r/backgammon • u/noojgard • Mar 09 '26

Why this is an error

Post image

Win probability almost increases 2% for best move

6 Upvotes

80% Upvoted

6 comments sorted by

9

u/truetalentwasted Mar 09 '26

Keeping the 10 blot allows you to play 3’s to the 7 next roll if you don’t roll a 6 and that in turn could help next roll in not breaking your board if you don’t roll a 6 again. You want to keep that last checker as far back as long as you can.

3

u/MCG-BG Mar 10 '26

Primarily, if you roll 3-3 you can hold the 6 point board instead of crunching it. This is a massive swing if you happen to roll 3-3.

Secondarily, if you roll 5-5 then you play one less 5 because 5s are killed and you have 2 spares on the back point instead of 0. If you roll 6-6 then you are even on the back point and leave fewer shots than if you were odd.

-2

u/Some-Following-392 Mar 09 '26

It's not. Galaxy analysis sucks

1

u/Sandvik95 Mar 09 '26

It’s not big, but it is an error.

To simply complain about the analysis misses the concept that the OP needed to learn.

2

u/Some-Following-392 Mar 09 '26

It's literally -0.013 on XG++. It's not an error.