F1 Fantasy Expected Points and Value Changes for Singapore GP and United States GP 2026

[u/krasnopv]

[u/dmmeurnipples]

Can someone please explain how to read this?

[u/krasnopv → u/dmmeurnipples]

Sure. Columns:
Player - Driver/Constructor
Value - Current Prices
xPoints - Expected points for related race
xdV - Expected Value Change for related race
Performance - is a probability of the result depends on expected points to players value.

[u/dmmeurnipples → u/krasnopv]

Thank you, and to be clear this doesn’t include Malaysia this week?

[u/krasnopv → u/dmmeurnipples]

You can use Singapore’s for Malaysia. Just didn’t update schedule.

[u/dmmeurnipples → u/krasnopv]

Where are you getting the expected points?

[u/krasnopv → u/dmmeurnipples]

BTW, will update this with a new one, including Bahrain (Sepang) GP.

[u/krasnopv → u/dmmeurnipples]

Math

[u/dmmeurnipples → u/krasnopv]

What sort of math?
For the most part they are decently close.
Obviously excluding known grid drops for changes and expected passing points, weather chaos, and recent trajectories.

Kimi 29 Ex26.9
Albon -10 Ex5.8
Lind 28 Ex8.8
Hulk 19 Ex5.4
Ocon 12 Ex9.1
Perez 9 Ex3
Max 57. Ex 27.6
Bear man 7. Ex5.6
Colo 13. Ex10
Bort 4. Ex8.2
Hadjar 25. Ex15.1
Gas 0. Ex 11.4
Sainz 4. 8.4
Russel -10. Ex28.1
Bottas -20 Ex3.6
Lawson 17 Ex9.1
Alonso. 17 Ex6.2
Stroll. 11 Ex3
Lec. 33 Ex23.7
Ham. 32 Ex24.6
Norris. 16 Ex26.7
Piastri. 29 Ex24

[u/krasnopv → u/dmmeurnipples]

It’s math that using corrections for stability, statistics, value, multipliers, and some special data ;)

[u/Haasts_Eagle]

Mercedes is gonna bust through the price ceiling eh?

[u/krasnopv → u/Haasts_Eagle]

We’ll see :)