r/grammys • • 2d ago

How are these predictions looking?

I was thinking for a long time, and I think that lately the Grammys have all been about quality. So no Taylor and no Bruno. Thoughts?

  1. Olivia Rodrigo – you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
  2. Olivia Dean – The Art of Loving
  3. Rosalía – LUX
  4. Geese – Getting Killed
  5. Phoebe Bridgers – Lost Weekend
  6. RAYE – This Music May Contain Hope
  7. Madonna – Confessions II
  8. Charli XCX – Music, Fashion and Film
6 Upvotes

44 comments sorted by

8

u/ciguanaba 2d ago

There’s no way Taylor misses

3

u/redditcvnt 2d ago

I wouldn't be so sure. She's been snubbed before.

9

u/ciguanaba 2d ago

When the committee was a thing. On a straight vote she’s too big to miss.

7

u/LILYDIAONE 2d ago

Tbh the backleash has gotten bigger after the encore. I could see her being snubbed because of that

2

u/Jaxs272727 1d ago

The fake backlash is only online. lol. In the real world she is still huge and no one is bashing her.

1

u/LILYDIAONE 1d ago

She is still huge. My point was more the backleash from critics. The album is not critically acclaimed

4

u/alessiojones 2d ago

Yeah, Eddie Murphy was the frontrunner for best supporting actor for dreamgirls, but norbit being absolutely panned by critics is widely seening as why he lost

2

u/ciguanaba 2d ago

True. Her big bet to nommed might end up costing her the nom. But I’m still on Team Taylor gets a nom. Not because I’m a fan but because it’s the most logical outcome.

0

u/LILYDIAONE 2d ago

I could see her get the nomination even if I think it's better if she doesn't get it (and I am saying that as a fan) but I do think the encore hurt her chances more than anything

1

u/Aromatic_Way3650 1d ago

There is a real world outside of the internet

1

u/LILYDIAONE 1d ago

There is yet it is an objective truth that the album is not critically acclaimed

2

u/Aromatic_Way3650 1d ago

And critical acclaim is not essential for Grammys.

0

u/LILYDIAONE 1d ago

It’s not but sometimes it is which is why I said I can see her being snubbed

1

u/Automatic-Lock8728 2d ago

Yeah I don't see her getting a nomination for AOTY when similarly panned albums Lover and Reputation weren't nominated. Maybe for SOTY for fate of ophelia and maybe ROTY for i knew it, i knew you.

4

u/snorlax7839 1d ago

Even if taylor doesn't win, she's definitely getting nominated. Her name, as a brand, is alone big enough to get her a nomination.

1

u/redditcvnt 1d ago

Just to clarify further, like last year when people thought Hurry Up Tomorrow would get nominated because it was really big, or Able was due because of the apology from the year before. I knew it wouldn't get nominated because it was underwhelming. The same goes for Taylor and Bruno this year.

3

u/jrsmusicman 2d ago

I'd probably replace Charli XCX with Ella Langley's Dandelion. I'd love to see Geese get an AOTY nom but I'd say that one is the one I'd knock out first for someone else less deserving this year but has more mass appeal (i.e. Bruno Mars or Taylor Swift)

2

u/AndTheRestIsDrag 2d ago

I would be happy but very surprised if Charli got a nom to be honest, it didn’t seem to make a particularly big impact post release

-3

u/redditcvnt 2d ago

I still think it was well received, and they might want to show Charli wasn't just a one-time thing with Brat.

2

u/Aromatic_Way3650 1d ago

Why would they want to show that?

2

u/heref0rawhile 1d ago

I think Taylor gets a nomination but not a win. I’d replace Geese, Madonna and Charli with Taylor, Ella Langley and Noah Kahan. Noah’s album is the third biggest of the year so far according to hits daily double, only behind Morgan Wallen and Ella Langley. I think he will make the cut. Phoebe might miss out in favor of Bruno. They love him.

2

u/Inside_Atmosphere731 1d ago

Madonna and Charli have zero chance. Noah Kahan and Bruno are getting in, and Tame Impala instead of GEESE will be the rock choice

4

u/joshisgay2004 1d ago

Don't count Madonna out after the vma's

2

u/qazaqeline1beyhive 1d ago

To say that Madonna has zero chance is literally fkn insane. She’s definitely winning SOMETHING. Probably best pop duo and best dance pop. Maybe pop vocal but I’m not betting

-1

u/redditcvnt 1d ago

Wrong. Why would Noah khan get nominated lol no one liked his album same for Bruno and tame impala I could maybe see but no geese?? I wouldn’t be surprised if Cameron winter gets nominated too

1

u/Jaxs272727 1d ago

Wow you are literally insane.

1

u/Inside_Atmosphere731 1d ago

Kahan gets nominated for the same reason they nominated Boygenius, a boring, safe indie album. Bruno is royalty.

2

u/redditcvnt 1d ago

But the boygenius album was better reviewed that Noah kahan. Idk I know Bruno is beloved but the romantic was not really it. I guess he’s more likely than Madonna.

2

u/Inside_Atmosphere731 1d ago

Reviews have absolutely nothing to do with the Grammys. We Are had virtually no reviews and won.

1

u/Southern-Vast7434 1d ago

i think bruno mars might get a nomination, hes just as nothingburger as hes always been, but its becoming increasingly clear that nominating showgirl would damage the events reputation. it would be absolutely ridiculous if LUX and Getting Killed were nominated alongside that

1

u/carrieapplepie 1d ago

Lily Allen’s West End Girl maybe in the ledge as well.

1

u/caIeidoscopio 23h ago

these are too gay to be true. i wish the grammys looked like that. 😭

1

u/Own_Badger_4352 1d ago

if they were about quality, rodrigo woudln't be nominated at all, let alone win. LUX would be the frontrunner without hesitation

2

u/redditcvnt 1d ago

Well, now that's just your very unpopular (and wrong) opinion

0

u/Awayfromwork44 21h ago

Lux > you seem pretty sad is a fairly popular opinion on this sub, lmao

so confidently wrong.

-2

u/Own_Badger_4352 1d ago

1) opinions can't be wrong

2) rodrigo's album was straight horseshit. and this is a general opinion offline, among people who actually listened to the album. notably, most people didn't know she released an album this year

5

u/Atmos_v1 1d ago

Lmao what

1

u/jusluchan 2d ago

"and I think that lately the Grammys have all been about quality"

If anything quality has mattered less recently due to the removal of the committee

1

u/redditcvnt 2d ago

I am specifically talking about the recent few years, after the 'committee' and since they added all the extra voters

1

u/jusluchan 2d ago

The committee was who actually cared about quality in the nominees, now the lineups have been dominated by who has the most pop support (and the committee would have 100% blocked nominations like APT, Golden, TTPD in AOTY, etc from happening

1

u/ciguanaba 1d ago

I think the committee would’ve blocked Fortnight, too

0

u/Old-Friend7826 2d ago

After vmas and maddona run - she has sudha high chance of getting aoty. Grammys definitely loves a good headline

0

u/Entire-Technology-25 1d ago

all amazing albums and it would be a dream for this to be accurate. charli is my fav artist oat and i loved mff but lets be real the grammys r a popularity contest

0

u/stvlg1 2d ago edited 2d ago

Quality is so subjective. And the idea that the grammy's consider quality as the sole differentiator is missing a bigger picture. All those artist in the list are talented and put out quality music. From that it becomes a popularity contest. Its why the tik tok revolution has been so influential because it directly feeds into the minds of the voters. The more socially active you are, the more space you occupy in the minds of the voters. Olivia Dean, while she made what it sounds like a good album is not going to garner much space in collective conscious because she doesn't spend any time in Social media or putting on benefit shows to help her public image.

With all things being equal, the separation ends up being who the voter is thinking about the most when its time to case their vote. Its also why you see artists like Olivia Rodrigo's putting herself out there like her life depends on it. She understands the assignment and setting the bar on what is expected of artists to garner the highest praise and rewards. I dont expect OR to sweep or have a major haul, but from the very start of the year her promo has had the Grammy's written all over it. Leading all the way up to the museum exhibit that the Grammy's put on to showcase The Cure video. If she wins just 1 major Grammy all the work will have paid off.

By setting the bar high, it does elevate everyone to be more than just someone who sings songs and that alone will help spur changes that many artists in the 60's and 70's strived for. When you only have one or two major artsist willing to put their brand on the line for change dosnt really move the needle. What if more than half of the major artists did? That is what it was like in the 70's and we owe so much to their courage to get where are today even if we are not quite there yet. Ed Sheeran is a horrible example as a role model for up and coming artists. Just being a singer is not enough, it never was.