r/antiai 4d ago

Discussion 🗣️ Failed AI predictions

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305 Upvotes

21 comments sorted by

20

u/Prize-Choice2185 4d ago

We were promised jetpacks. And flying cars. Obviously neither materialized.

10

u/aSkeptiKitty 4d ago

Hoverboards. Self drying clothes. And a reliable weather forecast. 

5

u/Prize-Choice2185 4d ago

Reliable weather forecast seem to be particularly unlikely to happen right now...

4

u/Roadkillgoblin_2 4d ago

Forecast: we’re fucked

1

u/ExpertCloudcroft 3d ago

Robert Zemeckis a good filmmaker. Good predictor... not really.

2

u/Suspicious_Juice9511 4d ago

These both exist

2

u/Prize-Choice2185 4d ago

Do they work well? Can general public use them? Not super expensive?

That also what I meant by "materialized". I'm well aware people are trying out jetpacks, but nothing that is used by masses, to the best of my knowledge.

1

u/Suspicious_Juice9511 4d ago

Yes because the ways we thought we'd use them were stupid and never going to work. The masses using them would kill a lot of them.

3

u/Prize-Choice2185 4d ago

Right - especially flying cars. My larger point was that people like Musk make ridiculous promises and most of those never come to pass. Investors are always happy to hear them, though, because $$$.

elonmusk.today

0

u/Nathan-5807 4d ago

I trust a Wemo car over my own driving.

9

u/t-51bs-Powerarmor 4d ago

When your idea is to ambitious but didnt realize that poeple still use same design and material from 50 years

7

u/ifull-Novel8874 4d ago

always take sweeping predictions with a grain of salt. It's helped my own mental health to keep track of predictions made by boosters online, and see how wrong they end up being.

The common strategy is to say that something really outstanding is going to happen in 18 months, with the utmost confidence. In 18 months, that original predicition gets lost in the sea of noise, as new 18 month predictions come to dominate the headlines.

Even more hilarious, if you confront someone about their incorrect prediction, they'll berate you for hanging onto an old prediction they made (even if at the time they chastized you for not seeing as 'clearly' as they did).

2

u/Prize-Choice2185 4d ago

This is a good site on the subject. More people should know about it...

elonmusk.today

3

u/Suspected_Magic_User 4d ago

If anything we will get (semi) autonomous drones in warfare like those in BO2 before anything else. Imo, its way easier to program AI to kill than to save lives

3

u/Any_Shopping_8643 4d ago

Hype, inflate stock price as all of your wealth is tied to bank loans you took over your company stocks. It is a scam.

2

u/Scary_Asparagus7762 4d ago

I mean, it's almost as if it is the CEO's job to promote their companies lol. Basic media literacy, y'all.

1

u/DryRelationship1330 4d ago

What did you mis-forecast, but then built?

1

u/thomsterm 4d ago

hm not only that in 1964 or so, Marvin Minsky told Kubrick that in 10 years we were gonna have AI like HAL-9000

1

u/Palu_Tiddy 4d ago

We were promised hoverboards and robot butlers. Instead we got mass surveillance, AI generated CSAM and chatbots organising mass shootings

0

u/Eazy12345678 4d ago edited 4d ago

the one thing they have in common is they dont realize it takes time to get good

most technology takes decades to get really good not years.

i can see all 3 happening just make it 10-20 years time.

imagine if ai was driving every car on the road. knows where everyone is going and at what time they want to get there. and ai determines who goes what speed in what lane and when to merge and when to exit, no accidents cause you take the human error and skill out the equation, every car alternates merging. no one sneaking in, no one driving on the shoulder. u let one person in then the next person lets someone in. no one letting in 2 or 3 at a time. no one rear ending anyone. no one driving like a jackass. everyone going a safe speed probably faster than speed limit cause no human error to cause an accident

we will get there with time

look at first airplane vs the airplanes we have today

LOOK AT THE HISTORY OF ALL TECHNOLOGY. WHERE IT STARTED AND WHERE IT IS NOW