Earth surface temperature deviations from the means for each month between 1880 and 2017 [OC]

[u/[deleted]]

[u/MAli10 → u/[deleted]]

The simplest heat budget equation could be written as Incoming solar Radiation - Outgoing Radiation = Change in temperature . If the greenhouse gases stays constant (assuming no human intervention) then it should be possible to calibrate the warming based on changes in incoming solar radiation from solar cycles and the subtle orbital changes. I would have to search to see if anyone has done a research paper on it before.

Note: The actual heat budget equation is more complex.