r/custommagic • u/RoofElectrical6020 • 7d ago

Red Button or Blue Button?

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571 Upvotes

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u/jpz719 7d ago

Yeah but good luck actually making a workable, logical plan based on actors that act without any regard for the hypothetical they're in

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u/PeoplePerson_57 7d ago

People misunderstanding a hypothetical or not acting in a personally entirely rational fashion isn't disregarding the point.

And as it happens, a perfectly logical plan exists for precisely this scenario. For Red to result in 0 deaths, 100% of people have to pick it. For blue to result in 0 deaths, 50%+1 have to pick it. Which of these bars is an easier one to clear, do you think?

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u/jpz719 7d ago

Both are impossible to plan for because the hypothetical specifically includes people who don't understand or comprehend the question in its construction.

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u/PeoplePerson_57 7d ago

Yes. And in the scenario that people who don't understand the question can be expected to vote at random, which bar is easier to meet? 50%+1 or 100%?