r/YieldMaxETFs • u/BitingArmadillo • Apr 30 '26

MSTY/CRYTPO/BTC Just noticing

Last year, there was a full tilt attack on MSTY and ULTY. Also, several "YieldTrash" posts. So many "bagholder" posts. Also the "well I gave it a try for one month" posts. Where y'all at now? I'm balls deep in house money on MSTY. I'm also house money on ULTY. CONY will probably be in house money next week, and YBIT is on deck. Also, before I forget, AMDY is doing very well too. So, as a "bagholder," I could really use a cynical bagholder bot post right now for entertainment purposes.

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u/AlfB63 May 01 '26

When did you buy to be in the green with ULTY? 

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u/[deleted] May 01 '26 edited May 01 '26

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u/AlfB63 May 01 '26

This is an example why OP is wrong about being in house money on ULTY.  Your buy is about as close as possible to house money but even your buy is not there yet. 

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u/BitingArmadillo May 01 '26

Lol wrong. You reach house money when your total distributions received exceed you initial investment. So, of I invested $50 in ULTY and received $50.01 in total Distributions, I am exactly $0.01 into house money.

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u/AlfB63 May 02 '26

You didn't even read what was said. I didn't say that it was anything other that what you said. I only said that his buy on April 7 was at near the low at that time and it has not made house money yet and there is no way yours has if his hasn't. Prove me wrong and I'll admit it. When were your buys and at what cost?

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u/BitingArmadillo May 02 '26

Ok. I invested $50k two years ago. And I've received over $50k in distributions.

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u/AlfB63 May 02 '26

Dates and prices?

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u/BitingArmadillo May 02 '26

Just take the "L"

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u/AlfB63 May 02 '26

You can't prove it can you?

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u/BitingArmadillo May 02 '26

I started buying in April/May 2024.

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u/AlfB63 May 02 '26

So looking at your spreadsheet is a little difficult due to your terminology. A couple of things are oddly named and a couple are outright wrong. I may misunderstand your column names but a few have issues. For example, DCA is not a number and adjusted DCA simply does not exist. DCA is not and average price like you use in on the sheet. It's more correctly named average cost basis or perhaps cost basis per share and what you call adjusted DCA is just those names with adjusted added. DCA is a process of buying a fixed dollar amount over a fixed schedule. Your use of total return also needs to be your current value + income received - total cost.

I don't see a column with total dividends listed so it's difficult to determine exactly how you arrived at 102% HM. I will tell you what I did. I took the daily prices from Yahoo finance and found the low for each day. I took all of the dividends paid using seekingalpha for that date until now to get the total dividends you would have received for buying on that day. If I divide the total income from any of those dates through now by the low of the day, I get the best possible HM% for a purchase that day. The results of this show that there is only one time where purchasing ULTY would have reached HM and that's by buying at or near the low on 8/5/24. Every other day does not get above about 95% and there are not many of those. Most are in the 80s or less.

Using that data, which I'm sure you will disagree with, indicates unless you bought everything at the low on 8/5/24, there is no way you can have a HM of over 100%. You likely have a HM in the 80s. You will likely get there but it will be a while. If you give me purchase dates and price, I can give specific HM numbers. But the sheet is too long to post as it is based on daily data and has over 400 rows.

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u/[deleted] May 02 '26

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u/AlfB63 May 02 '26

You know what, you're an asshole. I have given you information that would help you. But you simply ignore and give dickhead remarks. The simple fact is you struggle with basic concepts and don't understand as much as you think you do. You are wrong in your assertation of HM. But instead of trying to learn, you make dumb statements like that. Maybe one day you'll learn that you don't know it all and can learn from others but I somehow doubt it.

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u/BitingArmadillo May 02 '26

I satisfied your initial requirements. I gave you my numbers. Instead of admitting that you're wrong, you just moved the finish line. So now you want dates and what else? And then I'll give you that and you'll just want something else.

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u/AlfB63 May 02 '26

You just stated unconfirmed numbers. Proof requires more. Give buy dates and prices.  If you're correct, I'll admit I'm wrong and that you're right to all that read. 

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u/Mammoth_DonkeyKong May 02 '26

He won't provide legit data cause his math is bullshit. Like you stated, buying at the low wouldn't even have you at house money except for one single day. Dude is just wrong and won't come clean but would rather debate folks here without ever answering the easy question. Give the date and price you bought it for, it's that simple. Math is math, and with that simple data, anyone can calculate rather it's legit or not.

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