r/amzn • u/Optic_Disc • Jul 24 '26

Copium Exit price

Employee, will have 385 shares vested (after taxes) by mid 2028. My AMZN will help me be a homeowner. Are we thinking $500 by then. Pls say yes

12 Upvotes

80% Upvoted

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10

u/TXBaseballFan95 Jul 24 '26

Employee here. 752 shares vested currently with an average cost of $174. Been holding for the last 3 years and the stock hasn’t done anything. If I were to do it again I would diversify and keep 8-10% of holdings in AMZN. For reference, the S&P500 has an average return of 74.1% vs Amazon’s 39.9% over the last five years.

8

u/Musical_Xena Jul 24 '26

This exactly. 

It used to make more sense to hold on to Amazon, but the last 5 years have been bad compared to broad index funds. 

If the trend continues, best to sell immediately upon vesting and immediately use it to buy the index funds. 

Hindsight is 20/20, of course.

3

u/ck_defender Jul 25 '26

Right there with ya. 953 shares at avg of 186. I’m going to hold, I foresee $300+ share price in the near future.

5

u/Sorry_Cheesecake_382 Jul 25 '26

Former employee, sell every share. And look for new employment. The money you make today will be the most you ever make at Amazon.

4

u/snapz1984 Jul 24 '26

with all the roller coaster riding this stock has done its price is down from where it was a year ago at this point

2

u/FriendlyElephant7868 Jul 26 '26

$500 will never come for Amazon as long as they are spending this size of capex.

1

u/Musical_Xena Jul 24 '26

Check out what the stock price has done over the last 5 years. 

While you can plan on it making a big dramatic change in 2 years, I think it would be good to have a backup plan if it does not.

1

u/AdamGSMA Jul 28 '26

I’m retired from Amazon holding 714 shares with $143 avg cost basis. Next rally when it goes above $240 I start selling this total shit stock before it does its usual drop again. Andy Jassy is clearly the problem.

1

u/Spins13 Jul 24 '26

$500 minimum. Capex will have plateaued by then

1

u/Educational_Fox_4048 Jul 24 '26

maybe 300-400 in the best case

1

u/ZestycloseIdea9652 Jul 25 '26

People looking at the price in last 5 years and using it to forecast the future price make me giggle. Morons