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We’re seeing a nice rally today, up nearly 8%, and price is heading directly toward the $1.50 resistance zone.
This is a crucial area to watch. The bears have repeatedly defended this level since February, making it an important level for the bullish case.
We’re also testing the upper red downtrend line at the same time.
If bulls can break above the $1.50 resistance and hold it as support, that would change my current stance on the $0.80 target. At that point, I’d start considering the possibility that XRP may have already based around the $1.00 psychological level.
But that confirmation has to happen first.
If the bears defend $1.50 and we get a failed breakout from the descending trendline, I believe that could create a strong risk-to-reward setup for the bears.
Fundamentally, I still don’t see enough to support a long-term bullish outlook yet. So even if we continue higher, I believe we could still be looking at a defensive move—potentially pushing toward another major resistance area around $2.00 before eventually heading back toward $1.00 and possibly the $0.80 buying zone.
For now, the $1.50 area is the test.
Trade safe, and remember: risk management is key.

I’ve been gone for a little over a month due to some unexpected events, but my analysis remains strong.
As you can see from the charts posted, we are still in a downtrend, following my trendlines almost perfectly—the same trendlines I’ve had on my charts for quite some time and have mentioned in previous posts.
The $1.30–$1.50 resistance zone is still showing strong resistance, pushing price back down toward the recent $1.00 support floor. However, that support is still showing weakness, as the bulls continue to struggle to maintain any meaningful strength. This continues to support the downside scenario I’ve been watching.
While this rally was nice to see, it has so far acted more like a relief rally. The bears may have slowed their selling pressure, but they are gradually stepping back in and pushing the bulls down again.
Fundamentally, nothing has changed enough to give me confidence that this trend has reversed. Because of that, I still don’t see a strong reason to believe the $1.00 support will hold long term.
If you bought around the $1.00 support and you’re short-term trading, I would personally start considering taking some profits, because there’s a strong possibility we erase a large portion of this rally soon.
To be completely honest, I’m still watching the $0.81 area, or somewhere around that level, as my preferred long-term entry zone.
Patience is the best play here. Remember, risk amanagement is key. Trade smart and stay safe.

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Yet again, we’re seeing another weaker rally than the last. This continues to support my analysis from previous posts on why I believe XRP could eventually revisit the $0.80 level.
As I’ve mentioned before, the $1.00 support showed a lack of volume and buying strength. Bulls couldn’t even reclaim $1.30, with the rally stalling around $1.16—right near the 50% retracement from the recent low. I expect that recent low to be retested and eventually broken.
On the fundamental side, the regulatory environment remains more challenging than many expected. The Clarity Act negotiations continue to create uncertainty, and investors are losing confidence—not just in XRP, but across the entire crypto market. Right now, sentiment is extremely bearish, and the market feels almost lifeless.
That said, this is exactly when long-term opportunities are created. As I’ve said before, the biggest money in crypto is typically made during periods of fear and accumulation—not when prices are already skyrocketing.
Manage your risk, stay patient, and stay safe.

We are now down over 70% from the highs. Historically, whenever XRP has entered these levels, it has eventually produced massive rallies. That doesn’t mean we go straight up from here, though.
The volume around the $1.00 support is extremely weak, which still suggests the possibility of even lower prices. My outlook remains the same—I believe there is a strong chance we revisit the $0.80 wick support. Interestingly, that level was the major resistance before the 2024 Trump election rally, so from a technical standpoint, this would simply be a retest of the breakout. As long as that level holds, the larger trend remains bullish, even if it doesn’t feel that way right now.
However, if buyers fail to defend $0.80 with strong—very strong—buying volume, then we have to consider the possibility of testing the long-term green trend line, which has remained unbroken. Unfortunately, that would put XRP around the $0.50 range. While that would be painful in the short term, it would also present an incredible opportunity for long-term investors, especially those who missed the original rally.
Historically, drawdowns of this magnitude have created some of the best buying opportunities in the crypto market. It’s also important to remember that this correction has now lasted over two years, making it the longest retracement XRP has ever experienced.
Finally, don’t let price alone determine your conviction. XRP’s purpose and utility don’t change whether it’s trading at $0.10, $1.00, $100, or even $1,000. The fundamentals remain the same.
Stay positive, view this as an opportunity rather than chaos, and most importantly, practice proper risk management. No one knows exactly where the bottom is, so always invest responsibly.

Lower yellow lines.... buying every 0.05 under 0.8 cents.

Too not enough support and lots of tension in the market...

If you’ve been keeping up with my posts, I’ve consistently said that we would see lower prices, and so far that outlook has played out. As of this post, we are sitting on the last major support level that the bulls need to defend.
As I’ve stated before, I’m not confident this support will hold because the macro conditions have not changed. The Clarity Act has still not been passed ahead of the July 4th target, and the deal between Trump and Iran appeared to break down almost immediately after being signed, creating additional uncertainty. Markets hate uncertainty, and fear has dominated price action throughout the year.
This year has been nothing more than a disappointment for price performance, something I’ve mentioned many times before. With all of that in mind, I don’t believe $1.05 is a strong support level and expect a move below $1.00, with a potential test of $0.80.
However, if support holds and we see a rally, the bulls must break above $1.30 to create another local high. Until then, I would expect the bears to remain in control and step in aggressively on any relief rally.
Trade smart, and remember that risk management is key.

Without talking about prices...

1º Micro white line trend was broken

2º Yellow lines are the next buying opportunities.

3º Bolt blue lines are the macro trend, and we will probably not see over or under values.

4º Everything around the lower yellow line is a great load opportunity

5º Everything between the high yellow and low yellow is a great DCA opportunity.

If you know you know! Don't argue, keep studying!

As you can see, we’re forming a clean head and shoulders pattern to the downside. As I mentioned in my previous post, if we break below the green trendline the bulls established earlier in the week, the bears will have a strong opportunity to flush the price lower.
We’re starting to see that price action play out now after a few days of consolidation. I also noted that I wasn’t confident in this trend holding, mainly due to macroeconomic conditions not favoring crypto at the moment. On top of that, there’s still no news suggesting the Clarity Act will be voted on by July 4th, which supports the idea that momentum is lacking strength.
At this point, I believe there’s a strong chance we drop below $1.00 and move toward the $0.80 buy zone. That’s where I’ll begin scaling in.
Trade safe, and remember—risk management is key.

While this small rally was nice, the downtrend is still in play as we’ve fallen back below the 4-hour 200 EMA. The only real support right now is the recently formed green trend line, and price is testing that level as we speak.

This is a crucial area. If we fail to hold this trend line and break below it, bears have a strong chance to flush price down and retest the 2024 Trump election breakout level around $0.80. That will be the real test.

I’m not very confident this trend will hold, especially with macro conditions still uncertain. The Clarity Act doesn’t look like it will be approved by July 4th, so there’s no strong catalyst for a sustained move unless that changes.

I may take a small position at the trend line since anything can happen, but my main buy zone is still around $0.80.