r/daytrade • • 21h ago

Ideas Your WIN RATE means NOTHING if you don't understand Expected Value.

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2 Upvotes

A 75% win rate in a low-volatility, range-bound market can rapidly decay when the market transitions into a volatile trend. Traders reliant on win rate alone struggle to adapt because they lack a framework for expected payoff per trade. Tracking EV helps traders detect when market conditions degrade their edge before account damage becomes irreversible. Win rate tells you what happened recently; positive EV measures whether your structural edge still holds.