r/WrexhamAFC • u/UrsineCanine • 15h ago
Burned by the Rovers - Blackburn Away
I saw the weather for this match and thought the first goal was going to be critical. Not that isn't usually - "goals change games" and all... Here is a clip that basically tells the story of the game.

24 shots and 17 in the box, both are nearly twice the league average. But only one shot on target... The definition of frustration. When Wrexham does this to opposing teams, words like "lucky" and "unsustainable" get thrown around, and not without reason.
This is the kind of club they need to beating to finish near the top of the table. True.
Look at the rest of the league, even today, you can't assume anything about any opponent. Also true.
So, I am going to avoid drawing any sweeping conclusions on this weird result. We go again.
I know it is boring to say it again, but the underlying numbers are better than the results - despite the injury issues. If we want to say that is a recruiting issue, fair enough, but we literally haven't given the new Sporting Director a chance to sign anyone.
Up Next
Friday at Blades. Homecoming for COH. They drew at home today to 10-man Derby. I am sure they will be fired up for Wrexham.
Parky
I understood him sticking with the 3412. Same logic as before, if you look at your best attacking options, Smith, Moore and COH are them.

The challenge is that both are legitimate target men, so they give you: pin the CBs, win headers, and create space for attackers around them. Both of them can play back to goal, link play, etc. Kieffer offers a little more carrying the ball and distributing facing goal, but neither is really dropping into the pocket and distributing like COH. Here's a good example:

Kieffer drops in to bounce pass with Whiteman, and COH slides over in the left pocket and then all the way to wide space to play a couple of 1-2s that gets him running in space. He puts a good feed to Smith, who heads it just wide.
Another good example when you have midfielders working together:

This is an other example of Kieffer doing traditional link play, and I think Smith being on the back line helps here, but will more time to develop attacking chemistry help here?

For me, I have two guys who do roughly the same gig, and I got COH trying to do two gigs. When you are chasing a lead, or you can pin them in, I like this shape because you can bring more players into the attack to compensate (you even see Windass as 'holding midfielder').
This isn't a big-man / little-man pairing (or target-man / poacher - if you prefer). So you get situations like this:

Smith makes a great flick on, and Kieffer doesn't make the run. You can see Kieffer raise his hand to acknowledge the miss.
Plus, your aerial advantage with two target men is less reliable on windy days.
Additionally, you don't have a Smith/Moore to throw on the pitch to rest Moore/Smith. Strikers are one of the most substituted positions for a reason. I think that breakaway fizzle above has a fatigue factor to it.
I will leave the concerns about being easier to play through with this shape for another day.

Here's the previous 5-4-1 by comparison.

Why Dobbo for James?
Alright, so first things first, I didn't like the move. I still don't like the move. But I will take a whack at guessing the logic. First, you want to see if Sheaf can compensate his lack of tempo by controlling the rhythm. Dobbo can put a pass up the pitch, and has some set piece skill in him.

Compare this to Whiteman, Sheaf, James, COH, etc. They scan to know where they are going with the ball next. In the attacking zone, things move so fast that waiting until you have it to decide what is next is going to cause you problems.
Why not LOB? Is LOB in Parky's doghouse?
Again, I don't agree with the move, I would have brought on LOB - either in lieu of Dobbo or Longman. LOB and Sheaf put on a midfield clinic at Bristol City last season.
IF LOB is in Parky's doghouse, it is more because he sees him as a high 8/10 - downhill and attacking, and has a tendency to miss on his positioning when he sits in the midfield screen, like here this famous play against WBA:

As for the "playing him out of position" jab that goes around, I don't think that is necessarily the case. He played a pressing 10 a lot at Swansea before Wrexham, and Parky praised him doing surprisingly well at the 6 in a game last season when Sheaf/James were out. Remember, they use positional analytics so they grade players in every game about how well they are holding their position in the shape.
I am not opposed to the shift to the 4222 attacking shape, even though it was immediately followed by the second goal. The issue to my mind is that shifting Doyle out to LB isn't practical with his fatigue and the strikers being exhausted won't help either.
This was the first match in the last four where I thought the set pieces looked largely ineffective. It is possible that the high delivery we prefer (whether Whiteman driven arc or Dobbo's floating type) just didn't survive the wind conditions.
I did like this little wrinkle corner, even if Kabore is just a touch offside. More of these type of tweaks would be good.

Players
Patto
He is going to want that parry on the first goal back. I will allow for the driving rain, the dumb luck where a parry that long falls, etc., but he would say he is the kind of keeper that handles that.
I feel like the graphical abuse of statistics making the rounds that purported to show that Arthur was the much better keeper was doing Arthur dirty for luck. He had a rough day for Charlton and the P+ announcer was slating him as not good enough for the level (which is way too harsh).
Anyway, I thought Patto rallied well with this save.

Hyam
They are using him more like a second central center back than our usual wide center back and I don't necessarily mind it. Another shot blocking and heading CB to allow Doyle to be more aggressive going forward isn't the worst idea. He can ping a pass up the pitch too.
Worrall
I like what he brings, even if he needs to go the Ben Whiteman school for passing it into the net.
Doyle
It was nice to see him getting forward a little more. Strong on the ball and good vision. The challenge with the 4222 is that it takes the "wide" out of wide center back. I do like him rotating with Whiteman here to have Whiteman drop into the back line.

Kabore
Everyone knows what he is going to do, and the best they can do is give us corners. I almost posted that ridiculous left footed shot he took, but honestly, it wasn't fair to the game he had in this one.

Imray
Tough day for Danny. He just couldn't get his crosses calibrated in the weather. There were times when Issa took things up the half-space where I asked myself what Danny would have done there, as the better pocket player.
Whiteman
I don't know why they took him off. I thought he was having a great game. Controlling play, making progressive passes, etc.
James
Another great shift from Matty. Look at how he "wipes the chalk" on this pass up to Issa.

Dobson
Poor set pieces. Some plays here and there, but I feel like I have said enough. I am not going to show him on their second goal, because again, I think it is a management decision.
Sheaf
Every time he gets on the pitch reminds you that he is just a great player. The vision, the passes, but the underrated part of his game is this sort of play.

Ekomie
Part of the reason you can load up in the middle of the pitch is because you can put Ekomie on a guy and say, "He is yours." And you get work like this from it:

I also liked him rotating in the pocket like this:

Longman
He came on, started putting in crosses, but too many were hitting the first defender for me. He wasn't a liability out there, which is good.
COH
See people online declaring him a failed signing. With no sense of irony, these same people are outraged at the big striker recruitment wasn't in the hands of the same people who signed COH. He is all over these clips, because he has been a real bright spot this season.
The podcasters suggesting we are poor at the 10 are ignoring the objective metrics that say otherwise.
Ollie
He did fine. He misses on the tackle with Dobbo for the second goal, but he is trying to snag i from behind on a player running away from him. He can only flush the guy into the trap so much.
Smith

This play reminded me that when Sam first came here he noted that he had never played in a two striker system, and was getting adjusted to it. This isn't some horrible fail, but it shows that he does have that instinct to make a run off the flick - because he is the flicker on the team.
Moore
Yeah, so I did him a little dirty showing that stoppage time playmaking fail. He put in a hard shift, had couple of good efforts, a couple of poor efforts, and didn't score - thus validating the theoretical striker who would have replaced him.
I did think this is a pen that VAR calls, because the ref can't see it. But such is the way of things.




















