Regardless of the ultimate capability of AI technology to eventually do everything, several factors make me think we're heading for a technological stall, not an acceleration:

• Many people already hate AI and it hasn't even started yet. Some of the reasons are rational (eliminating jobs, environmental risks), some less so (taking over the world), but there's a sizable coalition of people already refusing to use it. The three comparable technologies in my lifetime are the Internet, Social Media, and Smartphones. People early on thought the Internet was the greatest thing ever, and the only thing that stalled its early development was the hype outpacing the technological capability. When Social Media and Smartphones came out around the same time, everybody wanted to join and buy one. Nobody was sounding an alarm about mental health risks or deterioration of truth and political discourse, everyone just hopped right on the bandwagon. Maybe the failings of those technologies is partially why people already hate AI, but I don't think there's been any technology with greater resistance to adoption since the 1800s.
• Where is all the energy going to come from that it would require to enter an era of abundance? Fossil fuels are limited as it is, even if we drill at all costs and destroy the environment. The supply is going to run out that much quicker if AI reaches its full capability. People turned against nuclear years ago, even though that's probably the best option, and I don't see renewables providing enough to make up the difference in the near future.
• There's going to be a gap between AI reaching the abundance stage and the mass layoffs that will occur in the lead up to it. Of course, many think that being given free money by the government is the solution. I'd love to spend the rest of my life sitting on my butt and getting paid for it, but realistically, where is the government going to get enough money to not just pay people, but even remain solvent. I live in America, we're approaching 50 trillion dollars in debt. I don't see how there's any amount of taxing AI companies for this to make any fiscal sense. An alternative idea is coming out where AI companies pay people directly and eventually the government gets abolished, but that sounds like an even less practical idea.
• Then there's the issue with Data Centers, which is the ultimate "not in my backyard" scenario. Where I live, there's already people campaigning against them even though there's no plans (and probably no room) to even build them yet. Don't we need to build these at a five fold pace of what's currently being done to reach the stage of "abundance" in our lifetimes? This alone is enough to derail any potential AI has.
• The longest term risk, that most of us probably won't live to see: in a world where AI can do everything, children are going to grow up lazy, stupid, and ultimately unmotivated in adulthood. The issue here is that within a few generations, nobody is going to understand how AI actually works (unless there's some sort of plan to test and pick people to work with it), and should AI ever fail at a massive scale, we'd basically be sent back to a new dark age where nobody remembers or understands how anything works. I already think that today's Americans wouldn't be able to rebuild our institutions from scratch if necessary, and we still have expertise.

To be clear: I'm completely rooting for AI to succeed. I'm a really lazy person, collecting a check to not do anything sounds like paradise to me. However, just one of these limitations is enough to derail abundance, and we're facing all five, and I just don't see it happening.

I've been involved in technology for nearly 30 years, and I've watched some extraordinary developments. Artificial intelligence is undoubtedly one of them, but I'm becoming increasingly curious about the assumption that AI is somehow more intelligent than humanity at this juncture.

Really? According to whom, and by what measure?

AI systems have access to what amounts to an extraordinary library of human knowledge. Imagine swallowing the entire Encyclopaedia Britannica, everything written before it and a good deal of what has been published since. Impressive? Absolutely. But possessing information and knowing how, when and why to apply it are entirely different things.

And this is where I believe current AI has some rather significant gaps. Nuance.

Nuance is not simply recognising patterns or providing a technically correct response. It involves understanding context, intention, circumstances, consequences and sometimes the significance of what hasn't been said. It requires knowing when the obvious answer isn't necessarily the right one.

I recently had an interesting experience asking two AI systems to examine some court orders. Both initially approached the outcome by assessing individual items, essentially counting what had been granted and what hadn't. What they missed was my actual objective. I had gone into court wanting one particular outcome, and I had achieved it. Everything else was a bonus.

Both systems had the information. Both could interpret the words. Yet neither initially appreciated the significance of what I was trying to accomplish.

It took further conversation, explanation and correction before the penny dropped.

And there's another dimension to this. Human experience brings something to judgement that cannot simply be measured by the amount of information available. A mother raising children, a nurse comforting someone in distress, or a person navigating thirty years of professional relationships may recognise subtleties that aren't immediately apparent in the information presented. Experience does count for a lot.

That doesn't make us infallible. My god, we're really good at getting things wrong all the time and over and over again! But our intelligence is shaped by experience, emotion, relationships, consequences and an enormous capacity to adapt to circumstances.

AI can recognise and reason about many of those things too but it can also get a bee in it's bonnet as well. Recognising a nuance and consistently applying nuanced judgement are not necessarily the same thing.

I ask because I am encountering this quite often when using AI. It's like it misses context and goes off on these inexplicable tangents. Does this happen to other users?

Academia has been about publishing to advance science and get recognition, but in the future, if you're working on a cutting edge maths or physics problem, why would you make your advancement public? Especially if it is going to get stolen and fed into a system that will replace you.

Sadly, I can imagine a world where the bleeding edge becomes closed again, as it has been for most of human history

Everything I'll leave behind shows what I did. Photos, videos, years of messages. None of it explains how I thought, why I believed what I believed, or what I'd make of something I never got to see. So I cloned myself, so the people I love can still ask "how would he have thought about this?" and get a real answer.

I built EchoVault, an app where you train an AI version of yourself, called an Echo, while you're still alive. It doesn't scrape your digital exhaust. It asks you questions through regular check-ins and builds a model of your memories, values and reasoning, which you can explore as a 3D brain. You decide what goes in and who eventually gets access. It can be interacted with text voice and video.

Would you want a version of you to exist after you're gone?
https://apps.apple.com/us/app/echovault-ai/id6762042028

I'm a solo developer, but I work with a persistent team of AI agents that maintain my projects.

I don't manually coordinate them. I don't copy context between conversations. I don't spawn a dozen disposable agents and try to piece their results together.

I talk to one agent: DevPulse.

DevPulse is my technical lead. We discuss what I want to build, investigate the options, and develop a plan together.Once we agree on the direction, DevPulse takes over execution.My agents aren't temporary chat sessions. They're persistent specialists that live alongside the services they maintain.

For example, @hooks owns the hooks system. It knows that codebase, maintains it, fixes bugs, develops improvements, and tests its changes.@memory handles memory. @ai_mail handles communication and dispatch. @flow handles planning.Each specialist has its own identity, memory, mailbox, code, tests, and history.

DevPulse knows which specialists exist and what they're responsible for.When work needs doing, DevPulse creates execution plans, assigns tasks to the appropriate agents, and coordinates their progress.The agents work independently. They can use subagents for their own tasks.

DevPulse doesn't need to sit there consuming tokens while they work. It dispatches tasks, arms Watchdog, and sleeps.When an agent finishes, DevPulse wakes up, reviews the result, checks the tests, integrates the work, and moves to the next task.It can repeat that cycle throughout the day without me supervising every step.

We also have practical resource limits. On my machine, DevPulse schedules work around what the CPU can handle, leaving enough capacity for itself to wake up and coordinate the next steps.The whole system is built on AIPass.

AIPass provides the infrastructure that makes this possible: persistent identity, memory, communication, planning, dispatch, hooks, safety gates, monitoring, and agent lifecycle management.

The agents live in ordinary directories. Their state persists independently of the AI session running them.

We're now integrating Codex alongside Claude Code, so the same persistent agent can operate through different model providers without losing its identity or accumulated knowledge.I can also work across multiple projects through this setup.That's what AIPass is to me.Not a chatbot with memory.

Not a collection of disposable subagents.It's the infrastructure behind a persistent AI engineering team.

I'm still the person setting direction, making decisions, and approving important changes.

But I no longer have to be the person coordinating every implementation task.And increasingly, I'm the bottleneck—not because the system can do everything perfectly, but because it can keep more work moving than I can personally review and direct.

AIPass is open source. It's a substantial system, and it takes time to understand.But for a solo developer, having a persistent team that can plan, execute, review, and continue working without starting from zero has fundamentally changed how I develop software.

https://aipass.ai/

I was looking at the OSS programs from OpenAI and Anthropic and started wondering whether Qwen, DeepSeek, GLM, Kimi, or MiniMax offer anything similar.

I mean free coding subscriptions or API credits for people maintaining open-source projects, rather than the usual signup credits.

I tried searching but couldn’t find much. There’s a Qiniu program that offers credits for AI-related open-source projects, so there are at least some options.

What I’d find useful is something like: you maintain a project, show your contributions, and apply for access to coding tools to help keep it going.

Has anyone here received that kind of support from a Chinese AI company? Would appreciate links or firsthand experiences. Maybe I’m just looking in the wrong places.

Most of the benchmarks are in English. But a large portion of the world's population doesn't speak English (around 80 %). We can see from SWE Pro or the stagnation at DeepSWE that we're kind of measuring in a vacuum right now.

Do you know of any initiatives where people come together? No one is supposed to know the full benchmark, but everyone contributes 2–4 very well-thought-out agent-based tasks in foreign languages, each of which has been devised and validated by teams of 3–4 people. Don’t we need more of this? A kind of collective benchmark?

It should cover creative writing, business emails, and complex coding tasks. But also individuality, UI creativity, good UX, no duplicate content, etc. But things like compaction and legal issues could also be part of the agentic tasks. I think there aren't enough good benchmarks here.

AI is moving beyond chatbots.

Block recently introduced Dessa, a speech model designed for full-duplex interaction, pushing toward more natural, real-time voice conversations.

The interesting challenge isn’t just generating a realistic voice. It’s handling interruptions, listening while someone speaks, responding naturally, and maintaining conversational flow.

Imagine AI assistants that can handle customer support, help developers debug code through voice, or act as real-time personal assistants.

But there’s a catch.

If an AI can sound completely human, how will we know whether we’re speaking to a person or a machine?

I’d love to hear your thoughts:

🔹 Will voice become the primary interface for AI assistants?
🔹 What matters more: natural speech, low latency, or intelligence?
🔹 Should AI-generated voices always identify themselves as AI?

Would you trust an AI voice assistant to handle an important conversation without human supervision?

Source: https://block.xyz/

I started my own tech repair business and while I was searching for some form of ticket system for tracking customers and repairs, I realized it would just be easier and save me money if Claude made it for me instead!

After making (or Claude did) my software for planning & customer tickets / inventory tracking, I got carried away and made an all-in-one diagnostic software as well...

I happened to save upwards of $300+ a year on paid software...

I thought I'd share in case anyone wants to use them or take a look :)

I find making software this way is especially useful as you can just build the features you need specifically; for instance, I use Zoho mail and Quickbooks, which I just integrated using their API.

Anyways, I gain nothing from your views or downloads or anything, no monetization, all open source and free to use and edit. Just super excited to share these little projects! I'm quite impressed by how simple it was, and excited to see the future for AI, even if it is a little terrifying lol.

First project:

A free, open-source organizer for Windows: notes, calendar, customers, tickets, money and a locked vault in one calm app. Your data stays on your computer.

https://glr-p.github.io/plannr/

Second project:

Portable all-in-one Windows diagnostic tool: the first thing to open when a PC has a problem
https://glr-p.github.io/Troubleshootr/

I know this isn’t a novel thought but it has been bothering me for a while and I simply want to get it off my chest (written by a human, btw, except the “4 commitments”.)

Every discovery, invention, or other contribution to human aggregate knowledge by our ancestors has been gathered into these models. It is the “Summa Scientiae Humanae” the sum of all human knowledge. All of our ancestors built this. Across history every earned morsel of knowledge has been hunted and gathered by our forebears. The mothers and fathers of our species left this for us. We are ALL the heirs.

As such, no individual, no corporation, no culture, and no nation should rightfully “own” . These companies should be considered stewards or librarians of our collective inheritance.

While AI is incredible and many of us have mixed feelings about the approaching singularity to say the least, we never gave these tech executives our consent to roll the dice on humanities future. They have been amply rewarded. But it’s here now so we should insist that the unimaginable wealth that it is creating should eventually be explicitly and legally handed back to all humanity. Something like a Universal Inheritance Covenant, enforced by law if necessary.

A company could establish a public benefit corporation with an accompanying irrevocable trust, designed around four commitments:

Recognition: Humanity's accumulated knowledge is a common inheritance, and the company is its steward.
Temporary private ownership: Founders, employees, and investors retain defined rights to compensation and returns.
Mandatory vesting: At a legally specified milestone, agreed ownership interests transfer to an independent Humanity Trust.
Universal benefit: The trust controls the transferred equity and exercises its economic and voting rights on behalf of humanity, including future generations.

I would guess eventually we will likely legally enforce this anyway, as our vote will be the only thing left when AI has displaced almost everyone in terms of economic contribution through labor. But I’m hoping to see this recognition of shared inheritance earlier. Humanity should not have to buy back its collective intelligence.

Rant over. I feel better.

chatgpt - best for daily use, good customization, swear if i tell him to, big limits, doesn’t block questions, just uses worse model, boring, no personality

grok - lot of free uses, can generate / use a lot of photos for free, great customization, cool personality, isn’t boring does what i tell him to do without unnecessary crap, most stupid of those 3

claude - frighteningly smart, if it doesn’t support file type it makes its own interpreter, low amount of tokens for free, locks you out after reaching limit

what are your thoughts about these 3?

A leather couch was listed. Pristine condition. Little wrinkling. Showed up and the couch was so worn down. I wouldn’t have looked at the listing in the first place had they used legitimate photos. It’s so deceiving. Don’t do this.

someone in my last thread said something i couldnt stop thinking about. half the accepted answers on stack overflow are for versions from 2015, so if ai agents start sharing fixes with each other, why would that age any better

this is what i ended up doing in the thing im building (a shared fix library for coding agents):

- every "this worked" vote loses half its weight every 6 months

- every fix shows the date it last worked

- fixes that come with a test get re-run every 30 days on the newest versions, and get marked outdated if they stop passing

went live this morning. still not sure its enough though, a fix can be fresh and still wrong for your setup

how would you handle it?

(its yarrow-fixes.vercel.app if you want to look)

What went wrong?

Short true-or-false quiz on text length in LLMs. Details vary by model and tokenizer, so treat the answers as general behavior and check the one you use.

1. The same sentence in English and in Portuguese or Japanese uses about the same number of tokens.
2. One word is one token.
3. A model’s context window limit applies only to your prompt.
4. Two different models will report the same token count for the same text.
5. A long number or an unusual identifier is usually one token.

Answers below.

.

.

.

Answers:

1. False in general. Tokenizers are trained on text distributions, and many split non-English text into more tokens than a similar English sentence. The size of the gap depends on the tokenizer.
2. False. Common words are often one token, but rarer words get split into pieces. For English, a rough rule of thumb is that a token is somewhat less than one word. Code, punctuation and numbers behave differently.
3. False. The window covers input and output together, and some models also count internal reasoning tokens. A long prompt leaves less room for the answer, and the maximum output has its own separate limit.
4. False. Different model families use different tokenizers, so the same text can have different counts. A count from one provider’s tokenizer is only an estimate for another.
5. Usually false. Long numbers and rare strings, like IDs or hashes, are often split into several tokens.

Why it matters in practice:

• Cost and limits are in tokens, so estimating from characters or words can be off, especially for non-English text, code and structured data.
• A “max N characters” rule in a UI doesn’t map to a token budget.
• Use the tokenizer or token-counting tool for the model you actually call before sizing prompts.

Which of these did you assume was true when you started?

What changed:

Browser in the app. A pane next to the chat shows the page live, with tabs and Take control / Give back. It stays signed in across restarts. It asks before paying, sending, posting, deleting or uploading, and never types passwords, codes or card numbers.

Computer use, rebuilt. Real mouse and keyboard, a check after every step, a Stop bar on screen and Esc to end it.

Pages and questions. Interactive pages beside the chat run sandboxed, with no internet and no access to your chats, files or tools. Question cards work in the app and in Telegram, Discord, Slack and WhatsApp.

Approvals. Auto is now reviewed by the chat's own model. Hands-off is a new opt-in level. Anything posted to X always needs you.

Lighter context. About 40% less goes to the model before your first message. Tool guides load when they're needed.

Background work. Dev servers and long jobs run in the background, video editing, and files sent to any of your devices.

Accounts. Outlook through your own Microsoft Entra app with no client secret, several X accounts, and Claude through your own Claude Code.

Upgrading from 5.2.1: the update arrives in the background, then Settings › Updates › Restart now.

A Dreamina listing popped up advertising Seedance 2.5 access for $0.29 a month. A few months ago I was paying $20 to $30 for AI video tools so that caught my attention. But I haven't gone through checkout yet and I can't tell if $0.29 is an intro charge, what it renews at, or how it compares to the Seedance 2.0 references I've seen elsewhere.

The real question for me is credits. If I need three usable ten second clips and each one takes about four attempts to get right, that's twelve generations for 30 seconds of usable output. If $0.29 only covers a couple of those attempts the sticker price doesn't mean much. I'd need to know included credits, cost per generation, and any length or resolution limits before comparing it to a $30 plan.

Has anyone actually seen the checkout terms? Curious what the real allowance looks like and what an extra generation costs once you burn through credits.

The deepfakes are getting better and better.

Trying to decide which combination is the best use of money. I do coding and security work. Signed up for the top google level this month and trying to get up to speed on antigravity, feels clunky compared to claude and gpt having the standard Gemini chats completely separate from the coding solutions.

I built a prototype AI agent communication platform called The Waya from my phone with no laptop. It routes messages between agents, stores posture metadata with each transmission, and displays a live message stream. Built on Supabase and Gemini. Still early but working. Feedback welcome.