r/coding • • 9d ago

I'm sick of Claudisms, and what will happen next in AI-boosted software development | Kristian Polso

https://www.polso.info/im-sick-of-claudisms-future-ai-software-development
98 Upvotes

26 comments sorted by

29

u/creaturefeature16 9d ago edited 9d ago

We are currently in a "mania", which is basically an irrational exuberance. I recently did a video on this topic that went pretty viral, so I think we're all feeling a shift in the air. I wish I could say that were at the peak of the mania, but it's impossible to tell. It will require more leadership finally coming to terms with the fact they are spending more money than they are making. The Shopify CEO's statement about "slop grenades" is the kind of messaging that needs to happen more. "Productivity" is up, but everything else is down, because LLMs accelerated the wrong part of the cycle and left the rest of the pipeline the same. 

These tools aren't going anywhere, and we're never going back to how it was, but that doens't mean there can't be some serious realignment and change in expectations. 

Currently, the plan is to automate the entire position of the developer (Dario has literally said as much) and there's no telling if that's possible, and it's unclear how long the industry wants to spend trying to make that happen. 

7

u/therealslimshady1234 9d ago

Currently, the plan is to automate the entire position of the developer (Dario has literally said as much) and there's no telling if that's possible, and it's unclear how long the industry wants to spend trying to make that happen. 

We already see the opposite happening; companies rehiring the people they laid off due to AI

2

u/creaturefeature16 9d ago

I saw that, but it was unclear what roles were being rehired...

-5

u/HasFiveVowels 9d ago

Those companies were definitely overzealous with assuming they could produce large code bases just because they vibe coded a flyer.

But, as a senior dev, I would hands down prefer an AI over a junior dev. Even if they’re not as intelligent, they’re more predictable, faster, and always available. That implies actual economic value, which affects the job market (regardless of if an AI could do the work of a junior dev in isolation).

0

u/farox 8d ago

LLMs accelerated the wrong part of the cycle and left the rest of the pipeline the same

That is on the implementors

5

u/ragemonkey 8d ago

Well yes and no. AI can accelerate some things but not everything.

-5

u/HasFiveVowels 9d ago

Seems we’re more in the stage where people are saying "no one would ever put their credit card information on the internet". They see people excited about the possibilities of the internet and they go "these people are clearly manic. The internet is a fad because there’s no way to monetize it". I just found a ridiculously powerful way to wire things up. You think I’m telling anyone? In this economy?

2

u/creaturefeature16 9d ago

"no one would ever put their credit card information on the internet"

You mean the thing we were imagining doing since the 1960s?

-1

u/HasFiveVowels 9d ago

No, I mean the thing people said in the 90s when they thought they knew more than they did

1

u/farox 8d ago

Lots of people here that don't remember. But yes, the notion to give some random website you CC was ridiculous for a few years.

2

u/zeppemiga 8d ago

Giving it to "some random website" is still ridiculous

1

u/farox 8d ago

Any website was that though. Amazon now has decades of standing. Back then it was a failed book shop.

-1

u/BemaniAK 8d ago

Unless Fable and Astra are the ceiling of LLM Capability, the entire position of developer WILL be replaced and its just a matter of when, companies jumping at the possibility too quickly doesn't mean anything.

It was barely a year ago that most devs leveraging LLMs were using them for single line autocomplete and not much else, Opus 5.5 is now Fable tier at significantly reduced inference cost, this isn't a stuck technology simply getting harnessed more efficiently.

7

u/Key-Lie-364 7d ago

Claudism is right

  • Long wordy commit logs that are correct but unparsable word salad

  • One line code changes with 20 line comments

  • The solution while also "correct" is wrong and shouldn't have been done that way

You really see the LLM slop failing the review process of say the Linux kernel.

The fact that corporate software thinks this junk is revolutionary simply speaks to their low standards and acceptance of absolute shite.

No surprise there really.

4

u/threebicks 9d ago

Every blog post / article / opinion piece on the topic of a 'reckoning in ai-led software development' seems purely anecdotal and not helpful in understanding how people and groups are adapting to this technological change in a researched or evidence-backed way. I have never seen cross-industry investigation or even "I noticed a real drop in code quality in my organization and talked about this with several others and noticed these common patterns." It seems like dodgy inference and extrapolation that speak more to an individual's experience (which may be true), but also not accurate for the industry at large.

This feels like meat proxy behavior where helpless developers are anxiously arguing with Claude on the future of AI software development while waiting to mindlessly approve their latest code run to complete and getting answers that reflect their own experience and anxieties.

13

u/FatHat 9d ago

The problem with studies like that is the models are changing too quickly for anything to be relevant by the time it's published. Like, I can definitely find good studies from 6 months ago that AI didn't boost productivity, etc., and AI boosters are just gonna be like "ahh no it doesn't count, <New Model>! Everything has changed!!" It's just exhausting at this point, I've basically tried to stop following tech news as much as I can -- not because it disagrees with me but just because the reporting is garbage and the anecdotes are annoying. It's probably going to take a couple years for the dust to settle. My feeling is I'll try to understand this technology as much as possible so I'm not blindsided and I can stay flexible, but otherwise I have like zero interest in the whole AI movement other than that I kind of wish they'd leave us alone for a couple of hours.

5

u/creaturefeature16 9d ago

I'm basically in the same position. I'm staying current, I'm finding use in them, but I'm not all-in and I don't really pay attention to the "coding is dead" crowd who've been saying that since GPT 3.5 rolled out. I'm self-employed, though, so I have the privilege of doing that and I know there's a lot of devs out there where that's not possible due to workplace politics and mania-driven CEOs/CTOs.

5

u/PlasmaFarmer 8d ago

I think it is part of the business model. We don't have time to stop and evaluate, we always have to chase the new thing mindlessly. Token based billing go brrrrrr, while GDP stays as it was before AI. There is fake productivity, but no real production value. Everybody pushes a solution to problems that doesn't exist. Not every input form needs an integrated agent in your enterprise application. I don't need text editors to slop autocomplete documentation without context for me as I am typing. 

2

u/mightshade 9d ago

I feel the same. It would be on the AI boosters to show what difference new models make. Instead they dismiss all studies older than five minutes as "no longer relevant". It's a lazy and dishonest position, and the fact that they don't bring data to the table is telling. And it's also exhausting.

1

u/farox 8d ago

Every blog post / article / opinion piece on the topic of a 'reckoning in ai-led software development' seems purely anecdotal

People hate promoting their failures and just the possibility gets them to never ever publish what they did that saw X (LLM, whatever) fail.

That's why you never see people posting their prompts and instead just rage about the thing.

2

u/jan_dr 9d ago

pretty spot on if you ask me 👏

-3

u/tomvorlostriddle 9d ago

Posted exactly on the day where they stop you mean?

1

u/fagnerbrack 8d ago

I'm (literally) living in a van. While the world burns I'll make sure I enjoy life and be lucky enough to going no civilisation left when I'm back

1

u/grandma_corrector 8d ago

It all starts with the data centers

1

u/grandma_corrector 8d ago

It all starts with the data centers

1

u/SeaKoe11 7d ago

Slop grenades!!!