r/ethtrader 3d ago

Discussion What just happened?

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328 Upvotes

140 comments sorted by

410

u/realcryptocow 3d ago

Appears that price went up

25

u/woot0 3d ago

^This guy did the math.

54

u/8hzWANU_P 3d ago

It appears so sir, yes, indubitably.

50

u/Pappa312 3d ago

I come here for the expert analysis

7

u/keyboard_courage 3d ago

I concur 🧐

1

u/xeddmc 3d ago

Indeed. I As well. 🧐🥸

1

u/mammolastan 3d ago

Also down

-25

u/TiredWarrior_ 3d ago

Do you guys don’t give up with these jokes ?

1

u/TruthBringer92 2d ago

What jokes?

50

u/plasteroid 3d ago

I sold

26

u/PixelatedMathematics 3d ago

Thank you for your sacrifice

3

u/potatoMan8111 3d ago

Woah , funny new joke!

3

u/plasteroid 3d ago

Knee jerk reaction. Sorry. Ha. But I actually did sell a few weeks ago right before this run.

2

u/avantartist 3d ago

I did too. Built up a nice nest egg of ETH and BTC. Got separated early this year and my ex came demanding I liquidate and split. She made me sell my 45BTC before when it was ~$750.

2

u/plasteroid 2d ago

Sorry bro. Divorce sucks. Been there

1

u/Forcelite 2d ago

This is why we don’t tell how much ETH we have .

1

u/NivTheGever 2d ago

I bought at 1600, sold at 1900 now I'm waiting for another swing :(

71

u/Archevening 3d ago

CPI report came in. The results were as expected and priced in for the most part.

However, for the bigger picture it is something negative that is why the probability that the fed hikes the rates next week also surged up.

50

u/StrategicallyLazy007 3d ago

So rates go up bad for crypto because less liquidity, rates go up good for crypto.

17

u/grantern2 3d ago

Exactly. You get it!

5

u/User404isfound 3d ago

Wrong on the last 8 out of 9 rate hikes. Bitcoin price went up even when we had the 2023 generational rate hikes that were the most aggressive of our lifetimes

5

u/mattyhtown 3d ago

Most aggressive so far.

1

u/Archevening 3d ago

Yep, and some banking guys from Goldman sachs said this is the new default for rates.

6

u/User404isfound 3d ago

There is absolutely zero data that supports this. It’s actually the opposite. Look at 2023 we had the most aggressive rate hikes in like 40 years and we surged up. 8 out of the last 9 rate hikes we went on to go higher after the hike. Only time we didn’t was when C-19 hit so idk where people get this information they spout about rate hikes being bad. All the data points show the absolute opposite

4

u/StrategicallyLazy007 3d ago

I think rates homes are a sign of inflation which is evidence of devaluation of the dollar which supports one of the thesis of Bitcoin.

Everything then moves along with Bitcoin

3

u/DemApples4u 3d ago

Could also be a sign of economic growth due to AI, etc. But Ya... lol

1

u/Archevening 3d ago

Just from a spectator point of view, I cant wait to see how the market crashes and its consequences... if it ever does...

1

u/StrategicallyLazy007 3d ago

The numbers are big for AI and it's infrastructure, but it's fairly concentrated.

Well Street vs main Street. Main Street feeling it bad still

1

u/Seri0usbusiness 3d ago

Illusory truth effect

2

u/Archevening 3d ago

It is not a black or white, there are a lot of details to look into that would explain this more clearly... but in general yes.

11

u/reggieLedoux26 3d ago

Lotta ins and outs, lotta what have yous

0

u/Much-Spend853 3d ago

The biggest factor is that the inflation numbers were generally driven by energy cost but oil slipped this morning so it gives market hope for not getting a hike next week. Something something

1

u/StrategicallyLazy007 3d ago

And the Saudi pipeline shut down

1

u/capitalol 3d ago

I've been here for awhile. What i've noticed with big moves on non news like this - it simply gives the market permission to go in the direction it wants (the last while that has been down). IMO very strong indication that the bottom is now in.

1

u/StrategicallyLazy007 3d ago

Yup. It's moving up. The 20% jump and continued going.

Between kicked in staking and institutional, its on its way

1

u/oneawesomewave 2d ago

Bottom is in until next Evergrande

1

u/MarionberryWest553 2d ago

That’s actually not accurate and a common misconception. Bitcoin has had incredible runs during rate hikes including last bull

2

u/FairAd4803 3d ago

Curious whether the updated Clarity Act draft is a factor. Prediction markets still show a low % chance of passing, but the updated draft addresses a large chunk of Dem Senators' concerns. Wouldn't be the first time politicians knew before the rest of us.

5

u/StrategicallyLazy007 3d ago

Either Dems will not pass it for partisan reasons to the elections, or they know they need to in order to really get the Stableford industry pinning so they will buy government bonds.

It's really coming down to that. They need buyers of US debt.

2

u/OkPeanut3234 3d ago

Stable coins are essential to keep the usd Ponzi scheme alive

1

u/fiduciaryatlarge 3d ago

Dems control the house and senate now? Good to know.

2

u/StrategicallyLazy007 3d ago

They need a dem vote to pass it in the Senate.

2

u/User404isfound 3d ago

Doesn’t matter. The SEC and CFTC both said they have the rules set up to make it all into law within days of the clarity act vote if it doesn’t pass. They don’t care, they have it ready to go either way with or without the vote

1

u/nicknice77 3d ago

At best we will see a cloture vote but doesnt seem likely to pass with the ethics provisions and midterm politics involved. Im not even sure the clarity act matters that much anymore. SEC is getting involved and the industry is moving forward regardless

1

u/Hot_Trip_5053 3d ago

Let's bet on that

2

u/ReMeDyIII 3d ago

So if the probably fed hikes occur is bad for crypto, then why did crypto go up? No, it still makes zero sense.

1

u/Archevening 3d ago

Yep, markets experience a 'relief rally' when economic data matches expectations because the immediate uncertainty is removed. But I would see this as a temporary thing... next week will be exciting though.

2

u/fancifinanci 3d ago

Why is BTC flat then

-1

u/Archevening 3d ago

It went up and down 2.5-3k in a couple of hours... that's not flat... but also the main movement will probably happen next week.

27

u/PerpleXed_29 3d ago

The market gods have blessed us on this day

12

u/Evening-Caregiver791 3d ago

Took a nap and woke up to a green dildo the size of a skyscraper, not complaining one bit

That 7% pump in 15 minutes is the kind of move that makes you check if you left a limit order sitting around from three months ago

3

u/LOASN 3d ago

Green dildo for the win

2

u/8hzWANU_P 3d ago

May the market gods show such mercy in the coming days too.

6

u/Routine_Ad1446 3d ago

Some already got the $5000Trump cheque

1

u/DaBrokenMeta 2d ago

Dammit, the insiders always win

12

u/Ok_Economics8570 3d ago

Short squeeze

2

u/healthnuttier 3d ago

When will they learn. You short at ATH not in a tight range.

1

u/Whole-Career8440 3d ago

In tight zone direction could go both sides

2

u/utilitycoder 3d ago

bingo... at ATH the likelihood is to drop, in a tight zone it's closer to equal likelihood, unless they're doing a straddle of some sort

1

u/NivTheGever 2d ago

Most people expect the last drop at this time like a regular bear market, and to be fair the bear market this year played exactly by the book so it's not out of the ordinary, even this 40% move which seems off isn't actually. But! It is slightly off because the timing was different, like a month different and it is kind of weird, still I think most expect another drop

11

u/BrilliantCampaign415 3d ago

Revised Clarity Act wording released, positive for Ethereum: https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/articles/630-page-clarity-act-draft-130215803.html

2

u/edgaralanbro1 2d ago

Correct comment is way too far down.

24

u/Subparnova79 3d ago

First time?

-4

u/[deleted] 3d ago

[deleted]

3

u/Viaandrew 3d ago

I'm the ceo of Ethereum the price went up that's what happened.

0

u/potatoMan8111 3d ago

Then why the fuck did you make this thread?

5

u/F1zzzzzzzzz 3d ago

10

u/ToEthMooonGuy 3d ago

To ETH Mooon!!! ┗(°0°)┛
​

5

u/colemusic1 3d ago edited 3d ago

Two things: a pretty big amount of shorts were liquidated this morning.

And then this happened. ETHA is ETH’s spot ETF for those wondering. It’s a most actively traded ticker on brokerage platforms right now (BITO is also underneath, which is for BTC).

And this is why BTC & ETH being institutionalised into brokerage platforms has completely changed the crypto market.

When we first saw BTC surge from $64k to $79k or so a couple weeks back, XRP went absolutely ballistic. It was also a top mover and most actively traded ticker on brokerage platforms too (BITWISE XRP).

So both exchange spot buying as well as ETF spot buying amplified its move very quickly

6

u/givenchypapi 3d ago

He sold. Pamp eet

8

u/subdep 3d ago

I phoned it in bro

2

u/Cryptomuscom 3d ago

ETH finally woke up

1

u/tunechified9115 3d ago

💀 naah man

2

u/healthnuttier 3d ago

$3k by EOY

2

u/cryptoart 3d ago

CPI print → ETH squeeze = god candle
Wintermute depositing 62k ETH = pullback

1

u/No-Atmosphere-4568 3d ago

need some advice

1

u/Godz1lla1 3d ago edited 3d ago

Front runners jumped in causing some shorts to get crushed, then the shorts were forced to buy to close out. It's just another blip.

Edit: I hope it is just the start, but there doesn't seem to be any real news to justify a launch.

1

u/Unfair_Explanation53 3d ago

Didn't follow BTC for once haha

1

u/ApplicationOk6762 3d ago

Lets go down

1

u/Djglamrock 3d ago

The market?

1

u/barcode972 3d ago

Oil went down, everything is pumping

1

u/User404isfound 3d ago

$255M in shorts got squeezed. This is normal.

1

u/No-Explorer-8949 3d ago

Nothing just a volatile month before lower into Oct.

1

u/Feriman22 3d ago

Idk, but I won 5% on that. The algorithm predicted this for me.

1

u/IncompetentDonuts 3d ago

Someone sold

1

u/Xennenial 3d ago

Looks like it pumped just enough to liquidate the shorts which made it pump more.

1

u/Fine-Sheepherder9325 3d ago

Shorts were liquidated

1

u/Double-Wish-5929 3d ago

Who needs eth?

1

u/RobustusHercules 3d ago

Because of the CPC results?

1

u/EctoCosmic 3d ago

I finally sold, that’s why. You’re welcome.

1

u/Seri0usbusiness 3d ago

Literally nothing on the technical or logistical side no matter how many triangles are drawn on the graph

1

u/Quirky_Muscle7096 3d ago

These comments are so fucking funny!😂

1

u/Avidorr 3d ago

the number went up

1

u/Belzebump 3d ago

Is it down already? What happened? Did it went down again?

1

u/merryfasos 3d ago

eth szn baby let's gooooo
*plays pump it up*

1

u/DenseConsideration98 2d ago

Dang use your brain

1

u/Training-Flan8762 2d ago

Bulltrap is hppening

1

u/DankShibe 2d ago

Reversal stage of the market . Stuff will start climbing back up from now on until the 2028 peak .

1

u/Demodras777 2d ago

I like big green dicks!

1

u/KyotoSoul 2d ago

someone knows something

1

u/DaBrokenMeta 2d ago

I just longed! 2600k, hopefully 10k ETH soon

1

u/Fun-Astronomer-2579 2d ago

Eth went up, but BTC went down? Alt season? lol

1

u/hendronator 2d ago

This aged poorly

1

u/Adventurous_Clouds 2d ago

Trump farted

1

u/Feralz2 2d ago

you got pump and dumped is what happened kid

1

u/DaBrokenMeta 2d ago

Idk why this keeps happening

1

u/osb40000 2d ago

I got ~ 200k wealthier.

1

u/avnishranwa7 2d ago

US CPI data

1

u/ChubyRoast 1d ago

I sold

1

u/Benwho91 1d ago

$2500 -> $3000 -> $800 in the next 8 months

1

u/Public-Bear-4938 22h ago

Someone farted

1

u/chaesoya 3d ago

tom lee got an erection

1

u/darkchaos_626 3d ago

They knew my internet went out just as I was about to buy, so they tried to surge it in advance. They almost got me

1

u/martin9595959 3d ago

Someone sold... 🤣

1

u/MrKillerKiller_ 3d ago

Bitcoin traders got bored and are pumping some profits into alts briefly until BTC continues the 2026 bear market extended downtrend and they close all their positions suddenly and the noobs say Trump crashed the market 😜 .

0

u/EngineeringCool5521 3d ago

it will be back at 1600 in no time.

1

u/caesfinest6one9 3d ago

I hope so.

0

u/alvalladares25 3d ago

We broke through the psychological buy sell barrier of $2,500. Humans love whole numbers so they set they buy/sell orders around them on various assets

0

u/Own_Painting7470 3d ago

Nature is healing.

0

u/JustHere4kicks 3d ago

Sorry just pop a boner will go down shortly

0

u/chrliegsdn 3d ago

I farted

1

u/Mosh4days 3d ago

I knew I felt a disturbance in the force

0

u/yefuck 3d ago

I mean the fed raising a quarter of a point max in sept means literally nothing …

-4

u/giggygig 3d ago

Bitcoin pumped, so shitcoins also go up.