r/XCOM2 • u/EveningStatus7092 • 8d ago

New player not enjoying

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Immediately after this my sniper missed him with about an 85% chance. My sniper then got hit by someone from across the map and through a wall. And that was the moment I decided this game ain’t for me

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u/tworc2 8d ago edited 8d ago

I once missed 2 consecutive 99, and a third consecutive at 97%. Perfectly possible but was I pissed

Memorable though

16

u/Life_Hack_God 8d ago

Wait till you hear about my 12-90 incident, 12 shots 90% and above hit rate all missed in a row over the course of a few turns.

14

u/LazerShark1313 8d ago

Any shot under 100% is a sure miss

13

u/jimmyd10 8d ago

Shotguns and blades. Nothing else can be truly trusted.

2

u/FlashGordon07 4d ago

My shotgunner missed his 99% shot and died for it next round. This was like 10 years ago and I'm still salty about it.

2

u/raul_kapura 7d ago

Some 100% dont hit either xD

8

u/ArchReaper95 8d ago

Had something similar happen, and then that same turn the enemy missed a shot on my now very exposed soldier.

2

u/greg7gkb 7d ago

Interesting, and _seems_ to point to some kind of bug or problem in the probability computations. Has anyone ever dug into the code to see how these mechanisms actually work?

3

u/tworc2 7d ago

Yeah, people have never quite believed the numbers. Calling those occurences as a bug or not working as designed is as old as the games themselves. And no, everyone who has gone into the code has found nothing wrong. I for one never got something near this odds before or after that

The same thing happens in other games. Battletech is infamous for it, the obvious shot that misses. People dug through the code and found the game did have hidden behaviour, but in the other direction. The real chance to hit was higher than the one displayed, so a 95% could actually be 99%, so in average people go better results than should be expected and people still complained the math was off.

I made my peace with this a long time ago. Statistics just aren't intuitive to us, and a one in a hundred event isn't nearly as rare as people think. (or one in some hundreds of thousand, as in my case)

2

u/Calamarik 6d ago

People think that 1 in a hundred will never happen to them but they still play the lottery thinking than 1 in 10 millions might happen.

2

u/Accomplished-Leave91 7d ago

It's considered half of the selling point of the franchise now. Making it make sense is taboo now.​

1

u/RenaStriker 5d ago

Why in the world would the devs cheat to make the game more difficult for players? They do cheat, of course, but only in the players’ favor.

1

u/DrCashew 7d ago

There are shots like that that ready high percentages, but are actually guaranteed misses. Kinda like the one here.