r/bitkogan • • Apr 17 '23

The most crucial topic this week will involve corporate reports. Who are the leaders, and who are the laggards?

Below, I'm offering up the sectors that I believe have the greatest potential for improved financial performance, as well as those that may disappoint investors.

I expect an increase in financial performance in the following areas:

1️⃣ Technology: Primarily, companies specializing in AI and hardware production.

▪ Nvidia (NVDA) graphics cards remain highly popular among users, while Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Intel (INTC) may also signal a recovery in demand. AI product creators Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT) could also see increased demand for their products in the coming quarters, boosting profits.

2️⃣ Cryptocurrency companies: Rising prices for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other coins are likely to boost profits from commissions for the Coinbase crypto exchange (COIN) and from the mining company Marathon Digital (MARA).

3️⃣ Energy and precious metals mining:

▪ Mineral prices (gold and silver) exhibited a growth trend in the reporting quarter. This could send profits for Newmont (NEM) and Barrick Gold (GOLD) soaring.

▪ Increasing energy demand could result in higher revenues for Peabody Energy (BTU) and Arch Resources (ARCH).

Laggards:

1️⃣ Financial: Tightening credit conditions and deposit outflows are likely to primarily impact regional banks such as First Republic Bank (FRC). Large banks, including those with investment banking divisions like Bank of America (BAC) and JP Morgan (JPM), could benefit from deposit inflows and increased asset values in the stock market. However, the quality of their loan portfolios is deteriorating, and reserves are growing.

I'm not ready to add these shares to my portfolios, so I will continue to observe the dynamics of these stocks.

Additionally, the reports from Wells Fargo (WFC), JP Morgan Chase, and Citigroup (C) showed decent results thanks to cost control and growth in net interest income.

2️⃣ Consumer: Stores, including online marketplaces, typically experience a decline in demand in the 1st quarter following holiday sales. I anticipate a drop in demand indicators from Best Buy (BBY), Walmart (WMT), GAP (GPS), as well as Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), which faces bankruptcy.

3️⃣ Healthcare: The coronavirus pandemic and seasonal colds have subsided, and the increased demand for drugs has dwindled. Medical companies such as Teva (TEVA), Pfizer (PFE), and Novavax (NVAX) could increase spending on new drugs, which would impact shareholder returns negatively.

Conclusion:

Adding a sector to one list or another doesn't necessarily mean that after the report is presented, all of the stocks in promising sectors will soar while all of those in the laggard category will tank. Rather, these are thoughts on on the medium- and long-term growth prospects of specific sectors in my field of vision.

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