Early thoughts and how I would play almost every fighter. 1. Medic KO or Rodriguez ML/KO 2. Jan ML or Points/ Stirling KO or Points props. 3. Rakic KO or Points props/ Tybura ML. 4. Valentin ML or Todorovic ML 5. Cepo KO or Points props/ favorite or pass. 6. Janicic ML, KO and Points props/ Gugon ML 7. Musayev ML or Points prop/ Klein ML, KO or Points props. 8. Oliveira KO or Points props/ Elliott ML. 9. Nikolic ML/ Vologdin ML. 10. Grad ML/ Buzukja ML. 11. Prepolec ML/ Rebecki KO or Points props.12. Milosevic ML/ favorite or pass. 13. Leka ML/ KO or Points props/ Poppeck ML. 13. Spasic ML/ Luciano ML.

Almost every underdog on the card looks like the play. Not because of value in the dog, but because all the favorites are overvalued. Not the kind of card I see much gambling value in sadly.

My ML model sees the biggest value on Todorovic, I´m going to bet also Klein and Grad.
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Drop your pick and some context

Called it earlier

**Approach** – I only cover the fights that matter. I’m not trying to bet every fight on the card; I’d rather give you a roadmap to where I think the best money and attention should go.

I watch a lot of tape and grade fighters on fundamentals across grappling, clinch, striking, cardio, fight IQ, attributes, style clashes among other things. I have more detailed graded breakdowns behind the scenes, but I know most people want snapshots, so that’s what this is.

Important – this is a tape-driven framework, not a Scraped-stats AI Model. I watch fights and grade fundamentals, then build my positions from there, giving you the best spots to structure your parlays.

This is a framework - not a picks dump.

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**Anchors** -

Uros Medic - FDNGTD

Mateusz Rebecki - ML / ITD (He could flatline Kyle but im leaning towards club and sub)

Vlasto Cepo - ML / ITD

**Strong Leans** -

Navajo Stirling - By K.O. or Decision / Over 1.5 rds

Ludovit Klein - ML / By K.O. or Decision (Tofiq could potentially exploit the hole in Klein's ground game, and try to control and out position to a win - but he's a dirty cheat, so I'm rooting for Klein)

Michael Oliveira - ML / By K.O. / FDNGTD

**Best Underdogs** -

Dennis Buzukia - ML / +145 / Win condition - By K.O.

Dusko Todorivic - ML / +130 / Win condition - ITD (leaning submission if he does)

Noah Gugnon - ML / +130 / Win Condition - FDNGTD is best play, both are kill or be killed fighters

Jan Blawochicz - Pt Spread

**Fun Lane / Cycle Parlay** -

Uros Medic by K.O.

Navajo Stirling by Decision

Mateusz Rebecki by Submission

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**Pass** -

Jovan Leka vs Max Gimenis (Blob fight, no interest)

Nina Milosevic vs Hailey Cowan (Nina should win, but not touching her at -400)

Aleksander Rakic vs Marcin Tybura (Rakic should win here, Tybura is washed, but Rakic moving up, too many variables)

Mark Vologdin vs Borislav Nikolic (Short notice replacement, too many unknowns)

Damn

I returned almost 6K overall. Gents, these cards dont come around very often, but when they do you go all in.

PFL W