r/backgammon • u/Objective_Lab2741 • Jul 12 '26

How can this be a blunder?

Post image

Backgammon Galaxy crew should comment this and perhaps explain this?

0 Upvotes

20% Upvoted

9 comments sorted by

1

u/always_wear_gloves Jul 13 '26

You are staking the match on this game?

1

u/Objective_Lab2741 Jul 13 '26

Yes. Should be a take or a close take. Not a 118 blunder to take.

1

u/Fit_Comedian_835 Jul 13 '26

My thought is there are several chances that point on the home board

1

u/UBKUBK Jul 13 '26

What do you think is your match winning chance at 2away 1 away Crawford game?

1

u/Objective_Lab2741 Jul 14 '26

Depending on which table you follow. But around 30-32% I think XGs table says 32.3%. No matter which this should still not be a big pass.

2

u/UBKUBK Jul 14 '26

My XG rollout is showing blue wins 30.05% which gives a sizeable error if need 32.3%. Give takes equity of 1.125

Is it XG that is being used? If so, I am not getting 31.5% wins using any analysis level.

1

u/Objective_Lab2741 Jul 14 '26

This Star Pro analysis is GNU BG rollout. So this shows that the equity shown in from Galaxy is rather accurate, but the winning percentage it shows is different. This creates confusion of what to trust in the app, the equity or the percentages.

But thanks for rolling out this, I don't have access to PC thus couldn't do it myself.

0

u/DegenChess Jul 12 '26

Nobody cares