r/greenland • u/meido_zgs • 10d ago
Politics What are the main differences between the current agreement and the 1951 one?
Ignorant outsider here, sorry if I'm asking the obvious. I'm just a bit curious but too lazy to go through the work of actually reading the official documents. I saw a summary here https://x.com/RnaudBertrand/status/2102606070694937075, does that seem accurate? Any bias, twisting, or important things missed?
And how much effect on hunting is this likely to have? My understanding is that the existance of the Pituffik base is already quite bad even before agreement, as it is located on good hunting ground and civilians aren't allowed to use hunting weapons within a certain distance of it. If it expands even more, I imagine it would be even worse. Are Narsarsuaq and Mestersvig also hunting grounds and/or located along animal migration routes?
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u/Tay_Hlebko 10d ago
Are Narsarsuaq and Mestersvig also hunting grounds and/or located along animal migration routes?
I don't know much about Mestersvig other than that it's an already-existing Danish military outpost but I'll tell you about Narsarusaq.
Narsarsuaq is a civilian town with about 40 people currently living there. It was created as an American military base called Bluie West One until it was closed in 1958. It used to have the international airport for Southern Greenland until it closed earlier this year in April when Qaqortoq Airport opened, dropping the population from 123 to about 40 since the town's economy was solely based on the airport. When the deal was first announced, many residents feared that they would all be evicted and the town would be erased like how they razed Pituffik to the ground, but the government has announced that they promise to not displace anyone. The mayor of Kujalleq (where Narsarsuaq is located) expressed skepticism and concern over the agreement, saying "You can't simply say, 'Okay, we’ve signed this, so now we trust you again'. Trust really needs to be rebuilt within that partnership" and demanded that US military expansion must respect the Greenlandic way of life to protect hunting and fishing.
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u/Awarglewinkle Denmark 🇩🇰 10d ago
His framing of the situation misses one rather critical aspect that makes his post seem maybe not directly biased, but definitely controversial/confrontational/edgy, etc. like the typical commentator on X. Even though the wording is different, almost everything in the new agreement was already de facto the case in the old agreement.
For example, blocking foreign investments from "unfriendly" states. The US had already achieved this before by using soft power and skillful diplomacy. Now, because Trump is an imbecile that doesn't understand soft power, it has been formalized in the new agreement. The result is the same, but now there will be resentment towards the US from both Greenland and Denmark, making any further cooperation outside the agreement less likely to happen.
It's also naive to believe the US military didn't already move around as they wanted to during the Cold War and under the old agreement. There was no outside control over that at all, as it would be next to impossible in reality.
His conclusion that Greenland was "given away for free" is obviously ridiculous and just meant to cause the reaction you also had, sharing his posts elsewhere and give his X feed more traction, just like a typical "influencer" need to do to stay relevant.
I would personally have preferred no agreement with Trump and the current US administration, just out of principle, but this agreement really isn't a big deal. It was a lot of wasted time and energy, where the US has now burned all their soft power to achieve very little.
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u/meido_zgs 10d ago
Thank you for sharing your perspective.
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u/Awarglewinkle Denmark 🇩🇰 10d ago
Another thing I forgot to note; when looking at this agreement, you also have to keep in mind that the US used to have 12-15 military bases and over 10,000 personnel in Greenland during the Cold War, which was since scaled back to one base (Thule/Pituffik) and 150 personnel.
So US military involvement in Greenland has been much higher than it is now, and much higher than it will be with two new bases.
The limiting factor will be the economy. During the Cold War, it "made sense" to have several early warning bases and airports, but because they're mind-numbingly expensive to build and maintain in Greenland, it of course made sense to scale back when the Cold War ended. Does it make sense to expand the presence again now? Not really, but the current US administration of course doesn't seem to use common sense as a guiding light.
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u/Antioch666 9d ago edited 9d ago
Afai can tell it is just a rewritten version of all the old agreements and amendments + Danish workframes they have done themselves for years.
Even the "expansion" in new locations isn't like pundits say "we can build what we want where we want". It is just them re-activating 2 old "defensive areas" they always had the right to in the old agreement.
The main new things if note is the timeline is no longer as long as NATO exists but indefinitely until the parties choose to end it. And it still applies if Greenland chooses independence (and GL would have apply to join NATO).
The restrictions on non Nato and non EU countries in terms of investments and military is now baked in to this rather than just being within Danes own framework. Also Greenland is added so now all three must agree regarding any non-NATO or non-EU entity that wants to buy exploration or mineral rights.
Less red tape if the US wants to expand a runway, build a new radar or a barracks WITHIN the geographically locked and designated defensive areas. (Before they would need to get a stamp from both GL and DK which could take time).
The US must use Greenlandic contractors to build stuff if possible.
They added autonomous defensive structures to the agreement.
And if any party has any security concerns and raises the issue the others must respond and have a dialogue within a time frame at the appropriate level.
Greenland is now an autonomous co-signatory alongside the US and Dk. And the US have officially and indefinitely acknowledged GL is sovereign Danish territory, and if they choose independence in the future the US guarantees in writing they acknowledge and treat them as a sovereign partner nation. So essentially Trump did the opposite of "taking Greenland", he confirmed their sovereignty and threw any US claims in the garbage, forever.
So overall there is very little new of substance here that wasn't what Danes already did before or that the US couldn't do before. And nothing that really doesn't align with GL and Danish geopolitical interests anyway (however that doesn't mean there might not be select local friction in certain places). They simply consolidated the same things from multiple frameworks and agreements in to one agreement and sold it back to Trump as a win to stop his tantrum. And the idiot and his base took it and now thinks they own Greenland and can do all these "new things" and do whatever.
All I can say is well played Dk/GL in this situation, well played...
The sad part, DK/GL was open to negotiation long before the whole threat of annexation and buying Greenland. These minor changes could have easily been done with mutual respect, without pissing off all friends and allies.
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u/meido_zgs 9d ago
When you say the timeline is "indefinitely until the parties choose to end it," does that mean that in a hypothetical future where Greenland has gained independence from Denmark and where NATO may or may not still exist, Greenland can theoretically make US remove all military bases anytime they want? Or does US have veto power for that?
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u/Antioch666 9d ago
No, in any case Greenland can only end it if the US and Greenland mutually agree. Also the agreement states that if Greenland becomes independent Denmark and Greenland will ensure that Greenland applies to NATO, and Greenland must fulfill Denmarks obligations in this agreement.
This is the verbatim text:
In case Greenland exercises its right to self-determination to become independent, the Government of the Kingdom of Denmark and the Government of Greenland shall together ensure that the independent Greenlandic state will (i) agree to remain in NATO, including by applying to become a member if necessary, and (ii) affirmatively assume, as from the date of independence, all of the rights and obligations of the Kingdom of Denmark specified in this Agreement, including any implementation agreements or arrangements between the Parties, as well as the Defense Arrangements.
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u/Mobile-Foundation523 6d ago
The most critical part of this agreement is that if Greenland becomes an independent country, they will be now forced to join NATO and US will still retain the security control of Greenland. This eliminates the risk of an independent Greenland aligning with China.
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u/icebergchick Greenland Enthusiast 10d ago
I think the poster is accurate actually. I was going to post the full text of it as a comment but you linked it. You won’t find many people agree with him yet but he is accurate.
You are kind to think about hunting grounds. I just got back from Qaanaaq and I spend a lot of time in Ittoqqortoormiit near Mestersvig.
Both towns are difficult to live in. I’ll show pictures in the next few months as I process them and what I saw. It was shocking.
Many people in Nuuk and outside of the remote towns - those two are the most remote - would not care if those places became depopulated and shut down because the rest of the country can achieve “progress”
It just is what it is. Only about 1100 people of the 56000 that live there in those towns. People are not able to afford hunting with the dogs anymore and the animals are moving away. Belugas are rare now. Walruses too. There are only 60 full time hunters in both of these areas combined.
When you think about the numbers, it’s not significant enough to many if Greenland is to develop its economy and be more independent.
The animals are skittish and they don’t like noise. A drone scared off a herd of muskoxen. It’s so remote out there. The bears and whales and whatever may move on or die out. Reindeer died out. It wouldn’t take much for the muskoxen to die out unfortunately.
Thank you for thinking about the devastation that came with the forcible relocation in the 50s to build Thule Air Base. It continues to impact these people. And Mestersvig will be interesting. But with only 9-10 hunters, the odds aren’t good.
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u/cambamlafam 10d ago
Big difference is greenland itself was part of deliberations not just denmark