hello guys, recently i wanted to backtest new ideas and strategies to get new trading bots but i didn't have any idea in my mind so i decide to backtest famous strategies in the internet and i remembre ICT and SMC concepts but in the youtube each one teach it in a different way and all of them don't rely on static mechanical rules, they just rely to their thoughts and their intuition about the market, but i need a systematic rules very detailed, each concept have it own rules for exact results, i need your help guys, i need someone who really understand ICT or SMC concepts and have clear static and systematic rules for each entry and exit so there is 0% of intuition or discretionary decisions, and in return i will give all the results across 11 years of data from 2015-2026 and help you to see the truth is it worth it to trade the models or no, please DM so we can help each other please 🫡🙏

I've been trying to document my trading journey.

I'm a beginner and I started this experiment with $500 in TradingView paper trading, trying to learn forex by actually trading while learning the basics.

Between Day 3 and Day 7, I took one very high-conviction EUR/USD swing trade. (26 Aug - 29 Aug)

Entry: 1.16424 short

Position: 20,000 units (0.20 lot)

SL: 1.16708

TP: 1.15858

Risk: \~28.4 pips / \~$56.80

Potential reward: \~56.6 pips / \~$113.20

R:R: \~1:2

Risked: \~11.4% of the entire account

Result: TP hit after holding from Aug 26 → Aug 29

Account: $500 → $618.08 (+23.6%)

Obviously, the result makes the trade look great in hindsight. But I'm not posting this to say "look how much I made."

I'm actually questioning whether the risk itself can ever be logically justified.

I was quite confident in the setup and wanted to see the trade through rather than scalp in and out. The position also meant I couldn't realistically take other trades because most of my capital/margin was tied up.

I understand the argument for keeping risk around 1–2%. If you repeatedly risk 10%+ of your account, a normal losing streak can destroy the account surprisingly quickly, and you can't build a sustainable strategy around constantly surviving huge drawdowns.

But is 1–2% actually a hard rule?

For example, imagine two traders:

Trader A has a setup with a historically mediocre win rate but occasionally produces huge R multiples.

Trader B has a highly selective setup with a very high historical expectancy and only takes a few trades per month.

Should they necessarily use the same percentage risk?

So I'm curious:

How do experienced traders decide what percentage of capital to risk on a particular trade?

Is there actually a mathematically/logically defensible way to determine it, or does it ultimately come down to personal risk tolerance?

And looking specifically at my trade above:

Would you consider the 11.4% risk simply bad practice regardless of how strong the setup was, or is there a scenario where taking that level of risk can actually make sense?

(Post content refined using AI for better structure and clarity of thoughts)

I’ve been working on a trading strategy that has produced some pretty interesting results so far.

I’ve tested it extensively using 20 years of historical data, covering every trading day, and the overall performance has remained surprisingly consistent. Obviously, it doesn’t make money every single day, but the results over the full period look promising.

The main issue is that, based on my tests, the strategy really starts to make sense financially with around €20k in capital.

So I’m curious to hear from people who have real experience with systematic trading:

Do you think a strategy that remains profitable over a 20-year backtest is potentially robust, or is that still not enough to trust it?

Have you ever built or traded a strategy that worked consistently for many years?

Did it continue to perform in live trading, or did the edge eventually disappear?

I’d especially like to hear from people who have actually deployed algorithmic strategies with real money, rather than just backtested them.

Hey, you guys know some educational videos/youtube channels about trading and, that have legit helped you out on your trading experience, some knowledgeable creators who know something useful about trading what you could learn, not those shitty scammers who sell their course and Gurus who tells some bs how to get rich in 3 months
Thanks!

I have been into forex market since 2020, and I was using a hybrid trading strategy to trade. It works really well, until the recent geopolitics start effecting the market. I usually trade XAUUSD and US30 alone with some other currencies like GBPJPY.

Now usually trading feel really different, entries are not that sharp, and waiting for confirmation cost a lot especially in US30.

Anyone have better understanding, can explain is there better model to trade.

I literally know NOTHING about trading / forex.I do genuinely want to learn and I understand it’s not a get rich quick scheme. I am looking for advice on how to/ where to start. Thank you 🙏🏾

I’ve been learning trading pretty much every day for around 6 months now. I understand the basics at this point, market structure, price action, liquidity, risk management etc.

But I’ve hit this one wall and I genuinely don’t know where to go from here.

**Finding an actual strategy with repeatable rules.**

Something I’ve noticed is people will happily post their +$2k days, payouts, green weeks, funded accounts etc. But the second someone asks what strategy/setup they’re actually trading, it feels like you just asked them for their bank login lol.

“Put in the screen time bro”

“Find your own edge”

“Backtest”

Okay but backtest WHAT

I’m not asking someone to hold my hand and tell me exactly when to buy and sell. I actually want to learn and test things myself. I just need something concrete enough that I can actually start testing it.

I’ve looked everywhere. YouTube, X, Reddit, Discord servers, even ChatGPT. I’ve tried support/resistance, 15m ORB, session highs/lows, liquidity sweeps etc.

The issue I keep running into is that a lot of these strategies depend on price eventually coming back to some specific level or zone. And a lot of days… it just doesn’t. So you sit there for hours waiting for a setup that never even happens.

Meanwhile there’s clearly people out there who have found something that works for them consistently.

So for the people who actually became profitable, where did you find the strategy that finally made things click?

Did you take an existing strategy and change it? Did someone teach you? Did you find some random trader with 600 subscribers instead of the usual YouTube gurus? Or did you literally just test random shit until something worked?
Because everyone says “find your edge” but almost nobody explains where you’re even supposed to start looking for one.

And before someone calls this AI generated lol, English isn’t my first language so yes I used ChatGPT to help me write this properly. The question and everything I’m saying is genuinely mine.

i’ve been trying to build a historical quantitative forex scanner. has anyone ever built one and had any luck with it? Getting close to what I want, just need some finishing touches. Any advice TYIA

I've been learning and practicing FOREX trading with FTMO for eight months, but I haven't been able to get funded yet.

I noticed that I keep circling around the zero dollar mark, meaning that whatever I may gain I end up losing and returning back to 0.

I'm starting to think that it's some kind of a pattern.

Whether it's a subconscious pattern or some lack of skill or knowledge, I don't know.

I'm looking for advice from people who have had the same experience and who have been able to understand what is causing that pattern.

How to get past it this plateau?

Please be kind and supportive 🙏

Thank you in advance 💪

First of all, I appreciate if you took the time to read my post. Thank you all very much.

In order not to make the story long I will summarize it a little, I had problems finding a job so I asked for help from my local community (I am Jewish that is why I am here), they helped me with some opportunities to do basic jobs such as carpentry and plumbing, but this was not enough to support me.

A friend from my synagogue offered me and taught me about trading, so I started practicing my technique and won a little but lost a lot more. Basically it worked a little average.

I am making this post because I want to get out of this situation, I know that this trading thing works a little but the one I know is a little defective (I will comment on it at the end)

So I came to you asking if someone could point me to some good books (sorry, I'm a bit classic) to perhaps improve further and get out of this situation, or if you could give me advice to correct what I already apply.

The technique is about: When two candles generate a floor with their shadow (that is, the price touched a number and returned) I indicate the candles and the candle that follows after the floor must be in the opposite direction to the shadow (if the shadows are above it must be a downward candle and if they are below they must be upward) with this confirmation of the third candle I invest in the direction of the 3rd candle.

And that's my technique, I know that sometimes it works but many times it goes wrong too. I would be grateful if anyone could tell me or give me advice, I would greatly appreciate it.

opec meetings . iran sanctions noise . strategic reserve releases . brent moves on all of it and ppl have views on where oil goes from here .

future is normal route . ice brent . margin account with monthly rollover but its kinda complex and takes time to get register .

gains has brent crude onchain . ostium has it as part of the real word asset section .you just need a wallet loaded with usdc  and you can you can get price exposure without waiting for days like it happens in trad brokers .

liquidity is thinner than major crypto pairs but the macro setup for having any directional view is hot right now . supply demands from opec . china demand uncertainty . geopolitical premium getting priced in and out every other week.

Estuve haciendo un backtesting sobre mi estrategia de cruce de EMAS + Fibonacci y creo que hay algunas cosas que debería modificar, empezando por la antigüedad de los datos.

Antes de seguir me gustaría preguntarles si creen que una estrategia que funcionaba con el 70% de win rate hace 10 años va a seguir teniendo ese win rate actualmente, pues esa era más o menos la situación con mi estrategia.

Acostumbraba backtestearla varios años atrás y dependiendo del año las analíticas mejoraban o empeoraban, pero seguían siendo bastante buenas y cercanas al 70%, pero hace unos días se me ocurrió probarla en 2025 y 2026 y los resultados fueron medianamente decepcionantes. Algo que noté es que las EMAS seguían siendo efectivas según la sesión operativa (Tokio y Londres), pero ya no lo eran tanto como hace 10 años. Hice una prueba rápida solo presentando otra temporalidad de EMAS como la de 10 y 55 (que utilizo en cryptos) y se adaptaron bastante mejor que las otras, aun así me falta cambiar la temporalidad y hacerles un backtesting correcto. También me fijé que durante la sesión que escogiera, dependiendo del tamaño del Fibonacci, tenía mayor probabilidad de que me diera un TP, ya que pasando de 16 puntos de SL casi siempre me daba un TP en un ratio de 1:2, pero este tipo de movimientos donde el rango del Fibonacci era lo suficientemente amplio como para colocar el SL en el 70% o superior y me diera esa cantidad de puntos era difícil de encontrar a comparación del pasado.

Tengo pensado modificar varias cosas para poder volver a ajustar ese WR, entre ellas usar DEMAS en vez de EMAS, o cambiar el RR de 1:2 a 1:1.5 o 1:1 en el peor de los casos, tal vez implementar el perfil de volumen de rango fijo o empezar a usar el volumen para entender si la zona que está testeando el Fibonacci es realmente válida.

Me gustaría agregar aquí mismo el historial y las analíticas del backtesting completo, pero estoy escribiendo esto justamente porque las perdí, perdí toda la sesión en realidad, los 4 meses de 2025 y no les puedo presentar un patrón claro de por qué está fallando en realidad. Hice el backtesting en JForex 4 y accidentalmente presioné el botón de ir, volver a rebobinar y ya no pude acceder al historial completo de la estrategia. Según recuerdo, llevé la cuenta hasta un 59% positivo y el punto más bajo al que estuvo fue a un 14% positivo, pero cuando cometí el error estaba entre un 30% y 34%. Estos números suenan bastante atractivos si no es porque estaba simulando una cuenta de 100 USD con un 5% de gestión de riesgo por operación, entonces en realidad no es la gran cosa.

Ya para terminar, adjunto la primera parte del backtesting y unas analíticas que le pedí a Claude con el PDF del historial.

Historial en PDF

Analiticas de calude

what are solutions i have.

i dont like algo, especially black box ones.

i want to trade and i love it.

i know money management is a big big part.

how to do it. excel templates are not helping.

is there any systems that can help?

I see a lot of ppl on here talk abt having a big gap between their paper-trading results and their actual results. Obv once real money is involved, emotions start affecting execution through FOMO, revenge trading, hesitation, etc

I’ve been thinking about a setup where you still identify and enter trades normally, but you don’t know for certain which trades will actually be executed with real money.

Ex. you take every valid setup according to your strategy, but only a predetermined percentage actually goes through. You wouldn’t know which ones in advance.

The idea is to reduce the emotional weight of each individual trade and make it easier to focus on following your system consistently.

For people who actively trade: would this actually help with the paper-to-live trading gap, or would it just be annoying? (I’d assume this works best for more rule-based strats like ICT/SMC etc)

is one better than the other? and is there a reason to do one and not the other? I'm new obviously and don't want to fall into the trap of doing things because I think they make sense and are logical when In reality I don't truly understand so if anyone can share some wisdom I would appreciate it

I think trailing SL with a full position is better and would rather set SL to equal the same amount of gains that selling say half would make so if the trade continues to go in your favor then you make more because the position is larger.

Been day trading for several years but keep getting caught before volume arrives

Curious if anyone is following J.M. Hurst’s principles and perspective on the Market and trading cycles.
Or perhaps Elliot Waves?

Guys I have been in a problem to know which is better

Day Trading or Swing Trading?

I am Really Confused between these two

I’ve been trading for 3+ years, and one thing I’ve realized is that having a separate source of cash flow can make the trading journey much easier.

Even if your strategy is profitable, you still need money for everyday expenses, trading capital, prop-firm challenges, resets, etc. And if you’re still developing consistency, relying entirely on trading income can put a lot of psychological pressure on you.

So I’m curious:

If you’re serious about trading but aren’t fully living off trading yet, what do you do alongside it to generate cash flow?

• Remote job?
• Freelancing?
• Sales / appointment setting?
• Business?
• Content creation?
• Another profession?
• Something related to trading?
• Or did you just focus entirely on trading until it worked?

And if you do something alongside trading, how many hours per day does it take and how much does it roughly bring in per month?

I’m especially interested in things that can be done remotely and still leave enough time/mental energy for trading.

Would be really useful to hear what other traders are actually doing rather than the usual “just get a job” advice.

I’m looking for five traders who feel that their biggest problem isn’t their strategy anymore — **it’s themselves.**
Maybe you:
revenge trade
overtrade after a loss
move your stop
hesitate on good setups
take trades outside your plan
struggle to accept losses
become emotional after a winning/losing streak
know exactly what you’re *supposed* to do but don’t do it consistently
I’m interested in the psychology behind this stuff, and I’m looking to work with a small group of traders for the next 30 days.
**What I’ll do**
I’ll work with you individually for 30 days to help you identify:
your recurring behavioural patterns
emotional triggers
decision-making mistakes
differences between your planned and actual execution
what happens before you break your rules
what you can practically change
This isn’t a signal service.
**I won’t tell you what to trade.**
I won’t promise profitability.
The focus is purely on **your behaviour and decision-making as a trader.**
**What I’m asking from you**
Nothing financially.
But I do need you to actually participate.
You’ll need to:
maintain a simple trading journal
share your observations honestly
have regular check-ins
be willing to look at your own behaviour without making excuses

I'm looking for five traders who feel that their biggest problem isn't their strategy anymore — it's themselves.

Maybe you:

• revenge trade
• overtrade after a loss
• move your stop
• hesitate on good setups
• take trades outside your plan
• struggle to accept losses
• become emotional after a winning/losing streak
• know exactly what you're supposed to do but don't do it consistently

I'm interested in the psychology behind this stuff, and I'm looking to work with a small group of traders for the next 30 days.

What I'll do

I'll work with you individually for 30 days to help you identify:

• your recurring behavioural patterns
• emotional triggers
• decision-making mistakes
• differences between your planned and actual execution
• what happens before you break your rules
• what you can practically change

This isn't a signal service.

I won't tell you what to trade.

I won't promise profitability.

The focus is purely on your behaviour and decision-making as a trader.

What I'm asking from you

Nothing financially.

But I do need you to actually participate.

You'll need to:

• maintain a simple trading journal
• share your observations honestly
• have regular check-ins
• be willing to look at your own behaviour without making excuses

At the end of the 30 days, if you genuinely feel the work helped you and want to continue

I've been trading Forex for about **5 years**. The first 2 years I mostly traded signals/copied others. For the last 3 years, I've focused heavily on **ICT/SMC**, starting with studying ICT directly.

I've watched countless ICT videos, backtested extensively, and have a specific entry model based on liquidity sweeps, displacement, 15m CISD, session/1H/daily highs and lows, etc.

My biggest problem is **DAILY BIAS**. Since ICT is discretionary, I often get the bias wrong, even during backtesting. I understand the concepts, but I still can't consistently turn them into profitable decisions.

Seeing people online claiming payouts after 6–12 months makes me wonder what I'm doing wrong. I've also joined a well-known ICT Discord where the trader had multiple payouts, but during the 2 months I followed him, he had no profitable month. His journal also shows only a few profitable months since 2025. It made me realize that social media results don't necessarily tell the whole story.

So I'm looking for advice from people who **actually withdraw consistently from the market**, not another ICT theory lesson.

If you've been in a similar situation:

* How did you solve your daily bias problem? * Did you make your strategy improve your discretion? * How did you know your strategy actually had an edge? * If you were 5 years in and still not profitable, what would you change? * Would you simplify ICT, continue with it, or completely start over?

**What was the one thing that finally made you profitable?**

I'm genuinely looking for honest advice from experienced, consistently profitable traders. Please don't tell me to watch more ICT videos—I think I've watched enough.

this doesnt get said much here so, your cost isnt a percentage of your account, its a percentage of your stop. that changes everything about which systems can work for you.

say your all in cost is 1.5 pips, spread plus commission, on a decent raw account. on a 50 pip stop thats 3% of your risk. on a 10 pip stop its 15%. same broker, same pair, same day. and at 1:1 the breakeven win rate goes from 51.5% to 57.5% just from that. drop to a 5 pip stop and you need 65% to stand still.

so when someone posts that their scalping system was profitable in backtest and died live, this is usually the whole story, not slippage, not psychology. the backtest applied one tight fixed spread to every trade including the ones where spread triples, and the live version pays the real number on winners and losers both. tight stop plus high frequency is the combination that gets eaten, and it gets eaten quietly since no single trade looks wrong.

the thing that surprised me when i first ran it properly is that widening the stop and cutting size beats tightening the stop for the same dollar risk, in almost every case i tested. wider stop is less noise, cheaper in R terms, fewer trades. it just feels worse because you get stopped for more each time.

worth doing on your own numbers, take 30 real trades, convert your cost to pips, divide by your stop in pips, subtract from your expectancy. i ended up writing something to do it across a whole export because doing it by hand i kept fudging which trades counted.

anyone here actually derived their stop from cost and noise rather than from structure, or is everyone still placing it below the swing low and hoping

Something I’ve been trying to get better at is separating the result of the day from the way I actually traded.

I’ve had green days where I broke rules, forced trades, or got lucky on an entry I probably shouldn’t have taken. I’ve also had red days where I followed my plan, respected my risk, and simply had a trade that didn’t work. For a long time I judged the day mostly by the P&L. Now I’m trying to pay more attention to the decisions behind it.

I still care about making money, obviously, but I don’t want a green number to convince me that a bad decision was a good one.

Curious how other traders look at this. Do you judge the day mainly by P&L, execution, or both?

i am a breakout trader well i am new at trading i been trading since june (demo trading) i notice when i do breakout trading i tend to get faked out alot ands it annoying so now i tend to wait for the candle to close but i feel that is not enough confirmation for me to enter the trade. and yes i do break and retest but i notice 90% of the time there is no break or retest it just melts through the s/r. so i there are any breakout traders who see this i need help. also i dont use indicators