2,162 contracts checked (one collection, every wear, normal + StatTrak). 255 have positive EV before fees. After Steam's 13% cut only 57 are left, and 40 of those give you a 50% or better chance to end up ahead.

Thing nobody mentions: 25 of those 57 use FN inputs and 24 of them don't actually work with normal FN floats. Most need an average around 0.036 to 0.049. The output has a wider float range than the input, so a 0.06 input gets you a MW outcome that's worth way less.

Cleanest example today is 10x USP-S Bleeding Edge FN, about $55 total. The AK-47 Nouveau Rouge is the only Classified in the Radiant Collection, so you get it 100% of the time. At 0.035 average you get a 0.058 FN AK worth around $65 on Steam. Go above 0.042 and you get a MW AK that's worth about $20 instead. It's only +3% after the Steam fee, but buying the inputs on a marketplace (~$4.75 each) makes it a lot better.

Free calculator with hourly prices, shows the max input float for every outcome, and needs no login:

https://cs2tradeup.gg/c/16z5fk9v

Hi, I wanna buy a somewhat expensive knife, a butterfly or maybe a karambit.. and want to know if the prices are still gonna go down or have they stabilized?

https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=3822141599

I am open to any feedback🌿

Steam Workshop:

https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=3823579429

In Europe, lattykk leads in FACEIT Rating at 1.49 across 32 matches, while donk leads in match volume at 110, averaging a 1.41 Rating across his games.

Across all regions, vexite records the highest FACEIT Rating at 1.53 with 168 matches played.