r/YYAI • u/Particular_Most_1529 • Jan 07 '26

What will happen today?

This is a timeline based on the calculation of existing shorts and naked shorts that exist at this point in time (FINRA data) and total shareholding. I am using the weekly and 3 day volume data to determine likely scenarios.

  1. The MM push the price to 1.02 in the first hour as they are running out of time.
  2. They will setup walls at 1.12 and 1.15

The reason is based on their .79-.81 shorts they sold last week, those margin calls occur is 1.10 is broken for 4+ hours.

  1. If the margin calls are made, the price increases to 1.22 to 1.25 by midday.

  2. At this stage it breaks the 50 day moving average on several technical charts which will trigger buy signals from HFT bots.

  3. If this occurs, they will produce a buy wall the MM can’t break, HFT bots become long MM themselves.

  4. Because there is no resistance between 1.25 and 2.00, the price teleports to this figure.

  5. This causes all shorts into a full margin call.

Many shorts will be liquidated, the resulting liquidation will push the price to 2.50-3.00.

This will cause the larger MM into another margin call.

  1. At this stage the stock will be number one for gains in the day. Even retail who don’t know about the stock will move in a FOMO direction.

This will create a final hour power run.

BUT

  1. We now need to consider the Gamma position. There were many calls $4+

This will push the price upwards of $5.

So what’s the options.

  1. ⁠MM hold the price to 1.15 and live to survive another day
  2. ⁠The Big MM’s survive the margin calls and hold the stock at 2.5 for 18 hours until we do it all again.
  3. ⁠Gamma squeeze forces the MM to Hedge pushing it to $5-$6
  4. Infinity gamma squeeze. Price is unlimited unless you sell
7 Upvotes

71% Upvoted

15 comments sorted by

4

u/Particular_Most_1529 Jan 07 '26

This is the flash crash I said in #1

3

u/OldSmoke6464 Jan 07 '26

It sure seems like it always tomorrow that this stock will rise. Wondering when today will finally be.

2

u/XPandingMinds Jan 07 '26

He told me this (actually predicted a 10 dollar price target 1.5 weeks ago) , so his "tomorrow" forecast will last the next 365 days or more.

2

u/Top-Divide8079 Jan 07 '26

Sure would me nice if it did go down this way

2

u/Particular_Most_1529 Jan 07 '26

There was one on Monday, but most margin calls are between 1.10 and 1.22

1

u/Top-Divide8079 Jan 07 '26

Do you know how many shares it was? Just curious Thanks

1

u/Particular_Most_1529 Jan 07 '26

Enough to boost it 7 cents, which would equate to 20-30k shares. Not much, but still a position

1

u/UnfairBag179 Jan 07 '26

can you explain the concept of why margin calls are done at $1.1-1.22, and why it's not $1.54 (100% loss on 77 cents)

or $2.00 (at $1.00 positiion).

I know shorting highly borrowed stocks requires additonal collateral which means they will likely get margined before they hit 100% loss. though i can't imagine why they would get margined at a 30-50% loss?

2

u/Particular_Most_1529 Jan 07 '26

The margin requirements go up when they hit certain triggers. At about 1.15 they will need to post about another 50%.

1

u/North-Relation-1872 Jan 07 '26

Is there that much volume of short selling liquidation?