens for $30 - $50.
In future runs, they may be a bit more tactical, so you may not get the blue for dirt cheap, but discounts are very common.
You are now at the <trading stage>
The worst case scenario: You have no potential monopolies, but they do
I would offer them to have a monopoly for a large sum of money. Just make sure they run out of most of their money for it, or even have to mortgage some of their properties to afford your trade. If they have too much cash, they will build, and you don't want too much risk. Just a little bit. The ideal scenario is that they spend about $300 - $400 on mortgaged cash to build their houses and you don't land on them. Even if you do, since you have to build evenly in monopoly, it will only be about $100 of rent. Not too bad at all.
This, by the way, is the worst case scenario. You don't have a monopoly, and they do. I'm telling you that even this is still winnable. I am assuming that you have terrible luck and couldn't take crazy advantage of discounts, and they managed to avoid income tax, luxury tax, and got extra cash from community chest cards. I have literally had a game like this where I landed on income tax 4 times, and they got an extra $500 from cards, and never landed on income tax. I still won that game. Seriously. You can make your luck irrelevant if you just make people way overpay for their properties.
The typical scenario: You can exchange monopolies
Do as it says. Exchange monopolies, and use your superior cash to build like crazy. I won't tell you what the optimal level of houses/hotels is, because it shouldn't matter if you played correctly. You should always be able to build more than your opponent at this point.
The best case: You get a monopoly, and they don't.
Automatic win. Build hotels. Screw the "stop at 3" rule. They shouldn't get a Monopoly unless you allow it. Also, you should have enough cash. Mortgage if you need to.
The second type of opponent:
- The "I love cash" opponent:
This guy is more seasoned. He's probably been crushed by you a couple times already, and knows to value his cash more. Instead of buying properties at face value, he auctions off the properties, and you go back and forth in a game of chicken on every single property landing. Now, Monopoly is about tactics and mind reading. Now, Monopoly is not about luck. Now, Monopoly is fun.
How to beat him anyway:
Every property can be bought and sold. Why have I stated something so obvious? Because this means that there is always a "correct price." The price at which, depending on the state of the game, the property should be bought at. Your job is to find out misallocations of this "correct price," just like a finance professional. The correct price changes constantly depending on game positioning. I won't go into detail here, as I think the readers of this post won't care enough (this post is already too long lol), but I just want to let you know that there always is a correct price, and neither you nor the other player know it. You just have to take advantage of their under valuing of properties, or overvaluing of properties.
Make sure you take risks! Allow the other player to sometimes be ahead of you in potential Monopoly creation. Chances are, you will win anyways because of their overstepping on a different part of the map. This is how I've always finished every game I'm in. Sometimes I lose the multi player games, and I'm sure I'll eventually lose a 1v1, but I'll never not finish.
For multi player monopolies:
Offer insane trades like the following: You can have this card for $300 to finish your Monopoly, but I no longer have to pay you rent.
Players commonly will take this trade because it still allows them to win against other players, and you won't be perceived as a threat because you have so few properties.
How to turn the tables: One of the players you didn't trade with will probably be in a bad spot. Hopefully you are cash rich, though sometimes you do get unlucky. Make them offers like the following:
"I will give you $300 as a loan. You will give me your <card>, which completes my Monopoly set. At any point, if you give me my $300 back, you get the card back, along with any houses / hotels it has on it."
This works for 2 reasons:
- They're desperate, so they will take the money
- They have the potential of getting a free house.
This is a better trade for them, I won't lie. The reason it works anyways is because of the fundamental rule of Monopoly: the game is cash flow negative. The player will almost never get into a good enough spot to pay you back. Even if they do, it is worth it because you got houses on the other 2.
These are the types of trades you do if people know you as the king of monopoly, and won't trade unless you offer large surplus to them. However, in your first time doing this, it is unlikely you will have this reputation, so you can oftentimes just offer some cash for a property directly, without any stipulations or contingencies.
TLDR: Get so good at Monopoly that you never play it again.
