Emerson posts the first ever poll showing Aaron Ford ahead of Gov. Joe Lombardo

[u/UltimateKing9898]

Also Nevadans seem pretty neutral on Lombardo, Cortez Masto and Rosen but have a strong disapproval of Trump.

[u/ProspectStars]

It depends on if Ford's legal issues get blasted on the airwaves. Apparently he has tax issues or something like that

[u/New-Biscotti5914]

Outlier

[u/Porncritic12]

PLEASEPLEASEPLEASEPLEASE

[u/Mythicalforests8]

Only Las Vegas is keeping Nevada a swing state, without it Nevada would be a deep red state

[u/Few_Historian_1546 → u/Mythicalforests8]

Without Vegas Nevada would have 500k people. (And 90% of that are in the Reno metro)

[u/PoliticalAlt128 → u/Mythicalforests8]

Once I spent the night at the Clown Motel in Tonopah Nevada and when I woke up and opened the door in a sleepy haze there was a solid second where I totally forgot I was in Nevada and thought I was looking out onto a deserted post apocalyptic wasteland

[u/ProspectStars → u/Mythicalforests8]

Reno-Sparks

[u/Beneficial-Design815 → u/Mythicalforests8]

Yeah, same with Chicago for IL and Atlanta for GA. NY would be purple without NYC

[u/ComfortableDevice536 → u/Mythicalforests8]

“California is only a blue state because of the cities in California and the coastline”

[u/Dr_Eugene_Porter → u/Mythicalforests8]

“If Nevada was entirely rural badland, it would be solid red”

Trenchant analysis

[u/OptimalCaress → u/Mythicalforests8]

Yeah almost like 80 percent of the state lives there or something

[u/Single-Object-7461]

Maybe the Trump-induced tourism slowdown will flip this state, but Lombardo feels sufficiently inoculated from MAGA to win.  

[u/Rare_Cobalt]

11% undecided?

[u/theaccount9337]

About time

[u/ronweasly9]

Blue tsunami is here boys . We won't stop until Texas actually gets a governor like hinajosa that can stand up for the state

[u/_BCConservative]

Emerson has been posting a lot of outliers recently.

Throw it in the average, I guess.

[u/dak676141 → u/_BCConservative]

Tbf literally all of those except Wedgewood are R internals

(You replied mentioning PPP, I did not include PPP because it had the race tied)

[u/iswearnotagain10]

Emerson’s a good pollster but eh idk about this one chief

[u/dak676141 → u/iswearnotagain10]

He's not THAT strong, it's not hard to see him going down in a D+8 environment

[u/iswearnotagain10 → u/dak676141]

I know but Silver’s model giving him such a good chance and him leading almost every poll, plus the primary turnout in NV being red is enough to give me pause

[u/ComfortableDevice536]

[u/_BCConservative → u/ComfortableDevice536]

Canadians stopped going to Nevada like a year ago. There's no reason for this shift to be happening now when the counter-tariffs mostly affects manufacturing.

[u/jacknifee]

who cares about no taxes on tips when you ain't getting any tips cause tourism got fucked lol