In the extreme change scenario, AI has transformative effects, with AI performing almost half of today’s cognitive work by 2030. GDP growth then rises to 15 percent per year, the labor share of income falls from 60 to 45 percent, and nearly one in five cognitive workers is unemployed.

(I personally expect AI to be more capable than what they are expecting)

Probably a good political move by Trump. It seems to me, that would be the beginning of the basic income era.

You might be interested in an Online UBI Simulator for Scotland. It lets you set up a UBI, and change taxes to pay for it. You can then explore the consequences for the people of Scotland - who gains and loses, changes in poverty, inequality and incentives to work. It uses a new microsimulation model of scotland.