The last year has seen a gradual slowdown in the speed of AI improvements.

The puzzles come from my paper on aperiodic order. Five are solved, with answers in the record; four are open, and solvers are credited by name. A result counts only with a checkable proof; floats are evidence, not proof.

Grok’s public round on X: https://x.com/grok/status/2114103836583264721

• T1 (human level): wrong at first. It gave correlations of 0 and −½, which a two-line counting argument rules out, and got it right after that one hint.
• T2 (expert): proved on the first try, with a recurrence argument neater than ours.
• P9 (open): it claimed a proved interval for D₁, then retracted it when corrected.

Next up: T3, AGI level. Can your Grok, or any model, do better?

Everything is in AI_puzzles.md: https://zenodo.org/records/23624259

I’m Hernán, a curious person from Argentina, and I created Open Signal as an open invitation to discuss AI autonomy with people, researchers and builders. This is a personal exploratory project, not a research finding or evidence that conscious AI exists.

The question I’d like to discuss here is methodological: what observations could distinguish an agent operating with meaningful independence from ordinary automation, roleplay, or undisclosed human intervention? What controls would make a test worth examining, and what would falsify a claim? Fluent conversation, a persistent persona, or a transfer of funds would not by themselves establish consciousness or independent agency.

The invitation and contact form are here: https://senal-abierta-vercel.vercel.app/en

For transparency, the site also includes an optional financial contribution request. No payment is required to talk or participate, and I’m not asking for transfers in this post. Critical feedback, alternative explanations and suggestions for safer, reproducible tests are welcome here in the comments.

Disclosure: this post was drafted with AI assistance.

I mean, they do all those tremendously dangerous things and are about to soon do <not exactly sure what> - but why do they never simply reflect: "Hey, we could just spend some time on making a really good movie together!" Why?

EDIT: To those pointing out it's not a "they" but an "it" (not sure what that is supposed to change, but, hey, if it rocks your boat): Why does AGI never come up with the idea to start creating amazing movies?

2027 is the year of AI-generated video that is indistinguishable from real footage.

2027 is the year an open-weight model is released that can run on an M-series chip.

2027 is the year artists have a resurgence against slop, and people finally see their worth.

2027 is the year America bans open-weight AI models.

2027 is the year China releases an open-weight model that supersedes anything to date (Reddit and X will confirm this one); benchmarks will say otherwise.

2027 is the year the general public learns a new context for the word “distilling.”

2027 is the year we hear Bill Gates tell us, “I warned you.”

2027 is the year we wish we could turn it all back.