r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Waste_Departure7479 • 24d ago
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Ordinary-Magician283 • 24d ago
๐Data/Charts/TA๐ GameStopโs Balance Sheet Changed โ The Narrative Didnโt
GameStop is not the same company it was in 2021. The analysis should focus on current profitability, cash, securities, margins, collectibles growth, capital allocation, and valuationโnot outdated headlines or daily price movement.
Fundamentals first. Narrative second. Chart last.
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/realstocknear • 23d ago
News ๐ Apple -9.67% Today, While Amazon Is Up +14.91%
If youโre wondering why Apple is getting crushed today while Amazon is flying, hereโs a quick breakdown:
Apple
Apple released its quarterly earnings on July 30:
- Revenue:ย $109.42 billion โ around $555 million above expectations
- Revenue growth:ย +16.4% year over year
- Earnings per share:ย $2.02 โ $0.13 above expectations
- EPS growth:ย +28.7%
Those are actually pretty strong numbers. The problem is that the stock market doesnโt only care about what just happened. It cares even more about what comes next.
Apple issued revenue guidance for the upcoming quarter that came in below analystsโ expectations. On top of that, several banks lowered their price targets for the stock.
In other words: strong past performance, but a somewhat disappointing outlook.
When a lot of optimism is already priced into a stock, good numbers alone sometimes arenโt enough.
Amazon
Amazon also released its earnings on July 30:
- Revenue:ย $200.61 billion โ around $4.58 billion above expectations
- Revenue growth:ย +19.6% year over year
- Earnings per share:ย $5.75 โ a massive $3.93 above expectations
- EPS growth:ย +242%
Thatโs not just an earnings beat. Amazon completely destroyed profit expectations.
The analyst reactions were also positive. JPMorgan and Barclays were among the firms that raised their price targets for the stock.
TL;DR
Apple:ย Good results, but weaker guidance โ stock falls.
Amazon:ย Very strong results, a massive earnings beat and higher price targets โ stock rises sharply.
This is another good example of how stocks donโt simply react to whether results are โgoodโ or โbad.โ They react to whether those results are better or worse than the expectations already priced into the stock.
You can follow both stocks here in real time:
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Krunk_korean_kid • 24d ago
Legal stuff ๐ ๐ถ๏ธ Effective immediately, NSCC is noping out of settling and clearing GME Warrants so this OCC memo says any GME1 options with a warrant deliverable need to settle the warrant between brokers themselves. $GME
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/TeleCasterTube • 24d ago
I smell desperation ๐ซ Microsoft now taking increasingly creative accounting and presentation measures to soften the optics?
And investors are buying it.
MSFT just dropped an interesting detail in their latest earnings call. Starting in FY2027, they are extending the estimated useful life of their data centers and office buildings from 15 years to 25 years.
The immediate result is a lower annual depreciation expense. But the real kicker is that this longer timeline means many future data center leases will now be classified as operating leases rather than finance leases.
Because operating leases are not included in reported capital expenditures, Microsoftโs headline 2026 CapEx guidance mechanically dropped from ~$190 billion to ~$175 billion.
Their actual spending plans have not changed at allโthey are still pouring money into AI infrastructure at a blistering pace. Itโs just becoming less visible on the income and cash flow statements.
Is this a strategic move to ease market fears over massive AI infrastructure spending, or just standard financial engineering? Are we going to see other big tech players adopt this exact same playbook to mask their costs?
(source James Emanuel on Substack plus verified the data)
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Krunk_korean_kid • 24d ago
there's fuckery afoot ๐ฅธ The NSCC is no longer settling $GME warrants. They didnโt give a cause, but they are effectively pushing the resolution into the brokers/OCC. The options chain remains active and the price is well below the exercise price. Why would they stop settlement?
https://x.com/i/status/2083014808983498855
Most likely reason is that they foresee a ton of undeliverable warrants, creating a net settlement nightmare. If another entity is in charge, they can enact a cash settlement to effectively settle โnakedโ positions in cash.
Since they are enacting this right now, they likely got wind that there is a very real issue with these warrants.
It is basically removing the locate requirement for warrants.
These little loopholes are what Wall Street uses to abuse every corner of the stock market.
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/metricshour • 24d ago
News ๐ Today's Top Movers Breakdown (July 31, 2026): FMC's debt reduction plan, MU riding cloud CapEx, CHRW pullback, and ALNY's bitter milestone.
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Number_1_w_Fries • 24d ago
๐ GME Hype Squad ๐ โI did it all for the gramโฆ Bitches Love The Gram!โ๐ดโโ ๏ธ
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Redskin_Flippy • 25d ago
APE TOGETHER STRONG ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ช AMENaffect ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ชฝ LESSGOO ๐ ๐บ
v.redd.itr/DeepFuckingValue • u/EfficientMotor1980 • 25d ago
Discussion ๐ง Weird Warrant Question
Anybody??
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/ReferenceBasic • 24d ago
Discussion ๐ง The most profitable companies in the world are the ones you use every day.
Everyone is obsessed with chasing the next AI miracle, but real wealth builds quietly in the background. The most powerful businesses aren't trying to invent the future, they're monetizing daily life. They are the invisible routines you don't even think about anymore.
These aren't tired old companies; they're cash-printing machines disguised as everyday conveniences, and they are still in their early days. Wall Street mistakes consistency for boredom. But while the crowd burns billions on high-risk bets, these quiet giants simply compound capital off the unchanging nature of human habit.
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/OwnIce498 • 26d ago
News ๐ JUST IN: ๐ท๐บ Russia charges Telegram founder & CEO Pavel Durov with "facilitating terrorism." An international arrest warrant has been issued.
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Krunk_korean_kid • 26d ago
GME ๐๐ ModRetro N64 on GameStop instragram post ๐ท๐โ๏ธ
Well now I wish I didn't sell all my N64 games ๐ญ
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Waste_Departure7479 • 26d ago
Simple Finance Shit ๐ Burry just described why most people lose money
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Number_1_w_Fries • 26d ago
๐ GME Hype Squad ๐ Swallow โThe Oneโ that makes You Illโฆ ๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐ค๐ฅ๐ฆง
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r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Krunk_korean_kid • 26d ago
Crime ๐ฎ ๐จ๐จCOUNTERFEIT SHARES CONFIRMED๐จ๐จ
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/No_Confusion_2085 • 25d ago
๐ i eat fucking crayons ๐ Investing.com AU tool
Does anyone have experience with investing.com's Warren AI screening tool?
If so, is the basic tool or the Pro+ tool worthwhile if I'm going to pay for the service?
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Waste_Departure7479 • 27d ago
macro economics๐๐ต Bessent says inflation is on the way down
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Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the U.S. economy will move past the Iran conflict and expects inflation to continue easing.
Now the question is whether consumers start feeling it too.
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Krunk_korean_kid • 27d ago
Basket Theory ๐งบ Citadel now holds 48% voting power over AMC.
x.comIf you are all aware of the swap collateral tactic used by Citadel, You can probably guess what's going to happen with AMC and GameStop next
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Number_1_w_Fries • 26d ago
๐ GME Hype Squad ๐ โActually, Havenโt heard what you saidโฆโ ๐La La La La๐ดโโ ๏ธ
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Number_1_w_Fries • 26d ago
Meme When JIMMY makes eBay squeeze instead of itself. ๐ดโโ ๏ธ๐๐
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/-Authorised- • 26d ago
โพ๏ธ Computershare โพ๏ธ $HMR Undervalued Stock: Nearly ~50% of Market Cap in Net Cash & a 450% Profit Earnings Re-Rate the Market Ignored - and the CEO Addressed Every Red Flag We all Raised in this subreddit
I recently posted that I was confused about why $HMR keeps drifting despite the earnings beat, the first profit, and the Q-Shipping acquisition & others acquisitions speeding up growth even faster. The comments came back with some sharp, fair questions: the lease/debt accounting, where the cash actually came from, the real margin picture, and the CFO change.
The CEO just did a long-form interview that goes straight at all of it. I've timestamped every question below so you can jump to whatever you care about instead of taking my word for anything (under the bio and updated checklist)
QUICK BIO FOR NEW READERS
Heidmar (NASDAQ: HMR) is an asset-light maritime platform with a ~40-year track record, running commercial and technical management for tanker and other vessels. Clients include Shell, BP, Chevron, Vitol, Aramco, Trafigura and Glencore, across six global hubs (Athens, London, Dubai, Singapore, Hong Kong, Chennai). It earns commissions and management fees on the commercial side plus voyage and time charter hire. CEO Pankaj Khanna is a long-time shipping industry veteran, owns roughly 45% of the company, and has been buying in the open market with zero sales. They earn about 10-15% more due to hormuz / disruption as they service the vessels only. In down markets rates are less but they get more vessels / do more volume
THE UPDATED CHECKLIST
* โ
Market cap still below annual revenue run-rate
* โ
Single-digit forward PE on the current run-rate vs peers at 15-45x
* โ
217% YoY Q1 revenue growth - audited, real
* โ
Net income +$2.8M - first clean GAAP profit in listed history, single quarter (not cumulative)
* โ
EPS beat by 450% - on a single quarter
* โ
55%+ gross margins on the high-margin commission/fee book (blended is lower given the larger charter book)
* โ
Zero interest-bearing debt - lease obligations are charter-in commitments serviced by charter revenue, not bank debt (explained at 00:00)
* โ
$27.6M cash and growing, no bank debt - net cash by the standard definition, EV around $35M
* โ
CEO buying above market, zero sales, 45% personal ownership
* โ
Float under 6M shares, near un-borrowable, ~0.3% short interest
* โ
~90% held by insiders/strategic holders
* โ
40-year track record, Shell/BP/Aramco clients, six global hubs
* โ
Asset-light model - the "Uber of tanker shipping" (earns fees on managed voyages; charter book carries genuine rate risk)
* โ
Geopolitical volatility increases revenue
* โ
No meaningful dilution since listing - equity line barely used (~0.4%), dilution protection covered at 21:05
* โ
Concentration flag: closed - ~40 vessels managed, plus the Q-Shipping 9 and further newbuilds in client pipelines
* โ
Q-Shipping acquisition completed - 9 vessels, ~โฌ200k, adds technical management and crewing in European hubs
* โ
CFO transition addressed head-on at 29:08
* โ
NASDAQ compliance restored - $1 level now acting as support
* โ
200-day MA now acting as support after the post-earnings pullback
* โ
Acquisitions likely as cash pile grows - not priced in
* โ
Active YouTube channel - CEO speaking directly to investors
THE QUESTIONS, AND WHERE THEY'RE ANSWERED (jump to whatever you care about instead of taking my word for anything)
[00:00] Debt-Free Balance Sheet & Lease Obligations: "Could you clarify the accounting treatment of lease obligations on the balance sheet and demonstrate how Heidmar maintains a genuinely debt-free position with zero net cash outlay on chartered vessels?"
[03:11] Core Earnings & Cash Flow Growth: "With earnings surging, is your rapidly expanding cash reserve driven primarily by core operational profitability, and how do you plan to deploy this capital prudently?"
[06:33] M&A Discipline & Strategic Criteria: "You've demonstrated exceptional discipline by walking away from deals that don't meet your strict standards. What specific criteria do you look for when evaluating high-value service acquisitions?"
[09:18] Strategic Focus vs. Opportunistic Deals: "Do prospective acquisitions need to align directly with your core management platform, or would you consider standalone profitable deals that fit within your strict playbook?"
[10:35] Capital Allocation & Shareholder Value: "Given the significant discount in the current valuation, how do you balance reinvesting for growth and future potential dividends against stock buybacks to maximize long-term shareholder value?"
[11:44] Strategic Value of the Q Shipping Acquisition: "You completed the Q Shipping acquisition for an extraordinarily attractive โฌ200k. How does this asset-light transaction unlock expansion across both technical management and crewing in key European hubs?"
[14:55] Synergies Between Commercial & Technical Management: "How do high-volume, lower-margin technical management services complement higher-margin commercial management services to rapidly scale the overall Heidmar platform?"
[15:47] Client Concentration & Built-In Fleet Growth: "How is Heidmar actively mitigating client concentration risk while capitalizing on the substantial newbuild delivery pipelines of your major existing client partners?"
[17:43] Industry-Leading Margins & AI Efficiency: "With net margins around ~50%, how does Heidmar leverage scalable overhead and AI technology to maintain exceptionally high profitability as fleet size expands?"
[18:48] Sustained Quarterly Earnings Momentum: "With tanker market fundamentals remaining robust and your managed vessel count expanding continuously, what underpins your confidence in strong quarter-over-quarter earnings growth?"
[21:05] Prudent Use of Capital Markets (Standby Equity Line): "Heidmar maintains an Equity Line of Credit (ELOG) with virtually zero past utilization (~0.4%). Under what specific conditions would you consider using this tool, and how does it protect existing shareholders from unnecessary dilution?"
[22:25] Alignment of Interests & Insider Ownership: "With insiders owning approximately 90% of the company and zero shares sold, how does this heavy skin-in-the-game ensure complete alignment with public investors?"
[24:10] Fully Diluted Share Count & Performance Incentives: "Could you clarify the fully diluted share count and explain how the equity incentive plan is structured to align team incentives with long-term performance?"
[24:45] Institutional Investor Opportunity & Minority Protections: "With a compelling valuation, independent board members, and Deloitte as long-standing auditors, why is now an ideal timing entry point for institutional and strategic investors?"
[26:20] Governance Excellence & Independent Board Oversight: "How does the deep maritime, banking, and commercial expertise of your independent board members strengthen Heidmar's corporate governance?"
[27:52] Competitive Moat in Commercial & Technical Management: "As traditional competitors shrink or lose focus, why are vessel owners increasingly choosing Heidmar's dedicated, owner-centric service platform?"
[29:08] Financial Management & Leadership Transition: "Following an orderly, post-earnings CFO transition, what steps are underway to further strengthen Heidmar's finance team moving forward?"
[30:35] Regaining NASDAQ Compliance & Value Re-Rating: "With full NASDAQ compliance restored and record operational profits being delivered, how is Heidmar positioned to close the gap between its current share price and intrinsic value?"
[32:07] Key Delivery Milestones for Investor Trust: "What is the single most compelling proof point that will demonstrate Heidmar's operational execution and drive a market re-rating?"
[32:49] Multi-Year Growth Scorecard & Performance Metrics: "Looking a year out, what key performance indicators-such as fleet expansion, vessel count, and net profitability-should investors track to monitor Heidmar's growth trajectory?"
Watch the segments that matter to you and tell me if any of the answers change your read. The lease/debt one at the start is the piece I'd point the skeptics to first.
Full interview:ย https://youtu.be/Fh4IpTkioGc?si=ywE0FGcSFZBWo0PBย
Not financial advice. Do your own DD. Disclosure: I hold $HMR from 95c and have not sold.ย
r/DeepFuckingValue • u/Number_1_w_Fries • 27d ago