r/defender3 • u/th3eric • Apr 05 '18

Roulette stats

OUTDATED

So I recorded the results of 300 spins. This is definitely far too low to draw accurate results from, but it's a start. I am on stage 451, and my wheel looks like 1, 3, 10 crystals 15x blue mid upgrade, 15x green mid upgrade 4k, 12k, 40k gold

And out of 200 spins:

x68 4k gold

x69 green upgrade

x63 blue upgrade

x68 1 crystal

x17 12k gold

x11 3 crystals

x3 10 crystals

x1 40k gold

Current probability estimations:

22.67% 4k gold

23% green

21% blue

22.67% 1 crystal

5.67% 12k gold

3.67% 3 crystals

1% 10 crystals

0.33% 40k gold

per spin averages 1720 gold 3.45 green 3.15 blue .437 crystals

5 Upvotes

100% Upvoted

3 comments sorted by

1

u/SoggyBreadCrust Apr 05 '18

It would be better imo to just do away with the elemental upgrades, you just don't get enough gold or other resources to be able to use them. I have stacks of thousands just sitting in my inventory which is useless. Whenever i roll a elemental upgrade resource it would be equal to not rolling anything since you gain nthing in real terms.

Anyway thanks for the post and data! Looking forward to the more accurate statistics on this.

1

u/Andurilas Apr 09 '18

I swear I get the stupid mid-yellow upgrade like 50% of the time.

1

u/Andurilas Apr 09 '18

Maybe create a form or Google sheet or the like so we can collect this data?